Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 9.19 XMR at 364.25$ per unit. Take profit: 365.9903 (0.48 %) & Stop Loss: 363.3798 (0.24 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 9.19 XMR at 364.25$ per unit. Take profit: 365.9903 (0.48 %) & Stop Loss: 363.3798 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 364.25$
Qty 9.1937 XMR
Size 3348.8181$ (margin 100$) (leverage 33)
Risk Setup
TP 365.9903 (+0.48%)
TP $ 16$
SL 363.3798 (-0.24%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8893
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8893
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.16×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.86×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.51×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 01/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/08 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.096494 15m : 0.208934 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5793 | r1h: -0.047% · r4h: 0.344% · r1d: 3.42% · r3d: 4.22% · ema21_slope: 0.1265% · dist_ema21: 1.539% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6215 | rs_1h: -0.094% · rs_4h: 0.350% · rs_1d: 5.23% · rs_3d: 6.33% · beta_24h: 0.116 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1532 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -1.249 · trend: -22.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7396 | ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 38.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.733% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.324% | 1.4R | -0.014% | 0.1R | 23.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.574% | 2.4R | -0.030% | 0.1R | 19.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.574% | 2.4R | -0.431% | 1.8R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.574% | 2.4R | -1.787% | 7.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.574% | 2.4R | -1.787% | 7.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -6.49% | +0.86 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.32 | bear_high | -1.78% | +0.69 | 01/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.33 | bear_low | -1.33% | +0.51 | 01/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.4ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.28 | range_low | -0.38% | +0.05 | 01/08 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 0.536×ATR | p0 | +0.718×ATR | p78 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.428×ATR | p61 | +1.373×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 5.369×ATR | p92 | +1.086×ATR | p79 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.703×ATR | p4 | -0.044×ATR | p4 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63000.8
0.000272701
63018
0.096494
63196.2
-0.00282085
63018
0.208934
63688.9
-0.0105355
63018
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351.76
188
0.6054
0.5691
0.3855
0.2843
0.4683
0.5899
0.6928
0.6343
0.3437
0.1432
0.6244
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0.286
0.1541
1
2.156
3.4264
0.4
0.6
-1
17
1
0.4315
0.3535
6.7152
0.6
0.5899
2.0395
3.4264
0.838
0.2312
0.1
-0.1752
0.5723
0.5907
0.7636
0.9239
-1.0573
12.8351
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 23:55:00 | 358.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 02:25:00 | 363.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 03:45:00 | 365.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 04:30:00 | 367.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 04:50:00 | 367.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:35:00 | 366 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 06:15:00 | 364.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 06:55:00 | 364.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 07:10:00 | 367.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:55:00 | 364.1 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 07:45:00 | 351.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 08:30:00 | 355.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 11:00:00 | 353.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 347.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 16:45:00 | 358.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 19:00:00 | 351.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 20:30:00 | 351.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:30:00 | 367.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 06:15:00 | 364.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 367.34 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 07:00:00 | 351.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 12:00:00 | 345.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 355.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 349.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 361.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:00:00 | 355.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 347.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 16:00:00 | 358.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 367.34 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 364.25 | 363.3798 | 365.9903 | 2 | 590.41 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 363.3798 - 364.25 = -0.87020000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 364.25 - 365.9903 = -1.7403
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.7403 / -0.87020000000001 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3348.8181 | 100 | 9.1937 | 33.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.87020000000001 = -9.19
Taille de position USD = -9.19 x 364.25 = -3347.46
Donc, tu peux acheter -9.19 avec un stoploss a 363.3798
Avec un position size USD de -3347.46$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -9.19 x -0.87020000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -9.19 x -1.7403 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0137 % | 5.73 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 364.25 | 363.3798 | 365.9903 | 2 | 590.41 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 363.3798 - 364.25 = -0.87020000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 364.25 - 365.9903 = -1.7403
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.7403 / -0.87020000000001 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.324% | 1.4R | -0.014% | 0.1R | 23.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.574% | 2.4R | -0.030% | 0.1R | 19.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.574% | 2.4R | -0.431% | 1.8R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.574% | 2.4R | -1.787% | 7.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.574% | 2.4R | -1.787% | 7.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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