Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 13.04 TAO at 195.6$ per unit. Take profit: 196.8271 (0.63 %) & Stop Loss: 194.9865 (0.31 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 13.04 TAO at 195.6$ per unit. Take profit: 196.8271 (0.63 %) & Stop Loss: 194.9865 (0.31 %)
Position
Entry 195.6$
Qty 13.039 TAO
Size 2550.4295$ (margin 100$) (leverage 26)
Risk Setup
TP 196.8271 (+0.63%)
TP $ 16$
SL 194.9865 (-0.31%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7489
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7489
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.23×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.33×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 10.22×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 01/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/08 03:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.281837 15m : 0.291664 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5102 | r1h: -0.031% · r4h: -0.728% · r1d: 0.68% · r3d: 1.41% · ema21_slope: 0.0540% · dist_ema21: 0.456% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5410 | rs_1h: 0.004% · rs_4h: -0.797% · rs_1d: 2.09% · rs_3d: 3.75% · beta_24h: 1.206 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1397 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -1.173 · trend: -36.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5786 | ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 47.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.912% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.460% | 1.5R | -0.097% | 0.3R | 4.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.460% | 1.5R | -0.787% | 2.5R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.460% | 1.5R | -0.874% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.460% | 1.5R | -1.610% | 5.1R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.460% | 1.5R | -3.103% | 9.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -6.49% | -0.47 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.62 | bear_high | -1.78% | +0.23 | 01/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.66 | bear_low | -1.33% | +0.25 | 01/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_medium |
42%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.38% | +0.02 | 01/08 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 47b | — | 9.624×ATR | p92 | +0.329×ATR | p35 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.788×ATR | p0 | +0.546×ATR | p60 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.021×ATR | p27 | +0.01×ATR | p1 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 4.262×ATR | p81 | -0.527×ATR | p52 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62991.9
0.000937063
63051
0.281837
63184.3
-0.00211008
63051
0.291664
63689.4
-0.0100404
63050
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199.93
196
0.7075
0.5259
0.3392
0.2893
0.38
1
0.3348
0.5575
0.6526
0.341
0.5984
0.7216
0.1067
0.0667
1
0.3007
0.9335
0.55
0.45
1
3
1
0.4214
0.4419
3.8009
0.5
1.6388
3.9675
0.9335
0.4739
0.2543
0.24
-0.0045
0.5898
0.4678
0.5401
0.7216
-3.0196
7.8285
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:09 | 195.60000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:26 | 195.46000000 | -0.072% |
| 3 | 05:33 | 195.45000000 | -0.077% |
| 4 | 05:38 | 195.22000000 | -0.194% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 03:05:00 | 196.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 03:30:00 | 196 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 199.04 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:05:00 | 199.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:45:00 | 196.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 06:20:00 | 197.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 06:55:00 | 196.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 07:10:00 | 197.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:35:00 | 195.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 08:05:00 | 195.5 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 11:00:00 | 194.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 12:00:00 | 192.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 13:00:00 | 194.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 190.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 18:00:00 | 197.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 192.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 22:30:00 | 194.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 199.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:45:00 | 196.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 08:00:00 | 195.5 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 194.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 186.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 194.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 07:00:00 | 190.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 195.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:00:00 | 192.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 197.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 190.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 18:00:00 | 197.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 199.93 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195.6 | 194.9865 | 196.8271 | 2 | 248.58 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 194.9865 - 195.6 = -0.61349999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 195.6 - 196.8271 = -1.2271
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.2271 / -0.61349999999999 = 2.0002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2550.4295 | 100 | 13.039 | 26.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.61349999999999 = -13.04
Taille de position USD = -13.04 x 195.6 = -2550.62
Donc, tu peux acheter -13.04 avec un stoploss a 194.9865
Avec un position size USD de -2550.62$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -13.04 x -0.61349999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -13.04 x -1.2271 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.63 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.31 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4141 % | 132.01 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195.6 | 194.9865 | 196.8271 | 2 | 248.58 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 194.9865 - 195.6 = -0.61349999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 195.6 - 196.8271 = -1.2271
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.2271 / -0.61349999999999 = 2.0002
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.460% | 1.5R | -0.097% | 0.3R | 4.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.460% | 1.5R | -0.787% | 2.5R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.460% | 1.5R | -0.874% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.460% | 1.5R | -1.610% | 5.1R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.460% | 1.5R | -3.103% | 9.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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