Short Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_score)
With 2.75 AAVE at 91.253$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 94.1604 (3.19 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 05:10:04
hyperliquid
AAVE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 05:10
→ 08:05
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 91.253$
Qty 2.7516 AAVE
Size 251.0917$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 251.09$
SL 94.1604 (-3.19%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-0.14%
/ -0.34$
MAE -0.56%
MFE +1.14%
0.4R
expires
01 Aug 08:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55434)
#29 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 05:00
score du 01/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2965
Quality Score
0.451
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
20.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 05:00
01/08 05:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55434)
#29 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 05:00
score du 01/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2965
Quality Score
0.451
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#29 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#29 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.68×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.47×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.77×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
20.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 05:00
01/08 05:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1209
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
01/08 05:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.4505
Score SMA
0.4854
Rank
#29
/ 40
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2965
Rank Norm SMA
0.3613
Calculé le
01/08/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3113 | r1h: -0.006% · r4h: -0.791% · r1d: -7.41% · r3d: -6.62% · ema21_slope: -0.3085% · dist_ema21: -2.624% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3632 | rs_1h: -0.093% · rs_4h: -0.791% · rs_1d: -6.27% · rs_3d: -4.57% · beta_24h: 0.328 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2052 | rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.314 · trend: -30.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8351 | ADX: 40.2 (trend) · Chop: 35.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.143% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -3.186%
(2.9074)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.138% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.138% | 0.4R | -0.273% | 0.1R | 4.2× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.138% | 0.4R | -0.561% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.138% | 0.4R | -0.566% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.138% | 0.4R | -1.089% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.481% | 0.8R | -1.089% | 0.3R | 2.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.9
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.72 | bear_high | -6.49% | -0.46 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -1.73% | -0.56 | 01/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.53 | bear_low | -1.22% | -0.47 | 01/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.37 | range_low | -0.28% | -0.15 | 01/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 0.647×ATR | p0 | -0.807×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 4.91×ATR | p74 | -1.541×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.014×ATR | p26 | -0.73×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 25b | — | 5.164×ATR | p97 | +0.295×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.253 | 94.1604 | 136.6 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 91.253
- Stop Loss: 94.1604
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 94.1604 - 91.253 = 2.9074
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 91.253 - = 91.253
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 91.253 / 2.9074 = 31.3865
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 251.0917 | 100 | 2.7516 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 2.9074
Taille de position = 8 / 2.9074 = 2.75
Taille de position USD = 2.75 x 91.253 = 250.95
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.75 avec un stoploss a 94.1604
Avec un position size USD de 250.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.75 x 2.9074 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.75 x 91.253 = 250.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 250.95$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2.75
- Taille de position USD 250.95
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 250.95
- Risk-Reward Ratio 31.3865
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 251.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.34 $ | -0.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5611 % | 17.61 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.253 | 94.1604 | 136.6 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 91.253
- Stop Loss: 94.1604
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 94.1604 - 91.253 = 2.9074
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 91.253 - = 91.253
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 91.253 / 2.9074 = 31.3865
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -3.186%
(2.9074)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.138% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.138% | 0.4R | -0.273% | 0.1R | 4.2× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.138% | 0.4R | -0.561% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.138% | 0.4R | -0.566% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.138% | 0.4R | -1.089% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.481% | 0.8R | -1.089% | 0.3R | 2.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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