Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 16.39 TAO at 194.3$ per unit. Take profit: 195.2762 (0.5 %) & Stop Loss: 193.8119 (0.25 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 16.39 TAO at 194.3$ per unit. Take profit: 195.2762 (0.5 %) & Stop Loss: 193.8119 (0.25 %)
Position
Entry 194.3$
Qty 16.3907 TAO
Size 3184.7211$ (margin 100$) (leverage 32)
Risk Setup
TP 195.2762 (+0.5%)
TP $ 16$
SL 193.8119 (-0.25%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7440
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7440
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.97×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.02×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 10.22×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 01/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 01/08 05:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.23028 15m : 0.264201 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4995 | r1h: -0.469% · r4h: -0.869% · r1d: 1.05% · r3d: 0.37% · ema21_slope: 0.0628% · dist_ema21: -0.133% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5098 | rs_1h: -0.436% · rs_4h: -0.986% · rs_1d: 2.01% · rs_3d: 2.80% · beta_24h: 1.132 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1461 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -1.082 · trend: -36.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5798 | ADX: 17.8 (weak) · Chop: 46.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.863% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.304% | 1.2R | -0.211% | 0.8R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.443% | 1.8R | -0.211% | 0.8R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.546% | 2.2R | -0.937% | 3.7R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.546% | 2.2R | -1.611% | 6.4R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.546% | 2.2R | -2.455% | 9.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -6.49% | -0.47 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.62 | bear_high | -1.65% | +0.26 | 01/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.66 | bear_low | -1.19% | +0.21 | 01/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.24% | -0.21 | 01/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 47b | — | 9.624×ATR | p92 | +0.329×ATR | p35 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.555×ATR | p0 | +0.223×ATR | p27 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.815×ATR | p56 | -0.536×ATR | p56 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 6.622×ATR | p97 | -1.08×ATR | p84 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63031
0.000285279
63049
0.23028
63129.3
-0.00127324
63049
0.264201
63704.4
-0.00977092
63082
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.3708297904267
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.056387123231487
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4861595242977
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[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
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199.93
195
0.6154
0.5259
0.3307
0.2755
0.3758
1
0.2876
0.5349
0.6526
0.2435
0.5975
0.6753
0.0483
0.0445
0.6667
-0.1907
0.4145
0.55
0.45
1
4
1
0.449
0.4419
3.8009
0.5
1.6388
3.9675
0.4145
0.4739
0.2472
0.22
-0.1327
0.5343
0.5025
0.6303
0.6753
-3.5531
7.3882
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:03 | 194.30000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:08 | 194.45000000 | +0.077% |
| 3 | 06:14 | 194.47000000 | +0.087% |
| 4 | 06:26 | 194.26000000 | -0.021% |
| 5 | 06:33 | 194.12000000 | -0.093% |
| 6 | 06:38 | 193.98000000 | -0.165% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 199.04 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:05:00 | 199.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:45:00 | 196.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 06:20:00 | 197.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 06:55:00 | 196.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 07:10:00 | 197.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:35:00 | 195.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 08:05:00 | 195.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 08:25:00 | 196.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 194.26 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 11:00:00 | 194.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 12:00:00 | 192.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 13:00:00 | 194.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 190.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 18:00:00 | 197.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 192.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 22:30:00 | 194.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 199.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:45:00 | 196.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 194.26 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 186.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 194.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 07:00:00 | 190.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 195.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:00:00 | 192.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 197.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 190.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 18:00:00 | 197.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 199.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 09:00:00 | 195.08 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 194.3 | 193.8119 | 195.2762 | 2 | 248.48 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 193.8119 - 194.3 = -0.4881
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 194.3 - 195.2762 = -0.97619999999998
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.97619999999998 / -0.4881 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3184.7211 | 100 | 16.3907 | 32.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.4881 = -16.39
Taille de position USD = -16.39 x 194.3 = -3184.58
Donc, tu peux acheter -16.39 avec un stoploss a 193.8119
Avec un position size USD de -3184.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -16.39 x -0.4881 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -16.39 x -0.97619999999998 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.211 % | 84 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 194.3 | 193.8119 | 195.2762 | 2 | 248.48 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 193.8119 - 194.3 = -0.4881
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 194.3 - 195.2762 = -0.97619999999998
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.97619999999998 / -0.4881 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.304% | 1.2R | -0.211% | 0.8R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.443% | 1.8R | -0.211% | 0.8R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.546% | 2.2R | -0.937% | 3.7R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.546% | 2.2R | -1.611% | 6.4R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.546% | 2.2R | -2.455% | 9.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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