Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 8.77 XMR at 363.41$ per unit. Take profit: 365.2347 (0.5 %) & Stop Loss: 362.4976 (0.25 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 8.77 XMR at 363.41$ per unit. Take profit: 365.2347 (0.5 %) & Stop Loss: 362.4976 (0.25 %)
Position
Entry 363.41$
Qty 8.7685 XMR
Size 3186.5496$ (margin 100$) (leverage 32)
Risk Setup
TP 365.2347 (+0.5%)
TP $ 16$
SL 362.4976 (-0.25%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8760
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8760
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.01×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.57×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.51×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 01/08 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.219623 15m : 0.20169 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5780 | r1h: -0.241% · r4h: -0.274% · r1d: 3.32% · r3d: 4.25% · ema21_slope: 0.1527% · dist_ema21: 0.962% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5925 | rs_1h: -0.208% · rs_4h: -0.391% · rs_1d: 4.28% · rs_3d: 6.69% · beta_24h: 0.011 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1261 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -1.108 · trend: -52.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7745 | ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 36.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.707% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.201% | 0.8R | -0.176% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.201% | 0.8R | -0.176% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.201% | 0.8R | -0.996% | 4.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.201% | 0.8R | -1.560% | 6.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.237% | 0.9R | -1.560% | 6.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -6.49% | +0.86 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.32 | bear_high | -1.65% | +0.56 | 01/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
65%
|
noisy_chop 53% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.33 | bear_low | -1.19% | +0.47 | 01/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.28 | range_low | -0.24% | -0.07 | 01/08 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 0.536×ATR | p0 | +0.718×ATR | p78 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 3.28×ATR | p52 | +0.935×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 5.491×ATR | p92 | +0.731×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.943×ATR | p14 | -0.656×ATR | p40 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63031
0.000285279
63049
0.219623
63129.3
-0.00127324
63049
0.20169
63669.4
-0.0111897
62957
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351.76
186
0.5943
0.5691
0.3906
0.3057
0.46
0.5899
0.6338
0.6476
0.3437
0.1223
0.6549
0.8898
0.212
0.1341
1
1.426
2.8122
0.4
0.6
-1
19
1
0.3886
0.3535
6.7152
0.6
0.5899
2.0395
2.8122
0.838
0.2101
0.06
-0.1705
0.5948
0.6067
0.8775
0.8898
-1.5778
12.7344
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:05 | 363.41000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:10 | 363.43000000 | +0.006% |
| 3 | 06:16 | 363.18000000 | -0.063% |
| 4 | 06:28 | 363.07000000 | -0.094% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 04:30:00 | 367.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 04:50:00 | 367.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:35:00 | 366 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 06:15:00 | 364.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 06:55:00 | 364.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 07:10:00 | 367.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:55:00 | 364.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 09:15:00 | 366.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 09:25:00 | 366.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 363.2 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 347.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 16:45:00 | 358.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 19:00:00 | 351.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 20:30:00 | 351.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:30:00 | 367.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 06:15:00 | 364.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 367.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:45:00 | 364.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 09:15:00 | 366.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 363.2 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 07:00:00 | 351.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 12:00:00 | 345.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 355.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 349.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 361.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:00:00 | 355.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 347.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 16:00:00 | 358.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 367.34 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 363.41 | 362.4976 | 365.2347 | 2 | 608 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 362.4976 - 363.41 = -0.91240000000005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 363.41 - 365.2347 = -1.8247
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.8247 / -0.91240000000005 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3186.5496 | 100 | 8.7685 | 32.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.91240000000005 = -8.77
Taille de position USD = -8.77 x 363.41 = -3187.11
Donc, tu peux acheter -8.77 avec un stoploss a 362.4976
Avec un position size USD de -3187.11$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8.77 x -0.91240000000005 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8.77 x -1.8247 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3605 % | 143.57 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 363.41 | 362.4976 | 365.2347 | 2 | 608 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 362.4976 - 363.41 = -0.91240000000005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 363.41 - 365.2347 = -1.8247
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.8247 / -0.91240000000005 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.201% | 0.8R | -0.176% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.201% | 0.8R | -0.176% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.201% | 0.8R | -0.996% | 4.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.201% | 0.8R | -1.560% | 6.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.237% | 0.9R | -1.560% | 6.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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