Long Trade on kSHIB

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01 Aug 2026 at 06:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on kSHIB (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 39603.96 kSHIB at 0.00493$ per unit. Take profit: 0.005052 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.004727 (4.1 %)

kSHIB LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Aug 2026 06:10 → 11:35 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.004929$

Qty 39603.9604 kSHIB

Size 195.2079$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.005052 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.87$

SL 0.004727 (-4.1%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.61

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.87$ MAE -1.16% MFE +4.69% 1.1R expires 01 Aug 12:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 55477)

#3 / 40 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9313

Quality Score

0.654

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

3.8M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 06:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 55477)

#3 / 40 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9313

Quality Score

0.654

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#3 / 40 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.10 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#3 / 40 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.10 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.33×ATR
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	4.73×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

3.8M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 06:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/08 05:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

31/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/08 05:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1210

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range —	compression 0
Operational	bear —	expansion -1
Tactical	range —	transition 0
Micro	— —

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.60

Transition risk : 0.40

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.51

Snapshot évalué : 01/08 06:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/08/2026 06:00

Score brut

0.6541

Score SMA

0.5787

Rank

#3 / 40

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9313

Rank Norm SMA

0.7647

Calculé le

01/08/2026 06:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6972	r1h: 1.429% · r4h: 0.425% · r1d: 7.07% · r3d: 6.98% · ema21_slope: 0.2341% · dist_ema21: 2.790%
Force Relative	25%	0.7462	rs_1h: 1.462% · rs_4h: 0.307% · rs_1d: 8.03% · rs_3d: 9.42% · beta_24h: 0.851
Volume	20%	0.2118	rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.238 · trend: -29.22%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7733	ADX: 35.9 (trend) · Chop: 41.4 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.699% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.098% (0.0002)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.162%	0.0R	-1.156%	0.3R	0.1×	12
2h	+1.542%	0.4R	-1.156%	0.3R	1.3×	24
4h	+1.785%	0.4R	-1.156%	0.3R	1.5×	48
6h ★	+4.687%	1.1R	-1.156%	0.3R	4.1×	72
8h	+4.687%	1.1R	-1.156%	0.3R	4.1×	96
12h	+4.687%	1.1R	-2.739%	0.7R	1.7×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 3.14

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	—	0.73	bear_high	-6.49%	+0.92	31/07 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	normal	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 37%	mid	—	—	0.54	bear_high	-1.65%	+0.62	01/08 04:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	—	near -0.3ATR	0.26	bear_low	-1.19%	+0.61	01/08 05:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	near -1.7ATR	—	range_low	-0.24%	+0.07	01/08 05:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	6b	—	3.263×ATR	p11	+0.617×ATR	p63
4h	↑ up	mid	19b	—	2.351×ATR	p23	+0.664×ATR	p66
1h	↑ up	mid	3b	—	1.766×ATR	p19	+0.776×ATR	p69
15m	↑ up	late	13b	—	3.152×ATR	p62	+1.713×ATR	p94

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.004727
tp_price: 0.00505222
atr: 8.08E-5
expires_at: 2026-08-01T16:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 3
total: 40
score: 0.6972
delta_2h: 0.1543
extension_atr: 1.07
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9313
confidence: 0.999

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.004929	0.004727	0.005052	0.61	0.004856

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.004929
Stop Loss: 0.004727
Take Profit: 0.005052

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.004727 - 0.004929 = -0.000202
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.004929 - 0.005052 = -0.000123
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000123 / -0.000202 = 0.6089

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
195.2079	100	39603.9604	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.000202

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000202 = -39603.96

Taille de position USD = -39603.96 x 0.004929 = -195.21

Donc, tu peux acheter -39603.96 avec un stoploss a 0.004727

Avec un position size USD de -195.21$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -39603.96 x -0.000202 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -39603.96 x -0.000123 = 4.87

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.87$

Résumé

Taille de position -39603.96
Taille de position USD -195.21
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.87
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6089

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.87 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.1 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
4.87 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.1564 %	28.22 %	5

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.004929	0.004727	0.005052	0.61	0.004856

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.004929
Stop Loss: 0.004727
Take Profit: 0.005052

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.004727 - 0.004929 = -0.000202
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.004929 - 0.005052 = -0.000123
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000123 / -0.000202 = 0.6089

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.098% (0.0002)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.162%	0.0R	-1.156%	0.3R	0.1×	12
2h	+1.542%	0.4R	-1.156%	0.3R	1.3×	24
4h	+1.785%	0.4R	-1.156%	0.3R	1.5×	48
6h ★	+4.687%	1.1R	-1.156%	0.3R	4.1×	72
8h	+4.687%	1.1R	-1.156%	0.3R	4.1×	96
12h	+4.687%	1.1R	-2.739%	0.7R	1.7×	144

computed 2 months ago

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