Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 74801.31 PUMP at 0.00216$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002215 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002054 (4.95 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 07:10:05
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 07:10
→ 13:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.002161$
Qty 74801.309 PUMP
Size 161.6456$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002215 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.04$
SL 0.002054 (-4.95%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.74%
/ -1.2$
MAE -2.59%
MFE +0.79%
0.2R
expires
01 Aug 13:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55533)
#3 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 07:00
score du 01/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9744
Quality Score
0.643
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
31.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 07:02
01/08 07:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55533)
#3 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 07:00
score du 01/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9744
Quality Score
0.643
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.72×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
31.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 07:02
01/08 07:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1211
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
01/08 07:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.6428
Score SMA
0.6904
Rank
#3
/ 40
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9744
Rank Norm SMA
0.9765
Calculé le
01/08/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7048 | r1h: -0.230% · r4h: -0.230% · r1d: 7.52% · r3d: 15.95% · ema21_slope: 0.3368% · dist_ema21: 1.792% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7203 | rs_1h: -0.255% · rs_4h: -0.230% · rs_1d: 8.85% · rs_3d: 18.12% · beta_24h: -0.854 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1581 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.780 · trend: -42.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7980 | ADX: 39.6 (trend) · Chop: 42.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.073% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.951%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.787% | 0.2R | -1.157% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.787% | 0.2R | -1.620% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.787% | 0.2R | -2.221% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.787% | 0.2R | -2.591% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.787% | 0.2R | -5.553% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.787% | 0.2R | -5.553% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.51
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -6.49% | +1.00 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -1.85% | +0.86 | 01/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.29 | bear_low | -1.23% | +0.24 | 01/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.26 | range_low | -0.29% | -0.14 | 01/08 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 4.902×ATR | p75 | +1.023×ATR | p84 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 4.359×ATR | p67 | +0.733×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.709×ATR | p20 | -0.019×ATR | p4 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 2.831×ATR | p50 | -0.003×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002161 | 0.002054 | 0.002215 | 0.5 | 0.004201 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002161
- Stop Loss: 0.002054
- Take Profit: 0.002215
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002054 - 0.002161 = -0.000107
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002161 - 0.002215 = -5.4E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.4E-5 / -0.000107 = 0.5047
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161.6456 | 100 | 74801.309 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.000107
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000107 = -74766.36
Taille de position USD = -74766.36 x 0.002161 = -161.57
Donc, tu peux acheter -74766.36 avec un stoploss a 0.002054
Avec un position size USD de -161.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -74766.36 x -0.000107 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -74766.36 x -5.4E-5 = 4.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position -74766.36
- Taille de position USD -161.57
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5047
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.95 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.2 $ | -0.74 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5914 % | 52.34 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002161 | 0.002054 | 0.002215 | 0.5 | 0.004201 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002161
- Stop Loss: 0.002054
- Take Profit: 0.002215
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002054 - 0.002161 = -0.000107
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002161 - 0.002215 = -5.4E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.4E-5 / -0.000107 = 0.5047
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.951%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.787% | 0.2R | -1.157% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.787% | 0.2R | -1.620% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.787% | 0.2R | -2.221% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.787% | 0.2R | -2.591% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.787% | 0.2R | -5.553% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.787% | 0.2R | -5.553% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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