Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1072.8 LDO at 0.331$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3228 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3385 (2.23 %)
Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1072.8 LDO at 0.331$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3228 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3385 (2.23 %)
Position
Entry 0.3311$
Qty 1072.8031 LDO
Size 355.1944$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3228 (+2.51%)
TP $ 8.9$
SL 0.3385 (-2.23%)
SL $ 7.94$
RR 1.12
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0885
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0885
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 6.85×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.72×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/08 06:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2683 | r1h: -0.154% · r4h: -0.148% · r1d: -8.77% · r3d: -9.91% · ema21_slope: -0.3080% · dist_ema21: -2.848% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3320 | rs_1h: -0.179% · rs_4h: -0.148% · rs_1d: -7.44% · rs_3d: -7.74% · beta_24h: 0.898 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1645 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.648 · trend: -44.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9273 | ADX: 52.5 (trend) · Chop: 39.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.948% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.281% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.281% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.356% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.809% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.555% | 1.6R | -1.809% | 0.8R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.555% | 1.6R | -1.809% | 0.8R | 2.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -6.49% | +0.75 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late | — | — | 0.45 | bear_high | -1.85% | -0.60 | 01/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.42 | bear_low | -1.23% | -0.56 | 01/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bear_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.29% | -0.12 | 01/08 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.279×ATR | p28 | -1.033×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 5.554×ATR | p87 | -1.684×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 42b | — | 15.411×ATR | p100 | -1.21×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.654×ATR | p0 | -0.418×ATR | p38 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3311 | 0.3385 | 0.3228 | 1.12 | 0.3614 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3385 - 0.3311 = 0.0074
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3311 - 0.3228 = 0.0083
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0083 / 0.0074 = 1.1216
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 355.1944 | 100 | 1072.8031 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0074 = 1081.08
Taille de position USD = 1081.08 x 0.3311 = 357.95
Donc, tu peux acheter 1081.08 avec un stoploss a 0.3385
Avec un position size USD de 357.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1081.08 x 0.0074 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1081.08 x 0.0083 = 8.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 8.9 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.23 % | 7.94 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.49 $ | -0.98 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2806 % | 57.3 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3311 | 0.3385 | 0.3228 | 1.12 | 0.3614 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3385 - 0.3311 = 0.0074
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3311 - 0.3228 = 0.0083
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0083 / 0.0074 = 1.1216
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.281% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.281% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.356% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.809% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.555% | 1.6R | -1.809% | 0.8R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.555% | 1.6R | -1.809% | 0.8R | 2.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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