01 Aug 2026 at 07:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1072.8 LDO at 0.331$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3228 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3385 (2.23 %)

LDO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Aug 2026 07:10 → 08:00 · 49 minutes

Position

Entry 0.3311$

Qty 1072.8031 LDO

Size 355.1944$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3228 (+2.51%)

TP $ 8.9$

SL 0.3385 (-2.23%)

SL $ 7.94$

RR 1.12

Status loss PnL -0.98% / -3.49$ MAE -1.28% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 01 Aug 08:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=28 <= threshold=31/41

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 55509)
#35 / 40 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0885

Quality Score
0.436
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 07:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 55509)
#35 / 40 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0885

Quality Score
0.436
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#35 / 40 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.23 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#35 / 40 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.23 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 6.85×ATR
1d clear 2.72×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 07:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

31/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/08 06:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1211
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational bear

—

expansion

+1

Tactical range

—

transition

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.51
Snapshot évalué : 01/08 07:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 01/08/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4355
Score SMA
0.4531
Rank
#35 / 40
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0885
Rank Norm SMA
0.1728
Calculé le
01/08/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2683 r1h: -0.154% · r4h: -0.148% · r1d: -8.77% · r3d: -9.91% · ema21_slope: -0.3080% · dist_ema21: -2.848%
Force Relative 25% 0.3320 rs_1h: -0.179% · rs_4h: -0.148% · rs_1d: -7.44% · rs_3d: -7.74% · beta_24h: 0.898
Volume 20% 0.1645 rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.648 · trend: -44.26%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9273 ADX: 52.5 (trend) · Chop: 39.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.948% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -2.235% (0.0074)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.281% 0.6R 0.0× 12
1.2h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -1.281% 0.6R 0.0× 13
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.356% 0.6R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -1.809% 0.8R 0.0× 48
8h +3.555% 1.6R -1.809% 0.8R 2.0× 96
12h +3.555% 1.6R -1.809% 0.8R 2.0× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.78
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal range_high
46%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.71 bear_high -6.49% +0.75 31/07 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 52% late — — 0.45 bear_high -1.85% -0.60 01/08 04:00
1h ↓ down range range strong grind compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 49% late — — 0.42 bear_low -1.23% -0.56 01/08 06:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading normal bear_low
48%
noisy_chop 47% early — — — range_low -0.29% -0.12 01/08 06:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 9b — 3.279×ATR p28 -1.033×ATR p83
4h ↓ down late 10b — 5.554×ATR p87 -1.684×ATR p94
1h ↓ down late 42b — 15.411×ATR p100 -1.21×ATR p77
15m ↑ up early 4b — 0.654×ATR p0 -0.418×ATR p38

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.3385471
  2. tp_price: 0.32281275
  3. atr: 0.00298284
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-01T17:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 40
  2. total: 40
  3. score: 0.2683
  4. delta_2h: -0.0106
  5. extension_atr: -2.74
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0885
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3311 0.3385 0.3228 1.12 0.3614
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3311
  • Stop Loss: 0.3385
  • Take Profit: 0.3228

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3385 - 0.3311 = 0.0074

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3311 - 0.3228 = 0.0083

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0083 / 0.0074 = 1.1216

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
355.1944 100 1072.8031 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0074

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0074 = 1081.08

Taille de position USD = 1081.08 x 0.3311 = 357.95

Donc, tu peux acheter 1081.08 avec un stoploss a 0.3385

Avec un position size USD de 357.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1081.08 x 0.0074 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1081.08 x 0.0083 = 8.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1081.08
  • Taille de position USD 357.95
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 8.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.1216

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 8.9 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.23 % 7.94 $
PNL PNL %
-3.49 $ -0.98
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2806 % 57.3 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3311 0.3385 0.3228 1.12 0.3614
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3311
  • Stop Loss: 0.3385
  • Take Profit: 0.3228

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3385 - 0.3311 = 0.0074

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3311 - 0.3228 = 0.0083

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0083 / 0.0074 = 1.1216

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -2.235% (0.0074)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.281% 0.6R 0.0× 12
1.2h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -1.281% 0.6R 0.0× 13
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.356% 0.6R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -1.809% 0.8R 0.0× 48
8h +3.555% 1.6R -1.809% 0.8R 2.0× 96
12h +3.555% 1.6R -1.809% 0.8R 2.0× 144

computed 2 months ago

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