Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 142.66 KAITO at 1.075$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0482 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1312 (5.22 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 07:10:05
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 07:10
→ 08:10
· 59 minutes
Position
Entry 1.0751$
Qty 142.6606 KAITO
Size 153.3744$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1.0482 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.84$
SL 1.1312 (-5.22%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.48
Status
loss
PnL
-2.19%
/ -3.35$
MAE -3.65%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
01 Aug 08:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=20 <= threshold=31/41
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55532)
#40 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 07:00
score du 01/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1150
Quality Score
0.351
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 07:02
01/08 07:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55532)
#40 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 07:00
score du 01/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1150
Quality Score
0.351
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#40 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#40 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.71×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.52×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.06×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
6.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 07:02
01/08 07:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/08 06:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1211
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
01/08 07:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3506
Score SMA
0.4459
Rank
#40
/ 40
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1150
Rank Norm SMA
0.2013
Calculé le
01/08/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2838 | r1h: -1.619% · r4h: -2.129% · r1d: -3.13% · r3d: -14.36% · ema21_slope: -0.0320% · dist_ema21: -1.463% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2632 | rs_1h: -1.644% · rs_4h: -2.129% · rs_1d: -1.79% · rs_3d: -12.19% · beta_24h: -0.889 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1827 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.476 · trend: -79.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4205 | ADX: 15.3 (weak) · Chop: 63.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.151% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -5.218%
(0.0561)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.646% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.646% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.604% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -8.511% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -15.561% | 3.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -15.561% | 3.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -6.49% | +1.00 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.05 | bear_high | -1.85% | -0.84 | 01/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.7ATR | near 0.1ATR | -0.07 | bear_low | -1.23% | -0.23 | 01/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.04 | range_low | -0.29% | -0.22 | 01/08 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.968×ATR | p0 | +0.034×ATR | p4 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 1.588×ATR | p0 | -0.184×ATR | p21 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.732×ATR | p10 | -0.594×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.763×ATR | p47 | -1.18×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.13117714
- tp_price: 1.0482225
- atr: 0.02243086
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T17:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 39
- total: 40
- score: 0.2838
- delta_2h: -0.0727
- extension_atr: -0.62
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.115
- confidence: 0.974
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0751 | 1.1312 | 1.0482 | 0.48 | 0.2472 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.0751
- Stop Loss: 1.1312
- Take Profit: 1.0482
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1312 - 1.0751 = 0.0561
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0751 - 1.0482 = 0.0269
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0269 / 0.0561 = 0.4795
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153.3744 | 100 | 142.6606 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0561
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0561 = 142.6
Taille de position USD = 142.6 x 1.0751 = 153.31
Donc, tu peux acheter 142.6 avec un stoploss a 1.1312
Avec un position size USD de 153.31$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 142.6 x 0.0561 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 142.6 x 0.0269 = 3.84
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.84$
Résumé
- Taille de position 142.6
- Taille de position USD 153.31
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.84
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4795
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.84 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.22 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.35 $ | -2.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.6462 % | 69.88 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0751 | 1.1312 | 1.0482 | 0.48 | 0.2472 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.0751
- Stop Loss: 1.1312
- Take Profit: 1.0482
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1312 - 1.0751 = 0.0561
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0751 - 1.0482 = 0.0269
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0269 / 0.0561 = 0.4795
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0482
[entry_price] => 1.0751
[stop_loss] => 1.13681
[rr_ratio] => 0.44
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-01 14:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0482
[entry_price] => 1.0751
[stop_loss] => 1.14242
[rr_ratio] => 0.4
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-01 14:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0482
[entry_price] => 1.0751
[stop_loss] => 1.14803
[rr_ratio] => 0.37
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-01 14:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0482
[entry_price] => 1.0751
[stop_loss] => 1.15925
[rr_ratio] => 0.32
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-01 14:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -5.218%
(0.0561)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.646% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.646% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.604% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -8.511% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -15.561% | 3.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -15.561% | 3.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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