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Short Trade on WLD

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01 Aug 2026 at 14:38:02 hyperliquid

Short Trade on WLD (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 889.64 WLD at 0.298$ per unit. Take profit: 0.276 (7.54 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3075 (3.02 %)

WLD SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 01 Aug 2026 14:38 → 21:20 · 6 hours

Position

Entry 0.2985$

Qty 889.6362 WLD

Size 265.5564$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.276 (+7.54%)

TP $ 20.02$

SL 0.3075 (-3.02%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -3.02% / -8.01$ MAE -8.59% MFE +0.38% 0.1R expires 02 Aug 02:37

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 55788)
#21 / 35 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5409

Quality Score
0.521
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
90 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 14:30

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 55788)
#21 / 35 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5409

Quality Score
0.521
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#21 / 35 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.02 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#21 / 35 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.02 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.37×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear 1.97×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 14:30
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

31/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/08 14:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 01/08/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.5211
Score SMA
0.4793
Rank
#21 / 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5409
Rank Norm SMA
0.4493
Calculé le
01/08/2026 14:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4767 r1h: -0.601% · r4h: -0.180% · r1d: -0.68% · r3d: -0.21% · ema21_slope: 0.0347% · dist_ema21: -0.381%
Force Relative 25% 0.5032 rs_1h: -0.445% · rs_4h: 0.223% · rs_1d: -0.01% · rs_3d: 2.07% · beta_24h: 3.308
Volume 20% 0.5008 rvol_20: 2.04× · zscore_50: 0.232 · trend: -21.06%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3476 ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 72.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.014% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.015% (0.0090)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.375% 0.1R -1.250% 0.4R 0.3× 12
2h +0.375% 0.1R -1.250% 0.4R 0.3× 24
4h +0.375% 0.1R -1.853% 0.6R 0.2× 48
8h +0.375% 0.1R -4.479% 1.5R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +0.375% 0.1R -8.586% 2.9R 0.0× 144
24h +0.375% 0.1R -8.586% 2.9R 0.0× 288

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.32
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.52 bear_high -6.90% -1.00 31/07 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.43 bear_high -2.20% +0.17 01/08 12:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 35% mid near -1.4ATR — 0.51 bear_low -1.68% +0.13 01/08 14:00
15m ↓ down range range weak fading expansion bear_medium_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 45% late near 0.1ATR — — bear_low_confirmed -1.02% -0.10 01/08 14:15
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 45b — 15.141×ATR p94 -0.91×ATR p75
4h ↓ down early 10b — 1.594×ATR p0 -0.401×ATR p41
1h ↓ down mid 9b — 2.957×ATR p62 -1.06×ATR p83
15m ↓ down late 7b — 4.797×ATR p91 -1.939×ATR p100

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.8981
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.89×ATR dur=67b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(+0.07)
  4. stop_price: 0.30749244
  5. tp_price: 0.27601891
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.82809298702764
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-02T06:37:55.159478
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.82809298702764
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : -0.2498
  10. obi_top10 : -0.0239
  11. micro_price : 0.29972343
  12. spread_pct : 0.033367
  13. mid_price : 0.29975
  14. bid_wall_price : 0.289
  15. bid_wall_size : 1165133
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price :
  18. ask_wall_size :
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : -0.1915
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0668
  23. pressure_side : ask
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 6920
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    0.31217
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    0.30212
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    0.307145
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1785369600
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1785607200
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    2.8926
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    67
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: stretched
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.8281
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1785603600
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    0.30212
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.8806
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    1
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    1.0419
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    6
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    5
  54. regime : bear_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.00347438
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
67
inside_close_ratio
0.8806
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0419

Signaux confirmants (10)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 14:38 0.29850000 0%
2 14:44 0.29850000 0%
3 14:49 0.29798000 -0.174%
4 14:55 0.29798000 -0.174%
5 15:02 0.29798000 -0.174%
6 15:38 0.30011000 +0.539%
7 15:44 0.30011000 +0.539%
8 15:50 0.29993000 +0.479%
9 15:56 0.29993000 +0.479%
10 16:02 0.29993000 +0.479%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6920ms Confidence avant OB : 83% → 90%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.250
avg -0.192 ± 0.067
OBI Top 10 -0.024

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.2998
Micro Price
0.2997
Spread
0.0334%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.2890
Size
1,165,133.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2985 0.3075 0.276 2.5 0.554
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2985
  • Stop Loss: 0.3075
  • Take Profit: 0.276

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3075 - 0.2985 = 0.009

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2985 - 0.276 = 0.0225

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0225 / 0.009 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
265.5564 100 889.6362 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.009

Taille de position = 8 / 0.009 = 888.89

Taille de position USD = 888.89 x 0.2985 = 265.33

Donc, tu peux acheter 888.89 avec un stoploss a 0.3075

Avec un position size USD de 265.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 888.89 x 0.009 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 888.89 x 0.0225 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 888.89
  • Taille de position USD 265.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.54 % 20.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.02 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -3.02
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.129 % 103.78 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2985 0.3075 0.276 2.5 0.554
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2985
  • Stop Loss: 0.3075
  • Take Profit: 0.276

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3075 - 0.2985 = 0.009

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2985 - 0.276 = 0.0225

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0225 / 0.009 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.015% (0.0090)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.375% 0.1R -1.250% 0.4R 0.3× 12
2h +0.375% 0.1R -1.250% 0.4R 0.3× 24
4h +0.375% 0.1R -1.853% 0.6R 0.2× 48
8h +0.375% 0.1R -4.479% 1.5R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +0.375% 0.1R -8.586% 2.9R 0.0× 144
24h +0.375% 0.1R -8.586% 2.9R 0.0× 288

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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