Long Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 1.1 ZEC at 464.84$ per unit. Take profit: 483.0654 (3.92 %) & Stop Loss: 457.5499 (1.57 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 1.1 ZEC at 464.84$ per unit. Take profit: 483.0654 (3.92 %) & Stop Loss: 457.5499 (1.57 %)
Position
Entry 464.84$
Qty 1.0974 ZEC
Size 510.1021$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 483.0654 (+3.92%)
TP $ 20$
SL 457.5499 (-1.57%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8386
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8386
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.85×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.14×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 01/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 01/08 14:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4251 | r1h: -1.131% · r4h: -2.020% · r1d: 0.50% · r3d: -1.49% · ema21_slope: 0.0666% · dist_ema21: -0.810% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4956 | rs_1h: -0.577% · rs_4h: -0.800% · rs_1d: 1.67% · rs_3d: 1.84% · beta_24h: 2.021 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.34× · zscore_50: 3.348 · trend: 106.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6238 | ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 46.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.908% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.127% | 0.1R | -0.540% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.127% | 0.1R | -0.783% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.127% | 0.1R | -0.979% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.364% | 1.5R | -0.979% | 0.6R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.657% | 1.7R | -0.979% | 0.6R | 2.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.657% | 1.7R | -0.979% | 0.6R | 2.7× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
31%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -6.90% | -0.85 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.67 | bear_high | -2.20% | +0.37 | 01/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.62 | bear_low_confirmed | -2.13% | +0.23 | 01/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.52 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.16% | -0.03 | 01/08 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 17b | — | 4.08×ATR | p50 | -0.564×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.381×ATR | p0 | +0.06×ATR | p7 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 2.664×ATR | p59 | -1.051×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 5.974×ATR | p97 | -1.78×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
458.04
148
0.4396
0.7138
0.3057
0.2048
0.3883
1
0.0874
0.5246
0.4097
0.5657
0.721
0.3282
0.0575
0.0261
0.3333
-0.1275
-0.0364
0.55
0.45
-1
1
1
0.5904
0.7923
3.6824
0.6
1.3319
4.2098
-0.0364
0
0.337
0.54
0.0625
0.4373
0.5324
0.8561
0.3282
-6.2806
3.0685
1
0
0
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458.04
473.45
473.45
458.04
459.68
453.48
456.58
0.8893
473.45
468.88
471.165
0.9609
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 464.84 | 457.5499 | 483.0654 | 2.5 | 1310.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 457.5499 - 464.84 = -7.2901
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 464.84 - 483.0654 = -18.2254
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -18.2254 / -7.2901 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 510.1021 | 100 | 1.0974 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -7.2901 = -1.1
Taille de position USD = -1.1 x 464.84 = -511.32
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.1 avec un stoploss a 457.5499
Avec un position size USD de -511.32$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.1 x -7.2901 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.1 x -18.2254 = 20.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.05$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.92 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.57 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 3.92 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9788 % | 62.41 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 464.84 | 457.5499 | 483.0654 | 2.5 | 1310.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 457.5499 - 464.84 = -7.2901
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 464.84 - 483.0654 = -18.2254
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -18.2254 / -7.2901 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.127% | 0.1R | -0.540% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.127% | 0.1R | -0.783% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.127% | 0.1R | -0.979% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.364% | 1.5R | -0.979% | 0.6R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.657% | 1.7R | -0.979% | 0.6R | 2.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.657% | 1.7R | -0.979% | 0.6R | 2.7× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
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