Short Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 3.44 AAVE at 90.241$ per unit. Take profit: 87.985 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 92.5647 (2.57 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 15:10:05
hyperliquid
AAVE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 15:10
→ 19:15
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 90.241$
Qty 3.4428 AAVE
Size 310.685$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 87.985 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.77$
SL 92.5647 (-2.57%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.97
Status
loss
PnL
-0.36%
/ -1.13$
MAE -0.84%
MFE +1.39%
0.5R
expires
01 Aug 19:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=24 <= threshold=24/34
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55822)
#34 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 15:00
score du 01/08/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1294
Quality Score
0.424
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
19.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 15:00
01/08 15:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#34 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#34 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.29×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.79×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 01/08 15:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1219
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | range | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
01/08 15:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.4235
Score SMA
0.4579
Rank
#34
/ 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1294
Rank Norm SMA
0.2292
Calculé le
01/08/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2071 | r1h: -1.905% · r4h: -3.007% · r1d: -7.59% · r3d: -10.03% · ema21_slope: -0.1854% · dist_ema21: -2.997% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2706 | rs_1h: -1.351% · rs_4h: -1.787% · rs_1d: -6.41% · rs_3d: -6.70% · beta_24h: 1.895 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4182 | rvol_20: 1.40× · zscore_50: 0.453 · trend: -17.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7338 | ADX: 46.9 (trend) · Chop: 57.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.078% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.575%
(2.3237)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.956% | 0.4R | -0.842% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.387% | 0.5R | -0.842% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.387% | 0.5R | -0.842% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 4.2h ★ | +1.387% | 0.5R | -0.842% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 49 |
| 8h | +1.387% | 0.5R | -2.641% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.387% | 0.5R | -2.714% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.75
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.72 | bear_high | -6.90% | -0.43 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -2.20% | -0.45 | 01/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.54 | bear_low_confirmed | -2.13% | -0.30 | 01/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bear_medium_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | — | bear_low_confirmed | -1.16% | -0.11 | 01/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 0.621×ATR | p0 | -0.817×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 5.152×ATR | p77 | -1.22×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 2.882×ATR | p55 | -2.156×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 6.766×ATR | p94 | -3.747×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 92.56466571
- tp_price: 87.984975
- atr: 0.92946628
- expires_at: 2026-08-02T01:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 34
- total: 35
- score: 0.2071
- delta_2h: -0.1425
- extension_atr: -1.89
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1294
- confidence: 0.971
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:10 | 90.24100000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:10 | 90.24600000 | +0.006% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90.241 | 92.5647 | 87.985 | 0.97 | 152.22 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 90.241
- Stop Loss: 92.5647
- Take Profit: 87.985
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 92.5647 - 90.241 = 2.3237
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 90.241 - 87.985 = 2.256
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.256 / 2.3237 = 0.9709
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 310.685 | 100 | 3.4428 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 2.3237
Taille de position = 8 / 2.3237 = 3.44
Taille de position USD = 3.44 x 90.241 = 310.43
Donc, tu peux acheter 3.44 avec un stoploss a 92.5647
Avec un position size USD de 310.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3.44 x 2.3237 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3.44 x 2.256 = 7.76
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.76$
Résumé
- Taille de position 3.44
- Taille de position USD 310.43
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 7.76
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9709
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.77 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.57 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.13 $ | -0.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8422 % | 32.71 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90.241 | 92.5647 | 87.985 | 0.97 | 152.22 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 90.241
- Stop Loss: 92.5647
- Take Profit: 87.985
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 92.5647 - 90.241 = 2.3237
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 90.241 - 87.985 = 2.256
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.256 / 2.3237 = 0.9709
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.575%
(2.3237)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.956% | 0.4R | -0.842% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.387% | 0.5R | -0.842% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.387% | 0.5R | -0.842% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 4.2h ★ | +1.387% | 0.5R | -0.842% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 49 |
| 8h | +1.387% | 0.5R | -2.641% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.387% | 0.5R | -2.714% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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