Short Trade on ONDO

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01 Aug 2026 at 15:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ONDO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 895.31 ONDO at 0.382$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3723 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3907 (2.33 %)

ONDO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Aug 2026 15:10 → 17:10 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.3818$

Qty 895.3093 ONDO

Size 341.8291$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3723 (+2.49%)

TP $ 8.51$

SL 0.3907 (-2.33%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 1.07

Status loss PnL -0.01% / -0.045$ MAE -0.24% MFE +1.47% 0.6R expires 01 Aug 17:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=25 <= threshold=25/35

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 55831)

#32 / 35 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3557

Quality Score

0.459

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

3 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

4.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 15:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#32 / 35 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-2

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.33 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#32 / 35 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.33 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.24×ATR
4h	near	-0.60×ATR
1d	clear	4.57×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 01/08 15:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

01/08 15:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 01/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/08 14:00 Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

31/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

01/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/08 14:00

Score : -2 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1219

range ranging range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range	range	—	0
Operational	bear	expansion	—	+1
Tactical	range	transition	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.60

Transition risk : 0.40

Score contribution (this trade) +1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.51

Snapshot évalué : 01/08 15:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/08/2026 15:00

Score brut

0.4593

Score SMA

0.4674

Rank

#32 / 35

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3557

Rank Norm SMA

0.3380

Calculé le

01/08/2026 15:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2876	r1h: -1.646% · r4h: -2.445% · r1d: -4.91% · r3d: -7.19% · ema21_slope: -0.1258% · dist_ema21: -2.366%
Force Relative	25%	0.3501	rs_1h: -1.092% · rs_4h: -1.224% · rs_1d: -3.74% · rs_3d: -3.86% · beta_24h: 1.694
Volume	20%	0.3807	rvol_20: 1.51× · zscore_50: 0.001 · trend: -35.24%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7287	ADX: 42.2 (trend) · Chop: 53.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 0.987% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 2.2h) Initial Risk: -2.331% (0.0089)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.134%	0.5R	-0.047%	0.0R	24.1×	12
2h	+1.475%	0.6R	-0.238%	0.1R	6.2×	24
2.2h ★	+1.475%	0.6R	-0.238%	0.1R	6.2×	25
4h	+1.475%	0.6R	-0.238%	0.1R	6.2×	48
8h	+1.475%	0.6R	-2.920%	1.3R	0.5×	96
12h	+1.475%	0.6R	-3.756%	1.6R	0.4×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 4.45

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.65	bear_high	-6.90%	+0.96	31/07 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	range_high	34%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	near -0.6ATR	—	0.59	bear_high	-2.20%	-0.19	01/08 12:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 43%	late	near -0.2ATR	—	0.59	bear_low_confirmed	-2.13%	-0.10	01/08 14:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 48%	late	—	—	—	bear_low_confirmed	-1.16%	-0.10	01/08 14:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	38b	—	3.603×ATR	p40	-0.333×ATR	p42
4h	↓ down	mid	13b	—	4.568×ATR	p73	-0.794×ATR	p74
1h	↓ down	late	4b	—	2.375×ATR	p42	-1.163×ATR	p89
15m	↑ up	late	19b	—	0×ATR	p0	-2.173×ATR	p99

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.39073546
tp_price: 0.372255
atr: 0.00357419
expires_at: 2026-08-02T01:10:05+00:00

Details

rank: 33
total: 35
score: 0.2876
delta_2h: -0.0929
extension_atr: -1.73
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3557
confidence: 0.941

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	15:10	0.38180000	0%
2	16:10	0.37822000	-0.938%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3818	0.3907	0.3723	1.07	0.4491

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3818
Stop Loss: 0.3907
Take Profit: 0.3723

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3907 - 0.3818 = 0.0089
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3818 - 0.3723 = 0.0095
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0095 / 0.0089 = 1.0674

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
341.8291	100	895.3093	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0089

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0089 = 898.88

Taille de position USD = 898.88 x 0.3818 = 343.19

Donc, tu peux acheter 898.88 avec un stoploss a 0.3907

Avec un position size USD de 343.19$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 898.88 x 0.0089 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 898.88 x 0.0095 = 8.54

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.54$

Résumé

Taille de position 898.88
Taille de position USD 343.19
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 8.54
Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0674

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	8.51 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.33 %	7.97 $

PNL	PNL %
-0.045 $	-0.01

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.2383 %	10.22 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3818	0.3907	0.3723	1.07	0.4491

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3818
Stop Loss: 0.3907
Take Profit: 0.3723

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3907 - 0.3818 = 0.0089
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3818 - 0.3723 = 0.0095
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0095 / 0.0089 = 1.0674

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 2.2h) Initial Risk: -2.331% (0.0089)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.134%	0.5R	-0.047%	0.0R	24.1×	12
2h	+1.475%	0.6R	-0.238%	0.1R	6.2×	24
2.2h ★	+1.475%	0.6R	-0.238%	0.1R	6.2×	25
4h	+1.475%	0.6R	-0.238%	0.1R	6.2×	48
8h	+1.475%	0.6R	-2.920%	1.3R	0.5×	96
12h	+1.475%	0.6R	-3.756%	1.6R	0.4×	144

computed 2 months ago

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