Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 121.51 LIT at 2.022$ per unit. Take profit: 1.9715 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0878 (3.25 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 15:10:05
hyperliquid
LIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 15:10
→ 17:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 2.022$
Qty 121.5149 LIT
Size 245.7032$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1.9715 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.14$
SL 2.0878 (-3.25%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.77
Status
loss
PnL
-0.39%
/ -0.95$
MAE -0.88%
MFE +0.68%
0.2R
expires
01 Aug 17:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=24 <= threshold=25/35
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55840)
#35 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 15:00
score du 01/08/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0767
Quality Score
0.399
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
8.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 15:02
01/08 15:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#35 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#35 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.15×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.45×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 01/08 15:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/08 14:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1219
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | range | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
01/08 15:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3986
Score SMA
0.4142
Rank
#35
/ 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0767
Rank Norm SMA
0.0679
Calculé le
01/08/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3029 | r1h: -1.941% · r4h: -0.703% · r1d: -4.74% · r3d: -10.45% · ema21_slope: -0.1796% · dist_ema21: -1.866% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3491 | rs_1h: -1.388% · rs_4h: 0.518% · rs_1d: -3.56% · rs_3d: -7.13% · beta_24h: 2.316 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2526 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: -0.637 · trend: -20.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4662 | ADX: 28.2 (trend) · Chop: 71.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.352% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.254%
(0.0658)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.292% | 0.1R | -0.712% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.678% | 0.2R | -0.875% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.678% | 0.2R | -0.875% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 25 |
| 4h | +0.678% | 0.2R | -1.395% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.678% | 0.2R | -5.237% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.678% | 0.2R | -6.370% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.75
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | — | bear_high | -6.90% | -0.98 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -2.20% | -0.40 | 01/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_low_confirmed | -2.13% | -0.05 | 01/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
51%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.41 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.16% | +0.06 | 01/08 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 26b | — | 3.55×ATR | p50 | -0.622×ATR | p63 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 3.679×ATR | p55 | -0.423×ATR | p45 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.073×ATR | p0 | +0.102×ATR | p10 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 3.559×ATR | p68 | -1.223×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.08783554
- tp_price: 1.97145
- atr: 0.02633422
- expires_at: 2026-08-02T01:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 32
- total: 35
- score: 0.3029
- delta_2h: -0.0421
- extension_atr: -1.22
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0767
- confidence: 0.912
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.022 | 2.0878 | 1.9715 | 0.77 | 3.181 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.022
- Stop Loss: 2.0878
- Take Profit: 1.9715
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0878 - 2.022 = 0.0658
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.022 - 1.9715 = 0.0505
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0505 / 0.0658 = 0.7675
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 245.7032 | 100 | 121.5149 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0658
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0658 = 121.58
Taille de position USD = 121.58 x 2.022 = 245.83
Donc, tu peux acheter 121.58 avec un stoploss a 2.0878
Avec un position size USD de 245.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 121.58 x 0.0658 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 121.58 x 0.0505 = 6.14
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.14$
Résumé
- Taille de position 121.58
- Taille de position USD 245.83
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.14
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7675
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.14 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.25 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.95 $ | -0.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8754 % | 26.9 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.022 | 2.0878 | 1.9715 | 0.77 | 3.181 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.022
- Stop Loss: 2.0878
- Take Profit: 1.9715
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0878 - 2.022 = 0.0658
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.022 - 1.9715 = 0.0505
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0505 / 0.0658 = 0.7675
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.254%
(0.0658)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.292% | 0.1R | -0.712% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.678% | 0.2R | -0.875% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.678% | 0.2R | -0.875% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 25 |
| 4h | +0.678% | 0.2R | -1.395% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.678% | 0.2R | -5.237% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.678% | 0.2R | -6.370% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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