Long Trade on KAITO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 72.32 KAITO at 1.212$ per unit. Take profit: 1.4888 (22.81 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1017 (9.12 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 15:39:32
hyperliquid
KAITO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 15:39
→ 03:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.2123$
Qty 72.3214 KAITO
Size 87.6753$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.4888 (+22.81%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1.1017 (-9.12%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-3.36%
/ -2.94$
MAE -4.52%
MFE +0.79%
0.1R
expires
02 Aug 03:39
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55836)
#1 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 15:00
score du 01/08/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7652
Quality Score
0.712
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 15:31
01/08 15:31
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#1 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 01/08 15:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 01/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.7116
Score SMA
0.4687
Rank
#1
/ 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7652
Rank Norm SMA
0.3057
Calculé le
01/08/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6760 | r1h: -0.824% · r4h: 4.642% · r1d: 11.04% · r3d: -9.47% · ema21_slope: 0.2656% · dist_ema21: 7.733% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6847 | rs_1h: -0.271% · rs_4h: 5.862% · rs_1d: 12.22% · rs_3d: -6.14% · beta_24h: -1.567 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6823 | rvol_20: 2.44× · zscore_50: 0.500 · trend: 54.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6743 | ADX: 20.9 (weak) · Chop: 30.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.930% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -9.123%
(0.1106)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -1.691% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -2.532% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -2.953% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.792% | 0.1R | -2.953% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.792% | 0.1R | -4.520% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.792% | 0.1R | -13.388% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.31
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -6.90% | +1.00 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.04 | bear_high | -2.42% | -0.03 | 01/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | -0.09 | bear_low | -1.81% | +0.90 | 01/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.78% | +0.65 | 01/08 15:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.074×ATR | p0 | +0.563×ATR | p50 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 3.354×ATR | p23 | +1.336×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.891×ATR | p78 | +1.468×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 5.237×ATR | p94 | +0.058×ATR | p8 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8196
- reason: up_bo width=2.39×ATR dur=52b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.1016827
- tp_price: 1.48884326
- atr:
- score: 0.81955471472114
- expires_at: 2026-08-02T07:39:24.721483
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81955471472114
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.018
- obi_top10 : -0.0656
- micro_price : 1.2109141
- spread_pct : 0.049558
- mid_price : 1.211
- bid_wall_price : 1.2
- bid_wall_size : 116036.16
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 1.22
- ask_wall_size : 119692.1
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0004
- obi_top5_std : 0.0164
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6982
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.1473
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.0631
- balance_zone_mid:
1.1052
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785427200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785610800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3939
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
52
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8196
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785603600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.1473
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8077
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.848
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.03517304 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
52
inside_close_ratio
0.8077
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.848
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:39 | 1.21230000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:45 | 1.21230000 | 0% |
| 3 | 15:51 | 1.20770000 | -0.379% |
| 4 | 15:57 | 1.20770000 | -0.379% |
| 5 | 16:04 | 1.20770000 | -0.379% |
| 6 | 16:09 | 1.21120000 | -0.091% |
| 7 | 16:15 | 1.21120000 | -0.091% |
| 8 | 16:21 | 1.19650000 | -1.303% |
| 9 | 16:27 | 1.19650000 | -1.303% |
| 10 | 16:33 | 1.19650000 | -1.303% |
| 11 | 16:39 | 1.20350000 | -0.726% |
| 12 | 16:45 | 1.20350000 | -0.726% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6982ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.018
avg 0.000
± 0.016
OBI Top 10
-0.066
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.2110
Micro Price
1.2109
Spread
0.0496%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
1.2000
Size
116,036.16
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
1.2200
Size
119,692.10
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2123 | 1.1017 | 1.4888 | 2.5 | 0.2815 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.2123
- Stop Loss: 1.1017
- Take Profit: 1.4888
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1017 - 1.2123 = -0.1106
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2123 - 1.4888 = -0.2765
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2765 / -0.1106 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87.6753 | 87.6753 | 72.3214 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.1106
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1106 = -72.33
Taille de position USD = -72.33 x 1.2123 = -87.69
Donc, tu peux acheter -72.33 avec un stoploss a 1.1017
Avec un position size USD de -87.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -72.33 x -0.1106 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -72.33 x -0.2765 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -72.33
- Taille de position USD -87.69
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 22.81 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.12 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.94 $ | -3.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5203 % | 49.55 % | 20 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2123 | 1.1017 | 1.4888 | 2.5 | 0.2815 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.2123
- Stop Loss: 1.1017
- Take Profit: 1.4888
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1017 - 1.2123 = -0.1106
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2123 - 1.4888 = -0.2765
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2765 / -0.1106 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -9.123%
(0.1106)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -1.691% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -2.532% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -2.953% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.792% | 0.1R | -2.953% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.792% | 0.1R | -4.520% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.792% | 0.1R | -13.388% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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