Long Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 96.71 KAITO at 1.211$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2415 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1285 (6.83 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 16:10:04
hyperliquid
KAITO
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 16:10
→ 22:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 1.2112$
Qty 96.7134 KAITO
Size 117.1392$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.2415 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.93$
SL 1.1285 (-6.83%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.37
Status
win
PnL
+0.12%
/ +0.14$
MAE -2.86%
MFE +0.88%
0.1R
expires
01 Aug 22:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55871)
#1 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 16:00
score du 01/08/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8246
Quality Score
0.678
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 16:02
01/08 16:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#1 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 01/08 16:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 01/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1220
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | range | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
01/08 16:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6779
Score SMA
0.4785
Rank
#1
/ 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8246
Rank Norm SMA
0.3438
Calculé le
01/08/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7174 | r1h: 0.017% · r4h: 6.199% · r1d: 11.65% · r3d: -9.83% · ema21_slope: 0.3116% · dist_ema21: 6.451% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6906 | rs_1h: 0.188% · rs_4h: 7.055% · rs_1d: 12.43% · rs_3d: -8.07% · beta_24h: -4.337 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4346 | rvol_20: 1.26× · zscore_50: -0.011 · trend: 35.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6877 | ADX: 22.5 (weak) · Chop: 31.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.932% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.828%
(0.0827)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.427% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.799% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.429% | 0.1R | -2.865% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.883% | 0.1R | -2.865% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.883% | 0.1R | -3.129% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.883% | 0.1R | -4.516% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.16
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -6.90% | +1.00 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.04 | bear_high | -2.42% | -0.03 | 01/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | -0.09 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.91% | +0.88 | 01/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | — | bear_low | -0.93% | +0.62 | 01/08 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.074×ATR | p0 | +0.563×ATR | p50 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 3.354×ATR | p23 | +1.336×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.608×ATR | p76 | +1.253×ATR | p87 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 5.473×ATR | p94 | +0.05×ATR | p7 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2112 | 1.1285 | 1.2415 | 0.37 | 0.2797 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.2112
- Stop Loss: 1.1285
- Take Profit: 1.2415
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1285 - 1.2112 = -0.0827
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2112 - 1.2415 = -0.0303
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0303 / -0.0827 = 0.3664
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117.1392 | 100 | 96.7134 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0827
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0827 = -96.74
Taille de position USD = -96.74 x 1.2112 = -117.17
Donc, tu peux acheter -96.74 avec un stoploss a 1.1285
Avec un position size USD de -117.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -96.74 x -0.0827 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -96.74 x -0.0303 = 2.93
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.93$
Résumé
- Taille de position -96.74
- Taille de position USD -117.17
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.93
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3664
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.83 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.14 $ | 0.12 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.8649 % | 41.96 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2112 | 1.1285 | 1.2415 | 0.37 | 0.2797 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.2112
- Stop Loss: 1.1285
- Take Profit: 1.2415
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1285 - 1.2112 = -0.0827
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2112 - 1.2415 = -0.0303
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0303 / -0.0827 = 0.3664
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.828%
(0.0827)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.427% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.799% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.429% | 0.1R | -2.865% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.883% | 0.1R | -2.865% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.883% | 0.1R | -3.129% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.883% | 0.1R | -4.516% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.