01 Aug 2026 at 17:09:03 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ENA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 6810.89 ENA at 0.0799$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07693 (3.68 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08104 (1.46 %)

ENA SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 01 Aug 2026 17:09 → 21:20 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.07987$

Qty 6810.8872 ENA

Size 543.9719$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)

Risk Setup

TP 0.07693 (+3.68%)

TP $ 20.02$

SL 0.08104 (-1.46%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 2.51

Status loss PnL -1.46% / -7.97$ MAE -11.87% MFE +1.02% 0.7R expires 02 Aug 05:08

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 55902)
#26 / 35 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4950

Quality Score
0.481
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
89 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 17:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#26 / 35 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.46 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#26 / 35 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.46 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.34×ATR
4h near 0.16×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1)

01/08 17:00

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

31/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/08 16:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1221
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range range — 0
Operational bear expansion — +1
Tactical bear transition — +1
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.51
Snapshot évalué : 01/08 17:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 01/08/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.4813
Score SMA
0.4804
Rank
#26 / 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4950
Rank Norm SMA
0.3827
Calculé le
01/08/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4296 r1h: -0.956% · r4h: -2.125% · r1d: -1.12% · r3d: 2.67% · ema21_slope: -0.0054% · dist_ema21: -1.610%
Force Relative 25% 0.4494 rs_1h: -1.062% · rs_4h: -1.623% · rs_1d: -0.56% · rs_3d: 4.13% · beta_24h: 0.469
Volume 20% 0.2594 rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.622 · trend: 25.63%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5878 ADX: 22.4 (weak) · Chop: 50.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.089% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.465% (0.0012)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.247% 0.2R -0.364% 0.3R 0.7× 12
2h +0.401% 0.3R -0.364% 0.3R 1.1× 24
4h +1.017% 0.7R -0.525% 0.4R 1.9× 48
8h +1.017% 0.7R -10.254% 7.0R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +1.017% 0.7R -11.871% 8.1R 0.1× 144
24h +1.017% 0.7R -12.721% 8.7R 0.1× 288

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.2
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate fading normal bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 37% early — near 0.3ATR 0.62 bear_high -6.36% +0.30 31/07 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 37% early near 0.2ATR — 0.63 bear_high -2.39% +0.26 01/08 16:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced normal bear_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.59 bear_low -1.69% -0.03 01/08 16:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_medium
53%
noisy_chop 42% late — — — range_low -0.68% -0.13 01/08 16:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 5b — 2.153×ATR p0 -0.171×ATR p15
4h ↓ down early 12b — 1.842×ATR p0 -0.304×ATR p30
1h ↓ down mid 1b — 1.892×ATR p22 -1.116×ATR p83
15m ↓ down late 6b — 3.605×ATR p76 -1.094×ATR p92

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.8855
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.05×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.08104259
  5. tp_price: 0.07693153
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.88546198070845
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-02T09:08:56.196043
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.88546198070845
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0105
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0269
  15. micro_price : 0.07976008
  16. spread_pct : 0.012538
  17. mid_price : 0.079765
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.0796
  19. bid_wall_size : 3236967
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0141
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0051
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7001
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.081822
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.080095
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.0809585
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1785463200
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1785618000
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.0538
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    44
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8855
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1785614400
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.080095
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8409
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.27
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    1
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    1
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    9
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    13
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00084088
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.8409
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.27

Signaux confirmants (40)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 17:09 0.07986800 -0.003%
2 17:14 0.07986800 -0.003%
3 17:20 0.07996300 +0.116%
4 17:26 0.07996300 +0.116%
5 17:33 0.07996300 +0.116%
6 17:38 0.07998700 +0.146%
7 17:44 0.07998700 +0.146%
8 17:50 0.07989000 +0.025%
9 17:56 0.07989000 +0.025%
10 18:03 0.07989000 +0.025%
11 18:20 0.07992000 +0.063%
12 18:26 0.07992000 +0.063%
13 18:33 0.07992000 +0.063%
14 18:38 0.07971800 -0.19%
15 18:44 0.07971800 -0.19%
16 18:50 0.07985800 -0.015%
17 18:56 0.07985800 -0.015%
18 19:03 0.07985800 -0.015%
19 19:08 0.07959200 -0.348%
20 19:14 0.07959200 -0.348%
21 19:20 0.07946100 -0.512%
22 19:26 0.07946100 -0.512%
23 19:33 0.07946100 -0.512%
24 19:38 0.07918800 -0.854%
25 19:44 0.07918800 -0.854%
26 19:50 0.07920500 -0.833%
27 19:56 0.07920500 -0.833%
28 20:03 0.07920500 -0.833%
29 20:08 0.07939500 -0.595%
30 20:15 0.07939500 -0.595%
31 20:20 0.07958700 -0.354%
32 20:26 0.07958700 -0.354%
33 20:33 0.07958700 -0.354%
34 20:38 0.07952400 -0.433%
35 20:44 0.07952400 -0.433%
36 20:50 0.07988100 +0.014%
37 20:56 0.07988100 +0.014%
38 21:03 0.07988100 +0.014%
39 21:08 0.08001200 +0.178%
40 21:14 0.08001200 +0.178%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7001ms Confidence avant OB : 89% → 89%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.011
avg 0.014 ± 0.005
OBI Top 10 0.027

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0798
Micro Price
0.0798
Spread
0.0125%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.0796
Size
3,236,967.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07987 0.08104 0.07693 2.51 0.1881
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07987
  • Stop Loss: 0.08104
  • Take Profit: 0.07693

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08104 - 0.07987 = 0.00117

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07987 - 0.07693 = 0.00294

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00294 / 0.00117 = 2.5128

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
543.9719 100 6810.8872 5.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00117

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00117 = 6837.61

Taille de position USD = 6837.61 x 0.07987 = 546.12

Donc, tu peux acheter 6837.61 avec un stoploss a 0.08104

Avec un position size USD de 546.12$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6837.61 x 0.00117 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6837.61 x 0.00294 = 20.1

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.1$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6837.61
  • Taille de position USD 546.12
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.1
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5128

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.68 % 20.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.46 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
-7.97 $ -1.46
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.7641 % 120.42 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07987 0.08104 0.07693 2.51 0.1881
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07987
  • Stop Loss: 0.08104
  • Take Profit: 0.07693

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08104 - 0.07987 = 0.00117

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07987 - 0.07693 = 0.00294

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00294 / 0.00117 = 2.5128

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.07693
            [entry_price] => 0.07987
            [stop_loss] => 0.081157
            [rr_ratio] => 2.28
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-02 01:20:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.07693
            [entry_price] => 0.07987
            [stop_loss] => 0.081274
            [rr_ratio] => 2.09
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-02 01:20:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.07693
            [entry_price] => 0.07987
            [stop_loss] => 0.081391
            [rr_ratio] => 1.93
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-02 01:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.07693
            [entry_price] => 0.07987
            [stop_loss] => 0.081625
            [rr_ratio] => 1.68
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-02 01:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.465% (0.0012)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.247% 0.2R -0.364% 0.3R 0.7× 12
2h +0.401% 0.3R -0.364% 0.3R 1.1× 24
4h +1.017% 0.7R -0.525% 0.4R 1.9× 48
8h +1.017% 0.7R -10.254% 7.0R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +1.017% 0.7R -11.871% 8.1R 0.1× 144
24h +1.017% 0.7R -12.721% 8.7R 0.1× 288

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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