Long Trade on KAITO (CatchTheWave)
With 568.72 KAITO at 1.184$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2117 (2.37 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1695 (1.19 %)
Long Trade on KAITO (CatchTheWave)
With 568.72 KAITO at 1.184$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2117 (2.37 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1695 (1.19 %)
Position
Entry 1.1836$
Qty 568.7194 KAITO
Size 673.1363$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 1.2117 (+2.37%)
TP $ 15.98$
SL 1.1695 (-1.19%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 1.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8490
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.49×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 01/08 17:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.041281 15m : -0.040767 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/08 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | range | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6568 | r1h: -0.628% · r4h: 5.035% · r1d: 13.58% · r3d: -7.85% · ema21_slope: 0.3646% · dist_ema21: 5.479% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6565 | rs_1h: -0.733% · rs_4h: 5.538% · rs_1d: 14.14% · rs_3d: -6.39% · beta_24h: -4.897 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4214 | rvol_20: 1.26× · zscore_50: 0.006 · trend: 24.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6951 | ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 32.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.868% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.605% | 1.4R | -0.169% | 0.1R | 9.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.605% | 1.4R | -0.600% | 0.5R | 2.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.771% | 2.3R | -0.600% | 0.5R | 4.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.236% | 2.7R | -1.149% | 1.0R | 2.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.236% | 2.7R | -2.290% | 1.9R | 1.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -6.90% | +1.00 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.04 | bear_high | -2.39% | -0.32 | 01/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | -0.09 | bear_low | -1.69% | +0.83 | 01/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.68% | +0.75 | 01/08 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.074×ATR | p0 | +0.563×ATR | p50 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 3.356×ATR | p23 | +1.088×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 3.454×ATR | p72 | +0.81×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 2.442×ATR | p36 | -0.472×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62747.4
-0.00152063
62652
0.041281
62890.3
-0.00379026
62652
-0.040767
63542.2
-0.0153158
62569
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5.2275
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0.3175
0.76
0.5745
0.5515
0.514
0.5999
0.5617
-4.4065
5.646
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 14:55:00 | 1.1666 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 15:40:00 | 1.0854 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:35:00 | 1.1643 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 17:05:00 | 1.124 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1.2424 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:55:00 | 1.2047 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 19:10:00 | 1.2311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 19:45:00 | 1.2025 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 19:50:00 | 1.2187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 21:00:00 | 1.1834 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 05:30:00 | 1.0861 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 06:15:00 | 1.1123 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 08:45:00 | 1.0865 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 11:00:00 | 1.0736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 12:15:00 | 1.1246 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 13:30:00 | 1.1002 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:45:00 | 1.1666 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 15:30:00 | 1.0854 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1.2424 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 21:00:00 | 1.1834 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 12:00:00 | 0.98642 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 1.1473 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 19:00:00 | 1.0552 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 06:00:00 | 1.1781 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 12:00:00 | 1.0631 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 16:00:00 | 1.132 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 22:00:00 | 1.0497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 1.1184 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 11:00:00 | 1.0736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1.2424 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1836 | 1.1695 | 1.2117 | 1.99 | 0.2735 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1695 - 1.1836 = -0.0141
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1836 - 1.2117 = -0.0281
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0281 / -0.0141 = 1.9929
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 673.1363 | 100 | 568.7194 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0141 = -567.38
Taille de position USD = -567.38 x 1.1836 = -671.55
Donc, tu peux acheter -567.38 avec un stoploss a 1.1695
Avec un position size USD de -671.55$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -567.38 x -0.0141 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -567.38 x -0.0281 = 15.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.94$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.37 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.19 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.98 $ | 2.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5999 % | 50.36 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1836 | 1.1695 | 1.2117 | 1.99 | 0.2735 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1695 - 1.1836 = -0.0141
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1836 - 1.2117 = -0.0281
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0281 / -0.0141 = 1.9929
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.605% | 1.4R | -0.169% | 0.1R | 9.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.605% | 1.4R | -0.600% | 0.5R | 2.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.771% | 2.3R | -0.600% | 0.5R | 4.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.236% | 2.7R | -1.149% | 1.0R | 2.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.236% | 2.7R | -2.290% | 1.9R | 1.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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