Short Trade on XRP (CatchTheWave)
With 4837.11 XRP at 1.067$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0637 (0.31 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0687 (0.16 %)
Short Trade on XRP (CatchTheWave)
With 4837.11 XRP at 1.067$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0637 (0.31 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0687 (0.16 %)
Position
Entry 1.067$
Qty 4837.1103 XRP
Size 5161.1967$ (margin 100$) (leverage 52)
Risk Setup
TP 1.0637 (+0.31%)
TP $ 15.96$
SL 1.0687 (-0.16%)
SL $ 8.22$
RR 1.94
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7053
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.45×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.21×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.61×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 01/08 21:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.645048 15m : 0.557609 |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 01/08 21:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4939 | r1h: 0.113% · r4h: 0.569% · r1d: -0.11% · r3d: -0.79% · ema21_slope: -0.0298% · dist_ema21: 0.032% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5120 | rs_1h: 0.050% · rs_4h: 0.257% · rs_1d: 0.01% · rs_3d: 0.53% · beta_24h: 1.279 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4305 | rvol_20: 1.32× · zscore_50: 0.269 · trend: 11.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7320 | ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 39.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.361% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.113% | 0.7R | -0.675% | 4.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.113% | 0.7R | -0.825% | 5.2R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.113% | 0.7R | -1.575% | 9.9R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.113% | 0.7R | -1.706% | 10.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.113% | 0.7R | -1.706% | 10.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -6.42% | -0.14 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.82 | bear_high | -1.81% | +0.07 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.78 | bear_low | -0.90% | +0.03 | 01/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | range_low |
40%
|
choppy 48% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | — | range_low | +0.07% | +0.05 | 01/08 21:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 3.191×ATR | p18 | -0.412×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 15b | — | 2.842×ATR | p37 | +0.239×ATR | p29 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 4.979×ATR | p85 | +1.363×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 25b | — | 9.949×ATR | p100 | +2.455×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62786.3
0.0033394
62996
0.645048
62874.1
0.00193735
62996
0.557609
63486.3
-0.00778622
62992
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1.0469
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0.6467
0.4351
-7.4346
5.727
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:19 | 1.06700000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:25 | 1.06660000 | -0.037% |
| 3 | 21:32 | 1.06680000 | -0.019% |
| 4 | 21:37 | 1.06680000 | -0.019% |
| 5 | 21:43 | 1.06620000 | -0.075% |
| 6 | 21:49 | 1.06640000 | -0.056% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 19:10:00 | 1.0539 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 19:35:00 | 1.0511 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 20:20:00 | 1.0555 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 20:40:00 | 1.0529 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 22:05:00 | 1.0611 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 22:45:00 | 1.0618 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:25:00 | 1.0588 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:15:00 | 1.0624 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 00:50:00 | 1.0605 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:15:00 | 1.068 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 05:45:00 | 1.0621 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 07:30:00 | 1.0609 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 1.0593 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 10:30:00 | 1.0632 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 12:45:00 | 1.0644 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 13:45:00 | 1.0626 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:45:00 | 1.0656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 1.0469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 23:15:00 | 1.0588 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:15:00 | 1.068 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 1.0619 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 01:00:00 | 1.0805 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 15:00:00 | 1.0945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 1.0571 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 1.0589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 1.0669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 1.0593 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 1.0656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1.0469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:00:00 | 1.0665 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.067 | 1.0687 | 1.0637 | 1.94 | 1.3048 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0687 - 1.067 = 0.0017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.067 - 1.0637 = 0.0032999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0032999999999999 / 0.0017 = 1.9412
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5161.1967 | 100 | 4837.1103 | 52.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0017 = 4705.88
Taille de position USD = 4705.88 x 1.067 = 5021.17
Donc, tu peux acheter 4705.88 avec un stoploss a 1.0687
Avec un position size USD de 5021.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4705.88 x 0.0017 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4705.88 x 0.0032999999999999 = 15.53
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.53$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 15.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.16 % | 8.22 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.22 $ | -0.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5248 % | 329.44 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.067 | 1.0687 | 1.0637 | 1.94 | 1.3048 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0687 - 1.067 = 0.0017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.067 - 1.0637 = 0.0032999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0032999999999999 / 0.0017 = 1.9412
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.113% | 0.7R | -0.675% | 4.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.113% | 0.7R | -0.825% | 5.2R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.113% | 0.7R | -1.575% | 9.9R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.113% | 0.7R | -1.706% | 10.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.113% | 0.7R | -1.706% | 10.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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