Short Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 445.25 LINK at 8.156$ per unit. Take profit: 8.12 (0.44 %) & Stop Loss: 8.1739 (0.22 %)
Short Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 445.25 LINK at 8.156$ per unit. Take profit: 8.12 (0.44 %) & Stop Loss: 8.1739 (0.22 %)
Position
Entry 8.1559$
Qty 445.2499 LINK
Size 3631.4133$ (margin 100$) (leverage 36)
Risk Setup
TP 8.12 (+0.44%)
TP $ 15.98$
SL 8.1739 (-0.22%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 1.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6777
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.81×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.09×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 01/08 21:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.708348 15m : 0.613067 |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : bull_low_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 01/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4526 | r1h: 0.061% · r4h: 0.501% · r1d: -1.36% · r3d: -2.70% · ema21_slope: -0.0786% · dist_ema21: -0.277% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4770 | rs_1h: -0.003% · rs_4h: 0.190% · rs_1d: -1.24% · rs_3d: -1.37% · beta_24h: 1.633 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1870 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.499 · trend: -34.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8677 | ADX: 44.1 (trend) · Chop: 36.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.525% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.107% | 0.5R | -1.574% | 7.1R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.107% | 0.5R | -1.625% | 7.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.107% | 0.5R | -3.114% | 14.1R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.107% | 0.5R | -3.114% | 14.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.107% | 0.5R | -3.114% | 14.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.85 | bear_high | -6.42% | +0.12 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.88 | bear_high | -1.81% | -0.04 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.81 | bear_low | -0.90% | -0.08 | 01/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | range_low |
41%
|
ranging_calm 54% | late | — | — | 0.68 | range_low | +0.03% | +0.11 | 01/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.741×ATR | p6 | -0.673×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.939×ATR | p0 | -0.103×ATR | p11 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 5.556×ATR | p96 | +1.316×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 5.076×ATR | p74 | +2.915×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62787.1
0.00343818
63003
0.708348
62868.4
0.00183756
62984
0.613067
63485.9
-0.00807962
62973
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.399738774268
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
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7.8859
192
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0.4533
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0.4074
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0.561
0.6606
0.4175
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-0.0768
0.3333
1.3065
-0.2419
0.3
0.7
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7
1
0.464
0.5154
7.6301
0.6
1.5919
7.2889
-0.2419
0.651
0.2411
0.44
0.1455
0.5728
0.4905
0.793
0.4175
-7.8585
5.6333
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:37 | 8.15590000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:43 | 8.15340000 | -0.031% |
| 3 | 21:49 | 8.15570000 | -0.002% |
| 4 | 21:55 | 8.15660000 | +0.009% |
| 5 | 22:02 | 8.15230000 | -0.044% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 17:20:00 | 8.0825 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:50:00 | 7.8859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 19:10:00 | 8.0231 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 19:35:00 | 7.9906 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 22:30:00 | 8.0782 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:05:00 | 8.0808 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:40:00 | 8.0497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:05:00 | 8.0759 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 00:35:00 | 8.0514 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:30:00 | 8.1632 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 03:30:00 | 8.1912 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 8.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 8.0829 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 11:30:00 | 8.0809 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 8.112 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 16:30:00 | 8.1088 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 7.8859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 23:00:00 | 8.0808 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:30:00 | 8.0497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:30:00 | 8.1632 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 8.437 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 8.1604 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 8.3944 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 06:00:00 | 8.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 8.528 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:00:00 | 8.5202 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 8.0182 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 02:00:00 | 8.2417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 7.8859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:00:00 | 8.1584 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1559 | 8.1739 | 8.12 | 1.99 | 12.035 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.1739 - 8.1559 = 0.017999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.1559 - 8.12 = 0.035900000000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.035900000000002 / 0.017999999999999 = 1.9944
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3631.4133 | 100 | 445.2499 | 36.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.017999999999999 = 444.44
Taille de position USD = 444.44 x 8.1559 = 3624.81
Donc, tu peux acheter 444.44 avec un stoploss a 8.1739
Avec un position size USD de 3624.81$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 444.44 x 0.017999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 444.44 x 0.035900000000002 = 15.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.44 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.22 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7884 % | 357.23 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1559 | 8.1739 | 8.12 | 1.99 | 12.035 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.1739 - 8.1559 = 0.017999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.1559 - 8.12 = 0.035900000000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.035900000000002 / 0.017999999999999 = 1.9944
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.107% | 0.5R | -1.574% | 7.1R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.107% | 0.5R | -1.625% | 7.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.107% | 0.5R | -3.114% | 14.1R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.107% | 0.5R | -3.114% | 14.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.107% | 0.5R | -3.114% | 14.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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