Short Trade on WLD (CatchTheWave)
With 5570.22 WLD at 0.308$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3048 (0.94 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3091 (0.45 %)
Short Trade on WLD (CatchTheWave)
With 5570.22 WLD at 0.308$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3048 (0.94 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3091 (0.45 %)
Position
Entry 0.3077$
Qty 5570.2161 WLD
Size 1713.8441$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3048 (+0.94%)
TP $ 16.15$
SL 0.3091 (-0.45%)
SL $ 7.8$
RR 2.07
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2634
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.15×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 2.03×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 01/08 21:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.586562 15m : 0.509684 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4855 | r1h: 0.493% · r4h: 0.276% · r1d: 0.55% · r3d: -2.13% · ema21_slope: -0.0669% · dist_ema21: -0.613% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5189 | rs_1h: 0.430% · rs_4h: -0.035% · rs_1d: 0.67% · rs_3d: -0.80% · beta_24h: 2.542 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2150 | rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: -0.541 · trend: -58.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6007 | ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 44.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.007% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.166% | 0.4R | -1.355% | 3.0R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.166% | 0.4R | -2.099% | 4.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.166% | 0.4R | -4.322% | 9.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.166% | 0.4R | -5.340% | 11.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.166% | 0.4R | -5.340% | 11.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -6.42% | -0.99 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -1.81% | +0.20 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near -0.1ATR | near -0.1ATR | 0.50 | bear_low | -0.90% | -0.08 | 01/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 53% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | — | range_low | +0.03% | +0.17 | 01/08 21:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 46b | — | 16.164×ATR | p94 | -0.826×ATR | p69 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 1.561×ATR | p0 | -0.11×ATR | p12 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 2.97×ATR | p59 | +0.828×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 4.999×ATR | p94 | +3.493×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62786.8
0.00325086
62991
0.586562
62868.4
0.00183756
62984
0.509684
63485.9
-0.00807962
62973
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1
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4.2804
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0.2638
0.4
-0.0085
0.4144
0.4248
0.7497
0.3835
-5.6498
3.515
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:38 | 0.30768000 | -0.006% |
| 2 | 21:43 | 0.30802000 | +0.104% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 19:00:00 | 0.30223 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 19:35:00 | 0.29954 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 20:20:00 | 0.3018 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 20:35:00 | 0.29943 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 21:45:00 | 0.30403 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 22:20:00 | 0.30208 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 23:50:00 | 0.29983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:05:00 | 0.30148 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 00:35:00 | 0.29996 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:25:00 | 0.30843 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 0.30602 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 11:30:00 | 0.30979 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 14:30:00 | 0.30382 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 15:00:00 | 0.3069 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 16:30:00 | 0.3075 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:30:00 | 0.29589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 20:30:00 | 0.29943 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 21:45:00 | 0.30403 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:45:00 | 0.29983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:15:00 | 0.30843 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 0.29646 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 05:00:00 | 0.30274 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 11:00:00 | 0.30833 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:00:00 | 0.30212 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:00:00 | 0.31393 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 07:00:00 | 0.31131 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 0.29723 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 09:00:00 | 0.31063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.29589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:00:00 | 0.30843 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3077 | 0.3091 | 0.3048 | 2.07 | 0.5236 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3091 - 0.3077 = 0.0014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3077 - 0.3048 = 0.0029
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0029 / 0.0014 = 2.0714
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1713.8441 | 100 | 5570.2161 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0014 = 5714.29
Taille de position USD = 5714.29 x 0.3077 = 1758.29
Donc, tu peux acheter 5714.29 avec un stoploss a 0.3091
Avec un position size USD de 1758.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5714.29 x 0.0014 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5714.29 x 0.0029 = 16.57
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.57$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.94 % | 16.15 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 7.8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.8 $ | -0.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5037 % | 110.7 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3077 | 0.3091 | 0.3048 | 2.07 | 0.5236 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3091 - 0.3077 = 0.0014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3077 - 0.3048 = 0.0029
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0029 / 0.0014 = 2.0714
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.166% | 0.4R | -1.355% | 3.0R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.166% | 0.4R | -2.099% | 4.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.166% | 0.4R | -4.322% | 9.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.166% | 0.4R | -5.340% | 11.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.166% | 0.4R | -5.340% | 11.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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