Short Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 87.78 LTC at 44.579$ per unit. Take profit: 44.3967 (0.41 %) & Stop Loss: 44.6701 (0.2 %)
Short Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 87.78 LTC at 44.579$ per unit. Take profit: 44.3967 (0.41 %) & Stop Loss: 44.6701 (0.2 %)
Position
Entry 44.579$
Qty 87.78 LTC
Size 3913.1426$ (margin 100$) (leverage 39)
Risk Setup
TP 44.3967 (+0.41%)
TP $ 16$
SL 44.6701 (-0.2%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5408
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.54×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.31×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 01/08 21:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.57163 15m : 0.44274 |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 01/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4688 | r1h: 0.016% · r4h: 0.452% · r1d: 0.00% · r3d: -1.83% · ema21_slope: -0.0554% · dist_ema21: -0.047% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4982 | rs_1h: -0.048% · rs_4h: 0.141% · rs_1d: 0.12% · rs_3d: -0.50% · beta_24h: 0.900 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1863 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.353 · trend: -42.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7385 | ADX: 40.9 (trend) · Chop: 50.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.430% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.108% | 0.5R | -0.446% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.108% | 0.5R | -0.446% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.108% | 0.5R | -0.446% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.108% | 0.5R | -0.624% | 3.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.108% | 0.5R | -0.624% | 3.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.73 | bear_high | -6.42% | +0.05 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.70 | bear_high | -1.81% | -0.04 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.60 | bear_low | -0.89% | +0.03 | 01/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_low |
49%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.08% | +0.09 | 01/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.893×ATR | p0 | -0.765×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 3.306×ATR | p67 | -0.26×ATR | p28 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 4.587×ATR | p90 | +1.68×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 27b | — | 9.852×ATR | p100 | +3.156×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62779.1
0.0032319
62982
0.57163
62875.5
0.00169352
62982
0.44274
63486.4
-0.00764725
63001
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2621942825678
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5053916395173
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[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
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43.586
192
0.4048
0.5563
0.3601
0.2095
0.4833
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0.4516
0.2304
0.2894
0.5518
0.3172
0.0085
-0.0616
0.6667
1.4392
0.0321
0.25
0.75
-1
7
1
0.581
0.3639
5.0449
0.55
1.9594
4.7285
0.0321
0.4722
0.3712
0.28
-0.1179
0.4091
0.5712
0.7409
0.3172
-9.8903
4.5956
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:48 | 44.57900000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:54 | 44.56300000 | -0.036% |
| 3 | 22:01 | 44.54700000 | -0.072% |
| 4 | 22:06 | 44.53900000 | -0.09% |
| 5 | 22:12 | 44.69400000 | +0.258% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 20:35:00 | 43.931 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 21:00:00 | 44.122 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 22:25:00 | 44.227 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 22:55:00 | 44.151 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 23:00:00 | 44.223 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:35:00 | 44.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:05:00 | 44.239 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 00:10:00 | 44.178 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:55:00 | 44.136 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:40:00 | 44.678 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 05:45:00 | 44.365 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 44.649 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:30:00 | 44.193 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 13:00:00 | 44.364 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 44.205 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 43.586 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 19:00:00 | 44.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 22:15:00 | 44.227 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:30:00 | 44.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:30:00 | 44.678 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 44.939 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 45.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 44.305 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 07:00:00 | 45.559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 15:00:00 | 44.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:00:00 | 45.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 00:00:00 | 44.153 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 44.744 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 43.586 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:00:00 | 44.678 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.579 | 44.6701 | 44.3967 | 2 | 59.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 44.6701 - 44.579 = 0.091099999999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 44.579 - 44.3967 = 0.1823
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1823 / 0.091099999999997 = 2.0011
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3913.1426 | 100 | 87.78 | 39.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.091099999999997 = 87.82
Taille de position USD = 87.82 x 44.579 = 3914.93
Donc, tu peux acheter 87.82 avec un stoploss a 44.6701
Avec un position size USD de 3914.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 87.82 x 0.091099999999997 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 87.82 x 0.1823 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4464 % | 218.4 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.579 | 44.6701 | 44.3967 | 2 | 59.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 44.6701 - 44.579 = 0.091099999999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 44.579 - 44.3967 = 0.1823
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1823 / 0.091099999999997 = 2.0011
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(
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.108% | 0.5R | -0.446% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.108% | 0.5R | -0.446% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.108% | 0.5R | -0.446% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.108% | 0.5R | -0.624% | 3.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.108% | 0.5R | -0.624% | 3.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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