Short Trade on WLD (CatchTheWave)
With 5311.63 WLD at 0.308$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3053 (0.97 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3098 (0.49 %)
Short Trade on WLD (CatchTheWave)
With 5311.63 WLD at 0.308$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3053 (0.97 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3098 (0.49 %)
Position
Entry 0.3083$
Qty 5311.6265 WLD
Size 1637.7869$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3053 (+0.97%)
TP $ 15.93$
SL 0.3098 (-0.49%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2634
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.79×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 2.03×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 01/08 21:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.124356 15m : 0.514556 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 01/08 21:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4855 | r1h: 0.493% · r4h: 0.276% · r1d: 0.55% · r3d: -2.13% · ema21_slope: -0.0669% · dist_ema21: -0.613% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5189 | rs_1h: 0.430% · rs_4h: -0.035% · rs_1d: 0.67% · rs_3d: -0.80% · beta_24h: 2.542 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2150 | rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: -0.541 · trend: -58.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6007 | ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 44.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.007% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.208% | 0.4R | -1.158% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.208% | 0.4R | -1.901% | 3.9R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.208% | 0.4R | -4.269% | 8.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.208% | 0.4R | -5.135% | 10.6R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.208% | 0.4R | -5.135% | 10.6R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -6.42% | -0.99 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -1.81% | +0.20 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.50 | bear_low | -0.89% | +0.02 | 01/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 53% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | — | range_low | +0.08% | +0.19 | 01/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 46b | — | 16.164×ATR | p94 | -0.826×ATR | p69 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 1.561×ATR | p0 | -0.11×ATR | p12 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 3.692×ATR | p74 | +1.521×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 5.226×ATR | p97 | +2.918×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62784
0.00291409
62967
0.124356
62875.2
0.00147527
62968
0.514556
63486.4
-0.00764725
63001
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0.29589
192
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0.5598
0.3548
0.1976
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0.5064
0.553
0.4282
-0.0272
-0.0277
0.6667
1.33
0.9531
0.25
0.75
-1
7
1
0.6048
0.4392
4.2425
0.55
1.1
4.2804
0.9531
0.2872
0.2638
0.5
0.0096
0.4329
0.4313
0.7404
0.4282
-5.1461
3.8538
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:50 | 0.30834000 | +0.013% |
| 2 | 21:56 | 0.30815000 | -0.049% |
| 3 | 22:02 | 0.30860000 | +0.097% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 19:00:00 | 0.30223 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 19:35:00 | 0.29954 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 20:20:00 | 0.3018 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 20:35:00 | 0.29943 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 21:45:00 | 0.30403 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 22:20:00 | 0.30208 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 23:50:00 | 0.29983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:05:00 | 0.30148 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 00:35:00 | 0.29996 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:45:00 | 0.30925 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 0.30602 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 11:30:00 | 0.30979 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 14:30:00 | 0.30382 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 15:00:00 | 0.3069 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 16:30:00 | 0.3075 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:30:00 | 0.29589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 20:30:00 | 0.29943 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 21:45:00 | 0.30403 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:45:00 | 0.29983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:45:00 | 0.30925 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 0.29646 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 05:00:00 | 0.30274 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 11:00:00 | 0.30833 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:00:00 | 0.30212 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:00:00 | 0.31393 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 07:00:00 | 0.31131 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 0.29723 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 09:00:00 | 0.31063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.29589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:00:00 | 0.3089 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3083 | 0.3098 | 0.3053 | 2 | 0.5072 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3098 - 0.3083 = 0.0015
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3083 - 0.3053 = 0.003
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.003 / 0.0015 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1637.7869 | 100 | 5311.6265 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0015 = 5333.33
Taille de position USD = 5333.33 x 0.3083 = 1644.27
Donc, tu peux acheter 5333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.3098
Avec un position size USD de 1644.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5333.33 x 0.0015 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5333.33 x 0.003 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.97 % | 15.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -0.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9471 % | 194.68 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3083 | 0.3098 | 0.3053 | 2 | 0.5072 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3098 - 0.3083 = 0.0015
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3083 - 0.3053 = 0.003
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.003 / 0.0015 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.208% | 0.4R | -1.158% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.208% | 0.4R | -1.901% | 3.9R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.208% | 0.4R | -4.269% | 8.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.208% | 0.4R | -5.135% | 10.6R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.208% | 0.4R | -5.135% | 10.6R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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