Short Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 359.86 LINK at 8.215$ per unit. Take profit: 8.1701 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 8.2368 (0.27 %)
Short Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 359.86 LINK at 8.215$ per unit. Take profit: 8.1701 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 8.2368 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 8.2146$
Qty 359.8564 LINK
Size 2956.0764$ (margin 100$) (leverage 30)
Risk Setup
TP 8.1701 (+0.54%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 8.2368 (-0.27%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6908
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.81×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.09×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 01/08 22:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.655978 15m : 0.564769 |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : bull_low_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 01/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5147 | r1h: 1.129% · r4h: 1.224% · r1d: -0.59% · r3d: -2.63% · ema21_slope: -0.0655% · dist_ema21: 0.779% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5386 | rs_1h: 0.827% · rs_4h: 0.891% · rs_1d: -0.69% · rs_3d: -0.69% · beta_24h: 1.981 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4524 | rvol_20: 1.68× · zscore_50: 0.166 · trend: -11.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8470 | ADX: 41.6 (trend) · Chop: 28.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.567% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.856% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.040% | 3.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.378% | 8.8R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.378% | 8.8R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.378% | 8.8R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.85 | bear_high | -6.42% | +0.12 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.88 | bear_high | -1.81% | -0.04 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.80 | bear_low | -0.89% | -0.05 | 01/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | range_low |
41%
|
ranging_calm 55% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.08% | +0.12 | 01/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.741×ATR | p6 | -0.673×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.939×ATR | p0 | -0.103×ATR | p11 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 5.877×ATR | p96 | +1.708×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 5.042×ATR | p72 | +2.941×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62786
0.00280284
62962
0.655978
62875.2
0.00137957
62962
0.564769
63496.1
-0.00871121
62943
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-0.3885
0.3
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8
1
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0.5154
7.6301
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1.5919
7.2889
-0.3885
0.651
0.2123
0.34
0.0431
0.559
0.458
0.7033
0.4083
-8.8677
6.1203
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:07 | 8.21460000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:13 | 8.22810000 | +0.164% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 19:10:00 | 8.0231 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 19:35:00 | 7.9906 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 22:30:00 | 8.0782 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:05:00 | 8.0808 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:40:00 | 8.0497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:05:00 | 8.0759 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 00:35:00 | 8.0514 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:30:00 | 8.1632 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 8.1472 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:05:00 | 8.2202 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 03:30:00 | 8.1912 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 8.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 8.0829 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 11:30:00 | 8.0809 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 8.112 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 16:30:00 | 8.1088 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 7.8859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 23:00:00 | 8.0808 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:30:00 | 8.0497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 8.2202 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 8.437 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 8.1604 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 8.3944 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 06:00:00 | 8.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 8.528 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:00:00 | 8.5202 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 8.0182 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 02:00:00 | 8.2417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 7.8859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:00:00 | 8.1632 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2146 | 8.2368 | 8.1701 | 2 | 11.896 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.2368 - 8.2146 = 0.0222
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.2146 - 8.1701 = 0.044500000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.044500000000001 / 0.0222 = 2.0045
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2956.0764 | 100 | 359.8564 | 30.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0222 = 360.36
Taille de position USD = 360.36 x 8.2146 = 2960.21
Donc, tu peux acheter 360.36 avec un stoploss a 8.2368
Avec un position size USD de 2960.21$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 360.36 x 0.0222 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 360.36 x 0.044500000000001 = 16.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.04$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3019 % | 111.69 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2146 | 8.2368 | 8.1701 | 2 | 11.896 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.2368 - 8.2146 = 0.0222
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.2146 - 8.1701 = 0.044500000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.044500000000001 / 0.0222 = 2.0045
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.856% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.040% | 3.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.378% | 8.8R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.378% | 8.8R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.378% | 8.8R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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