Short Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 1.46 ETH at 1877.5$ per unit. Take profit: 1866.5677 (0.58 %) & Stop Loss: 1882.9662 (0.29 %)
Short Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 1.46 ETH at 1877.5$ per unit. Take profit: 1866.5677 (0.58 %) & Stop Loss: 1882.9662 (0.29 %)
Position
Entry 1877.5$
Qty 1.4635 ETH
Size 2747.812$ (margin 100$) (leverage 27)
Risk Setup
TP 1866.5677 (+0.58%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1882.9662 (-0.29%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5823
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.07×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low_exhausted Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 01/08 22:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.859869 15m : 0.837893 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : bull_low_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 01/08 22:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4923 | r1h: 0.591% · r4h: 0.640% · r1d: -0.50% · r3d: -3.11% · ema21_slope: -0.0617% · dist_ema21: 0.019% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5011 | rs_1h: 0.288% · rs_4h: 0.307% · rs_1d: -0.60% · rs_3d: -1.18% · beta_24h: 1.517 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5034 | rvol_20: 1.87× · zscore_50: 0.310 · trend: -2.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7775 | ADX: 33.3 (trend) · Chop: 25.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.448% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.357% | 1.2R | -0.320% | 1.1R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.357% | 1.2R | -0.320% | 1.1R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.357% | 1.2R | -0.320% | 1.1R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.874% | 3.0R | -0.320% | 1.1R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.539% | 5.3R | -0.320% | 1.1R | 4.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -6.42% | +0.29 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.88 | bear_high | -1.81% | -0.09 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
42%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.87 | range_low | -0.18% | -0.04 | 01/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_low_confirmed |
50%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | — | bull_low_confirmed | +0.77% | +0.09 | 01/08 22:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 37b | — | 5.366×ATR | p77 | -0.496×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 20b | — | 3.843×ATR | p61 | -0.44×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 5.667×ATR | p90 | +1.877×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 29b | — | 9.7×ATR | p100 | +3.595×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62816.8
0.00990493
63439
0.859869
62898.1
0.00859905
63439
0.837893
63506.2
-0.000822707
63454
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1820.7
191
0.4034
0.7106
0.3355
0.2333
0.4192
1
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0.5031
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0.7551
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8
1
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0.7458
5.9894
0.5
3.3774
8.9601
0.4822
0
0.2755
0.56
0.797
0.6176
0.5342
0.737
0.4667
-5.6857
4.9761
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:18 | 1877.50000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:24 | 1879.10000000 | +0.085% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 19:15:00 | 1839.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 20:20:00 | 1839.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 20:35:00 | 1832.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 22:30:00 | 1848.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:00:00 | 1848 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:25:00 | 1842.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:05:00 | 1848.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 00:50:00 | 1843.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:15:00 | 1858 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 02:05:00 | 1880.8 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 1871.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 08:30:00 | 1866.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 09:15:00 | 1869.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 1862.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:45:00 | 1874.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 1820.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 20:30:00 | 1832.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 22:30:00 | 1848.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:15:00 | 1842.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 1880.8 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 1935.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:00:00 | 1912.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 23:00:00 | 1936 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 1848 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 22:00:00 | 1858.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 1871.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 1862.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 1874.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1820.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 1880.8 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1877.5 | 1882.9662 | 1866.5677 | 2 | 2396 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1882.9662 - 1877.5 = 5.4662000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1877.5 - 1866.5677 = 10.9323
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 10.9323 / 5.4662000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2747.812 | 100 | 1.4635 | 27.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 5.4662000000001 = 1.46
Taille de position USD = 1.46 x 1877.5 = 2741.15
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.46 avec un stoploss a 1882.9662
Avec un position size USD de 2741.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.46 x 5.4662000000001 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.46 x 10.9323 = 15.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.29 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3196 % | 109.79 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1877.5 | 1882.9662 | 1866.5677 | 2 | 2396 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1882.9662 - 1877.5 = 5.4662000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1877.5 - 1866.5677 = 10.9323
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 10.9323 / 5.4662000000001 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.357% | 1.2R | -0.320% | 1.1R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.357% | 1.2R | -0.320% | 1.1R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.357% | 1.2R | -0.320% | 1.1R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.874% | 3.0R | -0.320% | 1.1R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.539% | 5.3R | -0.320% | 1.1R | 4.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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