Short Trade on SOL (CatchTheWave)
With 40.63 SOL at 73.213$ per unit. Take profit: 72.8192 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 73.4099 (0.27 %)
Short Trade on SOL (CatchTheWave)
With 40.63 SOL at 73.213$ per unit. Take profit: 72.8192 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 73.4099 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 73.213$
Qty 40.6342 SOL
Size 2974.9514$ (margin 100$) (leverage 30)
Risk Setup
TP 72.8192 (+0.54%)
TP $ 16$
SL 73.4099 (-0.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6407
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.93×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.02×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low_exhausted Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 01/08 22:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.748938 15m : 0.728878 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : bull_low_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 01/08 22:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5072 | r1h: 0.760% · r4h: 1.134% · r1d: -0.51% · r3d: -1.85% · ema21_slope: -0.0800% · dist_ema21: 0.393% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5288 | rs_1h: 0.458% · rs_4h: 0.801% · rs_1d: -0.61% · rs_3d: 0.08% · beta_24h: 2.259 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2501 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: -0.337 · trend: -37.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8041 | ADX: 36.5 (trend) · Chop: 24.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.514% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.438% | 1.6R | -0.086% | 0.3R | 5.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.438% | 1.6R | -0.109% | 0.4R | 4.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.438% | 1.6R | -0.576% | 2.1R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.438% | 1.6R | -0.576% | 2.1R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.740% | 2.8R | -0.576% | 2.1R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -6.42% | -0.46 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -0.87% | +0.08 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.83 | range_low | -0.18% | -0.03 | 01/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_low_confirmed |
49%
|
choppy 56% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | — | bull_low_confirmed | +0.77% | +0.10 | 01/08 22:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 29b | — | 4.752×ATR | p67 | -0.675×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.864×ATR | p32 | +0.621×ATR | p55 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 6.671×ATR | p96 | +1.942×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 29b | — | 12.502×ATR | p100 | +3.523×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62816.8
0.00990493
63439
0.748938
62898.1
0.00859905
63439
0.728878
63506.2
-0.000822707
63454
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70.552
191
0.4092
0.7457
0.3425
0.2854
0.3892
1
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0.499
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0.832
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1
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0.8523
0
0.2309
0.72
0.6782
0.6517
0.6369
0.728
0.5687
-4.5576
6.0096
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (9)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:18 | 73.21300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:24 | 73.17800000 | -0.048% |
| 3 | 22:30 | 73.03800000 | -0.239% |
| 4 | 22:54 | 73.10600000 | -0.146% |
| 5 | 23:00 | 73.10000000 | -0.154% |
| 6 | 23:06 | 73.09600000 | -0.16% |
| 7 | 23:36 | 73.16900000 | -0.06% |
| 8 | 23:42 | 73.18600000 | -0.037% |
| 9 | 23:48 | 73.18900000 | -0.033% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 18:10:00 | 71.939 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:50:00 | 70.552 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 22:00:00 | 71.963 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 22:30:00 | 71.953 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:00:00 | 72.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:25:00 | 71.791 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:15:00 | 72.116 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 01:35:00 | 72.725 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 02:05:00 | 73.325 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 04:45:00 | 73.175 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:45:00 | 72.833 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 73.077 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:30:00 | 72.901 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 09:00:00 | 73.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 72.625 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 73.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 70.552 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 23:15:00 | 71.791 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 73.325 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 01:00:00 | 74.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 73.281 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:00:00 | 75.268 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 13:00:00 | 73.788 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 72.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 72.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 73.175 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 72.625 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 70.552 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 73.325 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.213 | 73.4099 | 72.8192 | 2 | 105.05 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 73.4099 - 73.213 = 0.1969
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 73.213 - 72.8192 = 0.3938
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3938 / 0.1969 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2974.9514 | 100 | 40.6342 | 30.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1969 = 40.63
Taille de position USD = 40.63 x 73.213 = 2974.64
Donc, tu peux acheter 40.63 avec un stoploss a 73.4099
Avec un position size USD de 2974.64$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 40.63 x 0.1969 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 40.63 x 0.3938 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4234 % | 157.46 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.213 | 73.4099 | 72.8192 | 2 | 105.05 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 73.4099 - 73.213 = 0.1969
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 73.213 - 72.8192 = 0.3938
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3938 / 0.1969 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.438% | 1.6R | -0.086% | 0.3R | 5.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.438% | 1.6R | -0.109% | 0.4R | 4.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.438% | 1.6R | -0.576% | 2.1R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.438% | 1.6R | -0.576% | 2.1R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.740% | 2.8R | -0.576% | 2.1R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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