Long Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1134.4 ADA at 0.178$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1954 (9.96 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1707 (3.94 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 22:20:41
hyperliquid
ADA
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 22:20
→ 10:20
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1777$
Qty 1134.401 ADA
Size 201.6057$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1954 (+9.96%)
TP $ 20.08$
SL 0.1707 (-3.94%)
SL $ 7.94$
RR 2.53
Status
win
PnL
+6.62%
/ +13.34$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +8.02%
2.0R
expires
02 Aug 10:20
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 56069)
#3 / 33
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 22:00
score du 01/08/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8256
Quality Score
0.682
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 22:15
01/08 22:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#3 / 33
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 33
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.54×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low_exhausted Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 01/08 22:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1226
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué :
01/08 22:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.6816
Score SMA
0.5729
Rank
#3
/ 33
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8256
Rank Norm SMA
0.8187
Calculé le
01/08/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6343 | r1h: 1.108% · r4h: 0.505% · r1d: 3.45% · r3d: 6.84% · ema21_slope: 0.0734% · dist_ema21: 1.359% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6522 | rs_1h: 0.806% · rs_4h: 0.172% · rs_1d: 3.35% · rs_3d: 8.78% · beta_24h: 1.566 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6542 | rvol_20: 2.16× · zscore_50: 1.440 · trend: 18.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6496 | ADX: 25.8 (trend) · Chop: 46.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.143% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.939%
(0.0070)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.615% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.264% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +4.958% | 1.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +6.275% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +8.019% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 143 |
| 24h | +8.019% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.82
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.81 | bear_high | -6.42% | +0.72 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.68 | bear_high | -0.87% | +0.67 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.60 | range_low | -0.18% | +0.37 | 01/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | — | bull_low_confirmed | +0.75% | +0.09 | 01/08 22:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.467×ATR | p0 | +0.652×ATR | p63 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 2.848×ATR | p38 | +1.175×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +1.398×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 1.654×ATR | p0 | +1.535×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8035
- reason: up_bo width=2.90×ATR dur=41b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.17066782
- tp_price: 0.19535046
- atr:
- score: 0.8034628250279
- expires_at: 2026-08-02T14:20:33.524422
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8034628250279
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1065
- obi_top10 : -0.0209
- micro_price : 0.17813168
- spread_pct : 0.056148
- mid_price : 0.17815
- bid_wall_price : 0.174
- bid_wall_size : 6741849.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.18
- ask_wall_size : 5211517
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1091
- obi_top5_std : 0.003
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7125
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.17376
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.167975
- balance_zone_mid:
0.1708675
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785492000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785636000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8971
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
41
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8035
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785632400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.17376
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7805
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.9831
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00199683 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
41
inside_close_ratio
0.7805
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.9831
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:20 | 0.17772000 | +0.011% |
| 2 | 22:26 | 0.17772000 | +0.011% |
| 3 | 22:33 | 0.17772000 | +0.011% |
| 4 | 23:20 | 0.17914000 | +0.81% |
| 5 | 23:26 | 0.17914000 | +0.81% |
| 6 | 23:32 | 0.17914000 | +0.81% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7125ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.107
avg 0.109
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
-0.021
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1782
Micro Price
0.1781
Spread
0.0561%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1740
Size
6,741,849.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1800
Size
5,211,517.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1777 | 0.1707 | 0.1954 | 2.53 | 0.2193 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1777
- Stop Loss: 0.1707
- Take Profit: 0.1954
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1707 - 0.1777 = -0.007
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1777 - 0.1954 = -0.0177
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0177 / -0.007 = 2.5286
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201.6057 | 100 | 1134.401 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.007
Taille de position = 8 / -0.007 = -1142.86
Taille de position USD = -1142.86 x 0.1777 = -203.09
Donc, tu peux acheter -1142.86 avec un stoploss a 0.1707
Avec un position size USD de -203.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1142.86 x -0.007 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1142.86 x -0.0177 = 20.23
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.23$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1142.86
- Taille de position USD -203.09
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.23
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5286
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.96 % | 20.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.94 % | 7.94 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 13.34 $ | 6.62 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1777 | 0.1707 | 0.1954 | 2.53 | 0.2193 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1777
- Stop Loss: 0.1707
- Take Profit: 0.1954
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1707 - 0.1777 = -0.007
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1777 - 0.1954 = -0.0177
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0177 / -0.007 = 2.5286
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.939%
(0.0070)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.615% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.264% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +4.958% | 1.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +6.275% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +8.019% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 143 |
| 24h | +8.019% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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