Short Trade on DOGE (CatchTheWave)
With 45418.42 DOGE at 0.07$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06963 (0.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07016 (0.24 %)
Short Trade on DOGE (CatchTheWave)
With 45418.42 DOGE at 0.07$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06963 (0.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07016 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 0.06999$
Qty 45418.4172 DOGE
Size 3178.6988$ (margin 100$) (leverage 32)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06963 (+0.51%)
TP $ 16.35$
SL 0.07016 (-0.24%)
SL $ 7.72$
RR 2.12
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5002
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.06×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 01/08 22:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.585608 15m : 0.604286 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 01/08 22:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5032 | r1h: 0.548% · r4h: 0.624% · r1d: -0.78% · r3d: -1.37% · ema21_slope: -0.0557% · dist_ema21: 0.175% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5100 | rs_1h: 0.246% · rs_4h: 0.291% · rs_1d: -0.88% · rs_3d: 0.56% · beta_24h: 1.820 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2349 | rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.255 · trend: -27.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6822 | ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 28.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.564% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.190% | 0.8R | -0.149% | 0.6R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.190% | 0.8R | -0.202% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.190% | 0.8R | -0.804% | 3.3R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.229% | 0.9R | -0.804% | 3.3R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.229% | 0.9R | -0.804% | 3.3R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late_trend | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -6.42% | -0.45 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.1ATR | near -0.5ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -0.87% | +0.06 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
41%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.69 | range_low | -0.18% | -0.04 | 01/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | normal | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.54 | range_low | +0.65% | +0.03 | 01/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 29b | — | 4.107×ATR | p38 | -0.411×ATR | p45 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.35×ATR | p7 | +0.462×ATR | p49 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 5.857×ATR | p96 | +1.659×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 4.832×ATR | p72 | +1.66×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62842.6
0.008599
63383
0.585608
62906.2
0.00757944
63383
0.604286
63506.2
-0.000822707
63454
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0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 20:00:00 | 0.068373 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 20:20:00 | 0.068619 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 21:35:00 | 0.06923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 22:20:00 | 0.069008 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 22:30:00 | 0.069118 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 22:55:00 | 0.068968 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 23:05:00 | 0.06945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 00:05:00 | 0.069263 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 00:35:00 | 0.0691 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:15:00 | 0.070218 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 09:00:00 | 0.069905 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 0.069591 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 12:30:00 | 0.069744 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 0.070195 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 15:15:00 | 0.069961 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 0.070182 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 0.0678 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 21:30:00 | 0.06923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:00:00 | 0.06945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 02:15:00 | 0.070218 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 05:00:00 | 0.069616 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 19:00:00 | 0.070982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 01:00:00 | 0.07096 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 0.06848 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 19:00:00 | 0.070352 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 0.070249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 0.069591 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 0.070195 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.0678 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.070185 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06999 | 0.07016 | 0.06963 | 2.12 | 0.07955 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07016 - 0.06999 = 0.00017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06999 - 0.06963 = 0.00036
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00036 / 0.00017 = 2.1176
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3178.6988 | 100 | 45418.4172 | 32.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00017 = 47058.82
Taille de position USD = 47058.82 x 0.06999 = 3293.65
Donc, tu peux acheter 47058.82 avec un stoploss a 0.07016
Avec un position size USD de 3293.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 47058.82 x 0.00017 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 47058.82 x 0.00036 = 16.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.94$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.51 % | 16.35 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 7.72 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.72 $ | -0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.29 % | 119.39 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06999 | 0.07016 | 0.06963 | 2.12 | 0.07955 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07016 - 0.06999 = 0.00017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06999 - 0.06963 = 0.00036
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00036 / 0.00017 = 2.1176
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.190% | 0.8R | -0.149% | 0.6R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.190% | 0.8R | -0.202% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.190% | 0.8R | -0.804% | 3.3R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.229% | 0.9R | -0.804% | 3.3R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.229% | 0.9R | -0.804% | 3.3R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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