Short Trade on SUI (CatchTheWave)
With 4386.3 SUI at 0.687$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6833 (0.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6888 (0.28 %)
Short Trade on SUI (CatchTheWave)
With 4386.3 SUI at 0.687$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6833 (0.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6888 (0.28 %)
Position
Entry 0.6869$
Qty 4386.3016 SUI
Size 3013.1699$ (margin 100$) (leverage 30)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6833 (+0.52%)
TP $ 15.79$
SL 0.6888 (-0.28%)
SL $ 8.33$
RR 1.89
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7710
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.39×ATR |
| 1d | near | -3.26×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 01/08 22:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.758631 15m : 0.684619 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : bull_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 01/08 22:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5195 | r1h: 0.772% · r4h: 0.940% · r1d: -0.41% · r3d: -0.90% · ema21_slope: -0.0629% · dist_ema21: 0.465% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5345 | rs_1h: 0.470% · rs_4h: 0.608% · rs_1d: -0.51% · rs_3d: 1.04% · beta_24h: 2.069 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2604 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.272 · trend: -2.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8002 | ADX: 36.0 (trend) · Chop: 28.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.557% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.166% | 0.6R | -0.360% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.166% | 0.6R | -0.716% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.166% | 0.6R | -0.973% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.166% | 0.6R | -0.973% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.469% | 1.7R | -0.973% | 3.5R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -3.3ATR | — | 0.80 | bear_high | -6.42% | -0.63 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -0.4ATR | near 0.3ATR | 0.75 | bear_high | -0.87% | +0.10 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_medium |
41%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.74 | range_low | -0.18% | -0.01 | 01/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_low |
48%
|
ranging_calm 53% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | — | range_low | +0.65% | +0.09 | 01/08 22:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 29b | — | 3.823×ATR | p44 | -0.617×ATR | p59 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 2.59×ATR | p37 | +0.594×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 6.479×ATR | p96 | +1.938×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 6.141×ATR | p94 | +2.315×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62842.6
0.008599
63383
0.758631
62906.2
0.00757944
63383
0.684619
63506.2
-0.000822707
63454
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-4.5147
6.1224
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:31 | 0.68695000 | +0.007% |
| 2 | 22:37 | 0.68652000 | -0.055% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 18:50:00 | 0.6625 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 19:15:00 | 0.67139 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 20:30:00 | 0.67054 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 22:15:00 | 0.6783 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:20:00 | 0.67476 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:15:00 | 0.67767 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 00:35:00 | 0.6756 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:35:00 | 0.6833 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 02:05:00 | 0.68189 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:15:00 | 0.6894 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 05:45:00 | 0.68281 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 07:45:00 | 0.6857 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 09:15:00 | 0.68522 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 0.68239 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 13:00:00 | 0.68583 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 14:45:00 | 0.6855 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 0.6625 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 22:15:00 | 0.6783 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:15:00 | 0.67476 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:15:00 | 0.6894 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.69721 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 0.67606 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 0.69156 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:00:00 | 0.70769 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 08:00:00 | 0.69137 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 19:00:00 | 0.6765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 0.68985 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 13:00:00 | 0.68583 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.6625 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.68863 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6869 | 0.6888 | 0.6833 | 1.89 | 1.008 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6888 - 0.6869 = 0.0019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6869 - 0.6833 = 0.0035999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0035999999999999 / 0.0019 = 1.8947
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3013.1699 | 100 | 4386.3016 | 30.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0019 = 4210.53
Taille de position USD = 4210.53 x 0.6869 = 2892.21
Donc, tu peux acheter 4210.53 avec un stoploss a 0.6888
Avec un position size USD de 2892.21$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4210.53 x 0.0019 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4210.53 x 0.0035999999999999 = 15.16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 15.79 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 8.33 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.33 $ | -0.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2897 % | 104.74 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6869 | 0.6888 | 0.6833 | 1.89 | 1.008 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6888 - 0.6869 = 0.0019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6869 - 0.6833 = 0.0035999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0035999999999999 / 0.0019 = 1.8947
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.166% | 0.6R | -0.360% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.166% | 0.6R | -0.716% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.166% | 0.6R | -0.973% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.166% | 0.6R | -0.973% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.469% | 1.7R | -0.973% | 3.5R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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