Short Trade on SOL (CatchTheWave)
With 67 SOL at 73.21$ per unit. Take profit: 72.9712 (0.33 %) & Stop Loss: 73.3294 (0.16 %)
Short Trade on SOL (CatchTheWave)
With 67 SOL at 73.21$ per unit. Take profit: 72.9712 (0.33 %) & Stop Loss: 73.3294 (0.16 %)
Position
Entry 73.21$
Qty 66.998 SOL
Size 4904.9256$ (margin 100$) (leverage 49)
Risk Setup
TP 72.9712 (+0.33%)
TP $ 16$
SL 73.3294 (-0.16%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5995
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.80×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.02×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 00:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.837534 15m : 0.738106 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : bull_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 01/08 23:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5259 | r1h: 0.103% · r4h: 1.752% · r1d: 0.21% · r3d: -0.68% · ema21_slope: -0.0611% · dist_ema21: 0.965% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5098 | rs_1h: 0.022% · rs_4h: 0.650% · rs_1d: -0.60% · rs_3d: 0.34% · beta_24h: 1.672 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3559 | rvol_20: 1.01× · zscore_50: -0.124 · trend: 11.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7750 | ADX: 33.0 (trend) · Chop: 21.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.525% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.033% | 0.2R | -0.527% | 3.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.033% | 0.2R | -0.581% | 3.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.033% | 0.2R | -0.581% | 3.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.407% | 2.5R | -0.581% | 3.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.736% | 4.5R | -0.581% | 3.6R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -6.42% | -0.46 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -1.02% | +0.07 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.83 | range_low | -0.13% | -0.04 | 01/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_low |
48%
|
ranging_calm 51% | mid | — | near -0.4ATR | — | bull_low | +0.74% | +0.07 | 01/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 29b | — | 4.752×ATR | p67 | -0.675×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.731×ATR | p29 | +0.503×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 6.819×ATR | p96 | +1.479×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 1.54×ATR | p3 | +1.167×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63012.9
0.00691954
63449
0.837534
62971.9
0.00757621
63449
0.738106
63509.1
-0.000426862
63482
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70.552
190
0.4174
0.7632
0.3422
0.2898
0.385
1
0.125
0.5045
0.2615
0.712
0.757
0.5558
0.0581
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0.6667
1.7457
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9
1
0.4203
0.7071
6.0906
0.7
6.3844
10.032
0.766
0
0.2319
0.52
0.604
0.6409
0.6539
0.6404
0.5558
-5.1435
6.4349
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 22:00:00 | 71.963 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 22:30:00 | 71.953 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:00:00 | 72.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:25:00 | 71.791 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:15:00 | 72.116 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 01:35:00 | 72.725 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 02:05:00 | 73.325 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 02:40:00 | 72.892 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 03:00:00 | 73.199 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 73.214 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 05:45:00 | 72.833 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 73.077 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:30:00 | 72.901 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 09:00:00 | 73.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 72.625 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 73.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 70.552 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 23:15:00 | 71.791 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 73.325 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 73.214 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 01:00:00 | 74.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 73.281 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:00:00 | 75.268 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 13:00:00 | 73.788 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 72.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 72.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 73.175 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 72.625 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 70.552 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 73.325 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.21 | 73.3294 | 72.9712 | 2 | 102.06 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 73.3294 - 73.21 = 0.11940000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 73.21 - 72.9712 = 0.2388
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2388 / 0.11940000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4904.9256 | 100 | 66.998 | 49.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.11940000000001 = 67
Taille de position USD = 67 x 73.21 = 4905.07
Donc, tu peux acheter 67 avec un stoploss a 73.3294
Avec un position size USD de 4905.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 67 x 0.11940000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 67 x 0.2388 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.16 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1844 % | 113.06 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.21 | 73.3294 | 72.9712 | 2 | 102.06 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 73.3294 - 73.21 = 0.11940000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 73.21 - 72.9712 = 0.2388
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2388 / 0.11940000000001 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.033% | 0.2R | -0.527% | 3.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.033% | 0.2R | -0.581% | 3.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.033% | 0.2R | -0.581% | 3.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.407% | 2.5R | -0.581% | 3.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.736% | 4.5R | -0.581% | 3.6R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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