Long Trade on KAITO (CatchTheWave)
With 821.52 KAITO at 1.18$ per unit. Take profit: 1.1998 (1.65 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1706 (0.82 %)
Long Trade on KAITO (CatchTheWave)
With 821.52 KAITO at 1.18$ per unit. Take profit: 1.1998 (1.65 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1706 (0.82 %)
Position
Entry 1.1803$
Qty 821.5189 KAITO
Size 969.6387$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 1.1998 (+1.65%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 1.1706 (-0.82%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8963
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.60×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.49×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 00:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.090994 15m : -0.002145 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6649 | r1h: -0.484% · r4h: -0.766% · r1d: 7.46% · r3d: 0.95% · ema21_slope: 0.4783% · dist_ema21: 2.086% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5372 | rs_1h: -0.564% · rs_4h: -1.868% · rs_1d: 6.66% · rs_3d: 1.97% · beta_24h: -2.729 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2896 | rvol_20: 0.71× · zscore_50: -0.115 · trend: -2.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7002 | ADX: 25.5 (trend) · Chop: 39.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.440% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.314% | 0.4R | -0.873% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.314% | 0.4R | -1.872% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.314% | 0.4R | -2.016% | 2.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.364% | 4.1R | -3.008% | 3.7R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.364% | 4.1R | -10.582% | 12.9R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.43 | bear_high | -6.42% | +1.00 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.04 | bear_high | -1.02% | -0.78 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | -0.12 | range_low | -0.13% | +0.61 | 01/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.04 | bull_low | +0.74% | -0.07 | 01/08 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.233×ATR | p0 | +0.44×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 3.287×ATR | p23 | +0.828×ATR | p74 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.814×ATR | p13 | -0.067×ATR | p6 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.518×ATR | p38 | -0.482×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63013.5
0.00733948
63476
0.090994
62972.4
0.00799642
63476
-0.002145
63509.1
-0.000426862
63482
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1.6924
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1
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0.5539
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5.2275
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0.3407
0.36
0.3097
0.5146
0.4534
0.8916
0.5332
-6.6025
7.5418
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:04 | 1.18030000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:09 | 1.18140000 | +0.093% |
| 3 | 00:15 | 1.17520000 | -0.432% |
| 4 | 00:21 | 1.17580000 | -0.381% |
| 5 | 00:27 | 1.17550000 | -0.407% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 21:40:00 | 1.2026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 22:15:00 | 1.1765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 22:40:00 | 1.2002 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:05:00 | 1.1814 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:05:00 | 1.2164 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 00:35:00 | 1.1991 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:40:00 | 1.2219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 02:25:00 | 1.2182 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 02:30:00 | 1.1923 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 1.1784 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 08:45:00 | 1.0865 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 11:00:00 | 1.0736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 12:15:00 | 1.1246 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 13:30:00 | 1.1002 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:45:00 | 1.1666 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 15:30:00 | 1.0854 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1.2424 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 22:15:00 | 1.1765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:30:00 | 1.2219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 1.1784 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 1.1473 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 19:00:00 | 1.0552 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 06:00:00 | 1.1781 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 12:00:00 | 1.0631 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 16:00:00 | 1.132 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 22:00:00 | 1.0497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 1.1184 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 11:00:00 | 1.0736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1.2424 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 01:00:00 | 1.2219 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1803 | 1.1706 | 1.1998 | 2.01 | 0.2704 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1706 - 1.1803 = -0.0096999999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1803 - 1.1998 = -0.0195
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0195 / -0.0096999999999998 = 2.0103
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 969.6387 | 100 | 821.5189 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0096999999999998 = -824.74
Taille de position USD = -824.74 x 1.1803 = -973.44
Donc, tu peux acheter -824.74 avec un stoploss a 1.1706
Avec un position size USD de -973.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -824.74 x -0.0096999999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -824.74 x -0.0195 = 16.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.08$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.65 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.82 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -0.82 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8727 % | 106.19 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1803 | 1.1706 | 1.1998 | 2.01 | 0.2704 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1706 - 1.1803 = -0.0096999999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1803 - 1.1998 = -0.0195
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0195 / -0.0096999999999998 = 2.0103
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.314% | 0.4R | -0.873% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.314% | 0.4R | -1.872% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.314% | 0.4R | -2.016% | 2.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.364% | 4.1R | -3.008% | 3.7R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.364% | 4.1R | -10.582% | 12.9R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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