Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 488698.84 PUMP at 0.0022$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002231 (1.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002182 (0.73 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 488698.84 PUMP at 0.0022$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002231 (1.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002182 (0.73 %)
Position
Entry 0.002198$
Qty 488698.8393 PUMP
Size 1074.16$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002231 (+1.5%)
TP $ 16.13$
SL 0.002182 (-0.73%)
SL $ 7.82$
RR 2.06
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8998
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.86×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.175982 15m : 0.161206 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/08 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6117 | r1h: -1.319% · r4h: -0.971% · r1d: 1.77% · r3d: 17.18% · ema21_slope: 0.1665% · dist_ema21: 3.294% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5611 | rs_1h: -1.053% · rs_4h: -1.649% · rs_1d: 1.15% · rs_3d: 18.13% · beta_24h: 2.331 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3655 | rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: -0.072 · trend: 23.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7407 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 35.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.179% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.319% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.410% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.410% | 0.6R | -2.275% | 3.1R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.410% | 0.6R | -3.139% | 4.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.410% | 0.6R | -3.685% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.61 | bear_high | -5.71% | +1.00 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -0.95% | +0.95 | 02/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.29 | range_low | -0.22% | +0.25 | 02/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.59% | +0.15 | 02/08 02:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 19b | — | 5.005×ATR | p80 | +1.072×ATR | p87 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.159×ATR | p19 | +0.849×ATR | p74 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.194×ATR | p0 | +0.348×ATR | p41 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.21×ATR | p28 | -0.437×ATR | p39 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63265.1
0.00319034
63467
0.175982
63072.1
0.00626026
63467
0.161206
63478.8
-0.000171009
63468
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0.002288
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0.6005
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0.1136
1
1.0289
2.1822
0.55
0.45
1
4
1
0.4934
0.5477
5.1003
0.65
1.1875
5.5296
2.1822
0.4511
0.2509
0.5
0.1252
0.5643
0.468
0.3776
0.8773
-1.236
8.8403
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:45 | 0.00219800 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:51 | 0.00219400 | -0.182% |
| 3 | 02:57 | 0.00219100 | -0.318% |
| 4 | 03:04 | 0.00218800 | -0.455% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 23:45:00 | 0.002111 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:15:00 | 0.002147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 00:50:00 | 0.002118 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:50:00 | 0.002285 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 02:20:00 | 0.002288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 04:20:00 | 0.002211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 0.002283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 05:35:00 | 0.002236 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:10:00 | 0.002225 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:40:00 | 0.002195 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 17:00:00 | 0.002155 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 0.002041 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 19:45:00 | 0.002126 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 20:30:00 | 0.002085 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 21:45:00 | 0.002135 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:45:00 | 0.002111 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:15:00 | 0.002288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 04:15:00 | 0.002211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 0.002283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 06:30:00 | 0.002195 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 05:00:00 | 0.001919 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 0.001871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 20:00:00 | 0.002043 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 0.002043 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 09:00:00 | 0.001972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:00:00 | 0.002167 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 22:00:00 | 0.002024 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 0.002249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.002041 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.002288 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002198 | 0.002182 | 0.002231 | 2.06 | 0.004282 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002182 - 0.002198 = -1.6E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002198 - 0.002231 = -3.3E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.3E-5 / -1.6E-5 = 2.0625
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1074.16 | 100 | 488698.8393 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.6E-5 = -500000
Taille de position USD = -500000 x 0.002198 = -1099
Donc, tu peux acheter -500000 avec un stoploss a 0.002182
Avec un position size USD de -1099$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -500000 x -1.6E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -500000 x -3.3E-5 = 16.5
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.5$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.5 % | 16.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.73 % | 7.82 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.82 $ | -0.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7734 % | 106.25 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002198 | 0.002182 | 0.002231 | 2.06 | 0.004282 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002182 - 0.002198 = -1.6E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002198 - 0.002231 = -3.3E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.3E-5 / -1.6E-5 = 2.0625
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.319% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.410% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.410% | 0.6R | -2.275% | 3.1R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.410% | 0.6R | -3.139% | 4.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.410% | 0.6R | -3.685% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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