Short Trade on CRV (CatchTheWave)
With 16254.55 CRV at 0.206$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2051 (0.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2066 (0.24 %)
Short Trade on CRV (CatchTheWave)
With 16254.55 CRV at 0.206$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2051 (0.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2066 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 0.2061$
Qty 16254.5462 CRV
Size 3350.062$ (margin 100$) (leverage 34)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2051 (+0.49%)
TP $ 16.25$
SL 0.2066 (-0.24%)
SL $ 8.13$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5049
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.46×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.08×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 03:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.560827 15m : 0.336911 |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : bull_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 02/08 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4720 | r1h: -0.195% · r4h: 0.880% · r1d: -1.31% · r3d: -2.17% · ema21_slope: -0.0705% · dist_ema21: 0.735% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4702 | rs_1h: -0.251% · rs_4h: 0.822% · rs_1d: -1.99% · rs_3d: -1.39% · beta_24h: 1.211 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2614 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.478 · trend: 19.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8177 | ADX: 38.1 (trend) · Chop: 38.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.695% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.049% | 0.2R | -0.451% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.325% | 1.3R | -0.514% | 2.1R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.461% | 1.9R | -0.514% | 2.1R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.203% | 5.0R | -0.514% | 2.1R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.572% | 6.5R | -0.514% | 2.1R | 3.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.68 | bear_high | -5.71% | -0.50 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -0.95% | -0.07 | 02/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
52%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.52 | range_low | -0.14% | -0.07 | 02/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 49% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | — | range_low | +0.57% | +0.10 | 02/08 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 19b | — | 2.411×ATR | p0 | -0.193×ATR | p23 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.136×ATR | p4 | +0.385×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.42×ATR | p91 | +1.002×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.629×ATR | p0 | +0.38×ATR | p42 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63276.5
0.00308928
63472
0.560827
63084.9
0.00613612
63472
0.336911
63478.8
-0.000171009
63468
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0.2844
0.42
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0.6532
0.5926
0.5378
0.3506
-8.1351
4.3917
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 00:20:00 | 0.201 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 00:50:00 | 0.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:20:00 | 0.20352 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 02:35:00 | 0.20274 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:55:00 | 0.20364 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 03:55:00 | 0.20278 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:40:00 | 0.205 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:55:00 | 0.20637 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 06:35:00 | 0.20487 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 0.2061 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 12:30:00 | 0.20503 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 12:45:00 | 0.206 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 16:45:00 | 0.20051 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 19:15:00 | 0.1989 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 20:30:00 | 0.20131 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 22:00:00 | 0.20164 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:15:00 | 0.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:45:00 | 0.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:45:00 | 0.20637 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 06:30:00 | 0.20487 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 0.20316 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 01:00:00 | 0.21129 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 05:00:00 | 0.2081 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 10:00:00 | 0.21293 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 12:00:00 | 0.20911 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 19:00:00 | 0.2152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 0.20555 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:00:00 | 0.2101 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 19:00:00 | 0.1989 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 0.20637 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2061 | 0.2066 | 0.2051 | 2 | 0.3464 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2066 - 0.2061 = 0.0005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2061 - 0.2051 = 0.001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.001 / 0.0005 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3350.062 | 100 | 16254.5462 | 34.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0005 = 16000
Taille de position USD = 16000 x 0.2061 = 3297.6
Donc, tu peux acheter 16000 avec un stoploss a 0.2066
Avec un position size USD de 3297.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 16000 x 0.0005 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 16000 x 0.001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 16.25 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 8.13 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.13 $ | -0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3202 % | 131.99 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2061 | 0.2066 | 0.2051 | 2 | 0.3464 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2066 - 0.2061 = 0.0005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2061 - 0.2051 = 0.001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.001 / 0.0005 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.049% | 0.2R | -0.451% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.325% | 1.3R | -0.514% | 2.1R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.461% | 1.9R | -0.514% | 2.1R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.203% | 5.0R | -0.514% | 2.1R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.572% | 6.5R | -0.514% | 2.1R | 3.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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