Long Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 861.36 WLD at 0.32$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3282 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3109 (2.9 %)
Long Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 861.36 WLD at 0.32$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3282 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3109 (2.9 %)
Position
Entry 0.3202$
Qty 861.3617 WLD
Size 275.7908$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3282 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.89$
SL 0.3109 (-2.9%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.86
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6326
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.50×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.44×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 19.24×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 03:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 02/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 02/08 02:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6560 | r1h: -0.016% · r4h: 2.954% · r1d: 4.32% · r3d: 5.36% · ema21_slope: 0.1036% · dist_ema21: 3.946% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6540 | rs_1h: -0.072% · rs_4h: 2.896% · rs_1d: 3.64% · rs_3d: 6.14% · beta_24h: 2.183 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9911 | rvol_20: 3.43× · zscore_50: 3.388 · trend: 93.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7069 | ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 20.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.203% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.725% | 0.3R | -0.606% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.725% | 0.3R | -0.853% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +0.725% | 0.3R | -1.352% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 37 |
| 4h | +0.725% | 0.3R | -1.352% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.725% | 0.3R | -2.327% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.725% | 0.3R | -2.876% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -5.71% | -0.97 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -0.95% | +0.43 | 02/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.51 | range_low | -0.14% | +0.35 | 02/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
66%
|
choppy 45% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.57% | +0.32 | 02/08 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 46b | — | 14.483×ATR | p94 | -0.054×ATR | p4 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 3.177×ATR | p42 | +1.724×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 6.505×ATR | p100 | +1.923×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.053×ATR | p3 | +1.255×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3202 | 0.3109 | 0.3282 | 0.86 | 0.4941 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3109 - 0.3202 = -0.0093
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3202 - 0.3282 = -0.008
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.008 / -0.0093 = 0.8602
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 275.7908 | 100 | 861.3617 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0093 = -860.22
Taille de position USD = -860.22 x 0.3202 = -275.44
Donc, tu peux acheter -860.22 avec un stoploss a 0.3109
Avec un position size USD de -275.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -860.22 x -0.0093 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -860.22 x -0.008 = 6.88
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.88$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.89 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.9 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.43 $ | -0.88 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3523 % | 46.56 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3202 | 0.3109 | 0.3282 | 0.86 | 0.4941 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3109 - 0.3202 = -0.0093
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3202 - 0.3282 = -0.008
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.008 / -0.0093 = 0.8602
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.725% | 0.3R | -0.606% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.725% | 0.3R | -0.853% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +0.725% | 0.3R | -1.352% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 37 |
| 4h | +0.725% | 0.3R | -1.352% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.725% | 0.3R | -2.327% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.725% | 0.3R | -2.876% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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