Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 973.28 LDO at 0.325$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3171 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3334 (2.52 %)
02 Aug 2026 at 03:10:04
hyperliquid
LDO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Aug 2026 03:10
→ 09:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.3252$
Qty 973.2786 LDO
Size 316.5005$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3171 (+2.49%)
TP $ 7.88$
SL 0.3334 (-2.52%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.99
Status
win
PnL
+0.11%
/ +0.36$
MAE -1.34%
MFE +0.68%
0.3R
expires
02 Aug 09:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 56230)
#34 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/08/2026 03:00
score du 02/08/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1449
Quality Score
0.441
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/08 03:00
02/08 03:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#34 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#34 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 7.23×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.56×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 03:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/08 02:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1231
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué :
02/08 03:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
02/08/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.4413
Score SMA
0.4771
Rank
#34
/ 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1449
Rank Norm SMA
0.2108
Calculé le
02/08/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3433 | r1h: -0.540% · r4h: -0.956% · r1d: -0.56% · r3d: -8.15% · ema21_slope: -0.0948% · dist_ema21: -0.291% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3772 | rs_1h: -0.597% · rs_4h: -1.014% · rs_1d: -1.23% · rs_3d: -7.36% · beta_24h: 1.326 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1735 | rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -0.726 · trend: -33.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7284 | ADX: 35.4 (trend) · Chop: 46.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.969% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.522%
(0.0082)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.338% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.138% | 0.1R | -1.338% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.495% | 0.2R | -1.338% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.683% | 0.3R | -1.338% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.984% | 0.4R | -1.338% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.713% | 0.7R | -1.338% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.48
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -5.71% | +0.32 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.45 | bear_high | -0.95% | -0.65 | 02/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.42 | range_low | -0.14% | -0.13 | 02/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.57% | -0.04 | 02/08 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 3.478×ATR | p33 | -0.889×ATR | p76 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 5.877×ATR | p92 | -0.461×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.192×ATR | p54 | -0.027×ATR | p3 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.493×ATR | p3 | -0.448×ATR | p37 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.33340964
- tp_price: 0.31706025
- atr: 0.00328786
- expires_at: 2026-08-02T13:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 35
- total: 35
- score: 0.3433
- delta_2h: -0.0151
- extension_atr: -1.29
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1449
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:10 | 0.32519000 | -0.003% |
| 2 | 04:10 | 0.32633000 | +0.347% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3252 | 0.3334 | 0.3171 | 0.99 | 0.3887 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3252
- Stop Loss: 0.3334
- Take Profit: 0.3171
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3334 - 0.3252 = 0.0082
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3252 - 0.3171 = 0.0081
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0081 / 0.0082 = 0.9878
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 316.5005 | 100 | 973.2786 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0082
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0082 = 975.61
Taille de position USD = 975.61 x 0.3252 = 317.27
Donc, tu peux acheter 975.61 avec un stoploss a 0.3334
Avec un position size USD de 317.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 975.61 x 0.0082 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 975.61 x 0.0081 = 7.9
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.9$
Résumé
- Taille de position 975.61
- Taille de position USD 317.27
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.9
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9878
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 7.88 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.36 $ | 0.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3376 % | 53.05 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3252 | 0.3334 | 0.3171 | 0.99 | 0.3887 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3252
- Stop Loss: 0.3334
- Take Profit: 0.3171
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3334 - 0.3252 = 0.0082
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3252 - 0.3171 = 0.0081
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0081 / 0.0082 = 0.9878
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.522%
(0.0082)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.338% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.138% | 0.1R | -1.338% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.495% | 0.2R | -1.338% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.683% | 0.3R | -1.338% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.984% | 0.4R | -1.338% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.713% | 0.7R | -1.338% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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