Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 514469.45 PUMP at 0.00218$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002214 (1.42 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002167 (0.73 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 514469.45 PUMP at 0.00218$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002214 (1.42 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002167 (0.73 %)
Position
Entry 0.002183$
Qty 514469.4534 PUMP
Size 1123.0868$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002214 (+1.42%)
TP $ 15.95$
SL 0.002167 (-0.73%)
SL $ 8.23$
RR 1.94
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8559
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.86×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 03:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.165475 15m : 0.16787 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/08 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5412 | r1h: -2.361% · r4h: -2.923% · r1d: 0.60% · r3d: 15.67% · ema21_slope: 0.1952% · dist_ema21: 0.814% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4611 | rs_1h: -2.418% · rs_4h: -2.981% · rs_1d: -0.08% · rs_3d: 16.45% · beta_24h: 2.271 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3203 | rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: -0.213 · trend: 12.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7382 | ADX: 28.6 (trend) · Chop: 35.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.261% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.458% | 0.6R | -0.733% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.099% | 1.5R | -0.733% | 1.0R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.099% | 1.5R | -1.924% | 2.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.099% | 1.5R | -2.474% | 3.4R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.099% | 1.5R | -3.023% | 4.1R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.61 | bear_high | -5.71% | +1.00 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -0.91% | +0.93 | 02/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.31 | range_low | -0.14% | +0.03 | 02/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
33%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.53% | -0.37 | 02/08 03:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 19b | — | 5.005×ATR | p80 | +1.072×ATR | p87 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.57×ATR | p0 | +0.423×ATR | p39 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.368×ATR | p50 | -0.505×ATR | p54 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 4.642×ATR | p76 | -1.291×ATR | p84 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63293.5
0.00321513
63497
0.165475
63100.4
0.00580945
63467
0.16787
63508.8
-0.000659374
63467
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 08:00:00
[1] => 0.001871
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 20:00:00
[1] => 0.002043
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 03:00:00
[1] => 0.002043
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 09:00:00
[1] => 0.001972
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 17:00:00
[1] => 0.002167
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 22:00:00
[1] => 0.002024
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 04:00:00
[1] => 0.002249
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 18:00:00
[1] => 0.002041
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 02:00:00
[1] => 0.002288
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 07:00:00
[1] => 0.002169
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.458041958042
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.78377132319041
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4863992623329
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 17:00:00
[1] => 0.002155
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 18:45:00
[1] => 0.002041
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 19:45:00
[1] => 0.002126
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 20:30:00
[1] => 0.002085
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 21:45:00
[1] => 0.002135
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 23:45:00
[1] => 0.002111
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 02:15:00
[1] => 0.002288
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 04:15:00
[1] => 0.002211
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 05:00:00
[1] => 0.002283
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 07:15:00
[1] => 0.002169
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.2925974594831
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.73766712770862
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.2558782849239
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 00:15:00
[1] => 0.002147
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 00:50:00
[1] => 0.002118
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 01:50:00
[1] => 0.002285
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 02:20:00
[1] => 0.002288
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 04:20:00
[1] => 0.002211
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 05:00:00
[1] => 0.002283
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 05:35:00
[1] => 0.002236
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 06:10:00
[1] => 0.002225
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 07:15:00
[1] => 0.002169
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 07:30:00
[1] => 0.002196
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.591985428051
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.64545873674505
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2448132780083
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.002288
194
0.7279
0.674
0.3179
0.2522
0.3717
1
0.3471
0.562
0.6747
0.6511
0.6409
0.7879
0.1163
0.0874
1
0.1828
1.2163
0.55
0.45
1
5
1
0.4955
0.5477
5.1003
0.65
1.1875
5.5296
1.2163
0.4511
0.241
0.52
0.2086
0.5925
0.4799
0.5488
0.7879
-2.0567
7.6422
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:39 | 0.00218300 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:45 | 0.00218000 | -0.137% |
| 3 | 03:51 | 0.00217900 | -0.183% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 00:15:00 | 0.002147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 00:50:00 | 0.002118 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:50:00 | 0.002285 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 02:20:00 | 0.002288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 04:20:00 | 0.002211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 0.002283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 05:35:00 | 0.002236 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:10:00 | 0.002225 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:15:00 | 0.002169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:30:00 | 0.002196 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 17:00:00 | 0.002155 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 0.002041 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 19:45:00 | 0.002126 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 20:30:00 | 0.002085 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 21:45:00 | 0.002135 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:45:00 | 0.002111 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:15:00 | 0.002288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 04:15:00 | 0.002211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 0.002283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:15:00 | 0.002169 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 0.001871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 20:00:00 | 0.002043 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 0.002043 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 09:00:00 | 0.001972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:00:00 | 0.002167 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 22:00:00 | 0.002024 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 0.002249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.002041 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.002288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 0.002169 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002183 | 0.002167 | 0.002214 | 1.94 | 0.004517 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002167 - 0.002183 = -1.6E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002183 - 0.002214 = -3.1E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.1E-5 / -1.6E-5 = 1.9375
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1123.0868 | 100 | 514469.4534 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.6E-5 = -500000
Taille de position USD = -500000 x 0.002183 = -1091.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -500000 avec un stoploss a 0.002167
Avec un position size USD de -1091.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -500000 x -1.6E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -500000 x -3.1E-5 = 15.5
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.5$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.42 % | 15.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.73 % | 8.23 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.23 $ | -0.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7329 % | 100 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002183 | 0.002167 | 0.002214 | 1.94 | 0.004517 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002167 - 0.002183 = -1.6E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002183 - 0.002214 = -3.1E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.1E-5 / -1.6E-5 = 1.9375
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.002214
[entry_price] => 0.002183
[stop_loss] => 0.0021654
[rr_ratio] => 1.76
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-02 10:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.002214
[entry_price] => 0.002183
[stop_loss] => 0.0021638
[rr_ratio] => 1.61
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-02 10:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.002214
[entry_price] => 0.002183
[stop_loss] => 0.0021622
[rr_ratio] => 1.49
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-02 10:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.002214
[entry_price] => 0.002183
[stop_loss] => 0.002159
[rr_ratio] => 1.29
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-02 10:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.458% | 0.6R | -0.733% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.099% | 1.5R | -0.733% | 1.0R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.099% | 1.5R | -1.924% | 2.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.099% | 1.5R | -2.474% | 3.4R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.099% | 1.5R | -3.023% | 4.1R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.