Long Trade on XRP (CatchTheWave)
With 5470.05 XRP at 1.08$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0833 (0.27 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0789 (0.14 %)
Long Trade on XRP (CatchTheWave)
With 5470.05 XRP at 1.08$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0833 (0.27 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0789 (0.14 %)
Position
Entry 1.0804$
Qty 5470.0481 XRP
Size 5909.8399$ (margin 100$) (leverage 59)
Risk Setup
TP 1.0833 (+0.27%)
TP $ 15.86$
SL 1.0789 (-0.14%)
SL $ 8.21$
RR 1.93
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5505
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.63×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.43×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 34.32×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 04:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.615218 15m : 0.710574 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 02/08 04:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5478 | r1h: 0.148% · r4h: 0.632% · r1d: 2.06% · r3d: 0.70% · ema21_slope: 0.0648% · dist_ema21: 1.292% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5422 | rs_1h: 0.086% · rs_4h: 0.513% · rs_1d: 1.28% · rs_3d: 1.43% · beta_24h: 1.214 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1889 | rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.674 · trend: -24.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7643 | ADX: 31.7 (trend) · Chop: 16.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.416% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.139% | 1.0R | -0.389% | 2.8R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.250% | 1.8R | -0.389% | 2.8R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.250% | 1.8R | -0.389% | 2.8R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.250% | 1.8R | -0.389% | 2.8R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.537% | 3.9R | -0.389% | 2.8R | 1.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -5.71% | -0.03 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.82 | bear_high | -0.87% | +0.18 | 02/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.77 | range_low | -0.14% | +0.11 | 02/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.60 | range_low | +0.35% | +0.04 | 02/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 2.439×ATR | p0 | +0.097×ATR | p12 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.451×ATR | p52 | +1.222×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 8.31×ATR | p100 | +1.241×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.982×ATR | p31 | -0.634×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63342.3
0.00041996
63369
0.615218
63122.5
0.0039043
63369
0.710574
63521.3
-0.00085497
63467
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1.0469
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0.7075
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0.1367
1
2.6631
3.1495
0.5
0.5
-1
14
1
0.4615
0.685
4.5061
0.55
2.9683
5.5642
3.1495
0
0.2018
0.44
0.5634
0.6395
0.5428
0.5468
0.7645
-2.7362
8.881
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 02:40:00 | 1.0711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 03:35:00 | 1.0799 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 1.0838 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 05:15:00 | 1.0798 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:00:00 | 1.0852 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 06:15:00 | 1.0808 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:35:00 | 1.0835 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 1.0813 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:35:00 | 1.0846 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:25:00 | 1.0804 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 1.0593 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 10:30:00 | 1.0632 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 12:45:00 | 1.0644 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 13:45:00 | 1.0626 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:45:00 | 1.0656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 1.0469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 23:15:00 | 1.0588 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:00:00 | 1.0852 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:30:00 | 1.0846 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:15:00 | 1.0804 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 1.0619 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 01:00:00 | 1.0805 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 15:00:00 | 1.0945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 1.0571 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 1.0589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 1.0669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 1.0593 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 1.0656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1.0469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:00:00 | 1.0852 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0804 | 1.0789 | 1.0833 | 1.93 | 1.3314 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0789 - 1.0804 = -0.0015000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0804 - 1.0833 = -0.0028999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0028999999999999 / -0.0015000000000001 = 1.9333
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5909.8399 | 100 | 5470.0481 | 59.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0015000000000001 = -5333.33
Taille de position USD = -5333.33 x 1.0804 = -5762.13
Donc, tu peux acheter -5333.33 avec un stoploss a 1.0789
Avec un position size USD de -5762.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5333.33 x -0.0015000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5333.33 x -0.0028999999999999 = 15.47
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.47$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 15.86 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.14 % | 8.21 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.21 $ | -0.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1944 % | 140.06 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0804 | 1.0789 | 1.0833 | 1.93 | 1.3314 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0789 - 1.0804 = -0.0015000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0804 - 1.0833 = -0.0028999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0028999999999999 / -0.0015000000000001 = 1.9333
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.139% | 1.0R | -0.389% | 2.8R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.250% | 1.8R | -0.389% | 2.8R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.250% | 1.8R | -0.389% | 2.8R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.250% | 1.8R | -0.389% | 2.8R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.537% | 3.9R | -0.389% | 2.8R | 1.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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