Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 459.08 LINK at 8.333$ per unit. Take profit: 8.3682 (0.42 %) & Stop Loss: 8.3159 (0.21 %)
Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 459.08 LINK at 8.333$ per unit. Take profit: 8.3682 (0.42 %) & Stop Loss: 8.3159 (0.21 %)
Position
Entry 8.3333$
Qty 459.0831 LINK
Size 3825.677$ (margin 100$) (leverage 38)
Risk Setup
TP 8.3682 (+0.42%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 8.3159 (-0.21%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7274
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.51×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.61×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.74×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 04:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.659654 15m : 0.643458 |
1H_regime : bull_medium_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 02/08 04:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5818 | r1h: 0.276% · r4h: 1.289% · r1d: 3.15% · r3d: 1.31% · ema21_slope: 0.1016% · dist_ema21: 2.274% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5799 | rs_1h: 0.215% · rs_4h: 1.171% · rs_1d: 2.37% · rs_3d: 2.04% · beta_24h: 1.939 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4603 | rvol_20: 1.46× · zscore_50: 0.284 · trend: 16.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8240 | ADX: 38.9 (trend) · Chop: 10.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.633% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.647% | 3.1R | -0.265% | 1.3R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.647% | 3.1R | -0.348% | 1.7R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.647% | 3.1R | -0.822% | 3.9R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.647% | 3.1R | -1.024% | 4.9R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.647% | 3.1R | -1.024% | 4.9R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.85 | bear_high | -5.71% | +0.38 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.88 | bear_high | -0.87% | +0.15 | 02/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | range_low | -0.55% | +0.26 | 02/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low |
46%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.09% | +0.10 | 02/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.662×ATR | p0 | +0.095×ATR | p12 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 4.079×ATR | p64 | +1.214×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.334×ATR | p0 | +0.796×ATR | p63 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.152×ATR | p29 | -0.861×ATR | p62 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63320.8
-0.00194026
63198
0.659654
63128.8
0.00119075
63204
0.643458
63516.1
-0.00491372
63204
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0.7035
0.326
0.1201
1
2.0417
2.2275
0.3
0.7
1
3
1
0.5168
0.6439
9.3572
0.55
1.4727
11.2368
2.2275
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0.2746
0.66
0.7454
0.6243
0.5666
0.4586
0.7035
-3.2899
7.8049
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:55 | 8.33330000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:02 | 8.32800000 | -0.064% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 03:20:00 | 8.2545 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 03:40:00 | 8.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 04:30:00 | 8.3792 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 8.4099 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 05:35:00 | 8.3511 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:50:00 | 8.3924 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 06:15:00 | 8.3537 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 8.3562 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:20:00 | 8.3953 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:40:00 | 8.3182 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 8.0829 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 11:30:00 | 8.0809 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 8.112 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 16:30:00 | 8.1088 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 7.8859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 23:00:00 | 8.0808 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:30:00 | 8.0497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 8.4099 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:15:00 | 8.3953 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:30:00 | 8.3182 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 8.437 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 8.1604 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 8.3944 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 06:00:00 | 8.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 8.528 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:00:00 | 8.5202 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 8.0182 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 02:00:00 | 8.2417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 7.8859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 8.4099 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.3333 | 8.3159 | 8.3682 | 2.01 | 12.529 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.3159 - 8.3333 = -0.0174
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.3333 - 8.3682 = -0.0349
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0349 / -0.0174 = 2.0057
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3825.677 | 100 | 459.0831 | 38.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0174 = -459.77
Taille de position USD = -459.77 x 8.3333 = -3831.4
Donc, tu peux acheter -459.77 avec un stoploss a 8.3159
Avec un position size USD de -3831.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -459.77 x -0.0174 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -459.77 x -0.0349 = 16.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.05$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.21 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.252 % | 120.69 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.3333 | 8.3159 | 8.3682 | 2.01 | 12.529 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.3159 - 8.3333 = -0.0174
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.3333 - 8.3682 = -0.0349
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0349 / -0.0174 = 2.0057
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.647% | 3.1R | -0.265% | 1.3R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.647% | 3.1R | -0.348% | 1.7R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.647% | 3.1R | -0.822% | 3.9R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.647% | 3.1R | -1.024% | 4.9R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.647% | 3.1R | -1.024% | 4.9R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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