Long Trade on XRP (CatchTheWave)
With 4731.15 XRP at 1.078$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0817 (0.32 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0766 (0.16 %)
Long Trade on XRP (CatchTheWave)
With 4731.15 XRP at 1.078$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0817 (0.32 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0766 (0.16 %)
Position
Entry 1.0783$
Qty 4731.1523 XRP
Size 5101.6015$ (margin 100$) (leverage 51)
Risk Setup
TP 1.0817 (+0.32%)
TP $ 16.09$
SL 1.0766 (-0.16%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4960
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.09×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.43×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 34.32×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 05:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.60294 15m : 0.696862 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 02/08 04:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5118 | r1h: -0.342% · r4h: -0.176% · r1d: 1.65% · r3d: 0.15% · ema21_slope: 0.0762% · dist_ema21: 0.836% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5450 | rs_1h: 0.073% · rs_4h: 0.395% · rs_1d: 1.49% · rs_3d: 1.82% · beta_24h: 1.189 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2102 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.471 · trend: -28.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7637 | ADX: 31.6 (trend) · Chop: 21.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.426% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.445% | 2.8R | -0.186% | 1.2R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.445% | 2.8R | -0.186% | 1.2R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.445% | 2.8R | -0.186% | 1.2R | 2.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.445% | 2.8R | -0.186% | 1.2R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.733% | 4.7R | -0.186% | 1.2R | 4.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -5.71% | -0.03 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.82 | bear_high | -0.87% | +0.18 | 02/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
36%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.77 | range_low | -0.55% | +0.12 | 02/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.09% | +0.05 | 02/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 2.439×ATR | p0 | +0.097×ATR | p12 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.451×ATR | p52 | +1.222×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.219×ATR | p0 | +0.637×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.268×ATR | p38 | -0.97×ATR | p69 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63316.3
-0.00169592
63209
0.60294
63129.1
0.00126537
63209
0.696862
63516.1
-0.00491372
63204
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1.0852
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2
1
0.4467
0.5559
8.3231
0.55
2.0481
9.2289
2.1882
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0.2473
0.58
0.7568
0.6707
0.5403
0.5473
0.7026
-3.0748
7.2639
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:02 | 1.07830000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:07 | 1.07780000 | -0.046% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 03:35:00 | 1.0799 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 1.0838 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 05:15:00 | 1.0798 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:00:00 | 1.0852 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 06:15:00 | 1.0808 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:35:00 | 1.0835 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 1.0813 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:35:00 | 1.0846 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:40:00 | 1.0782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 1.0782 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 10:30:00 | 1.0632 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 12:45:00 | 1.0644 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 13:45:00 | 1.0626 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:45:00 | 1.0656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 1.0469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 23:15:00 | 1.0588 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:00:00 | 1.0852 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:30:00 | 1.0846 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:30:00 | 1.0782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 1.0782 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 1.0619 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 01:00:00 | 1.0805 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 15:00:00 | 1.0945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 1.0571 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 1.0589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 1.0669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 1.0593 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 1.0656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1.0469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:00:00 | 1.0852 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0783 | 1.0766 | 1.0817 | 2 | 1.335 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0766 - 1.0783 = -0.0017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0783 - 1.0817 = -0.0034000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0034000000000001 / -0.0017 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5101.6015 | 100 | 4731.1523 | 51.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0017 = -4705.88
Taille de position USD = -4705.88 x 1.0783 = -5074.35
Donc, tu peux acheter -4705.88 avec un stoploss a 1.0766
Avec un position size USD de -5074.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4705.88 x -0.0017 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4705.88 x -0.0034000000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.32 % | 16.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.16 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.04 $ | -0.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1855 % | 117.63 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0783 | 1.0766 | 1.0817 | 2 | 1.335 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0766 - 1.0783 = -0.0017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0783 - 1.0817 = -0.0034000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0034000000000001 / -0.0017 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.445% | 2.8R | -0.186% | 1.2R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.445% | 2.8R | -0.186% | 1.2R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.445% | 2.8R | -0.186% | 1.2R | 2.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.445% | 2.8R | -0.186% | 1.2R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.733% | 4.7R | -0.186% | 1.2R | 4.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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