Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 512.46 LINK at 8.291$ per unit. Take profit: 8.3221 (0.38 %) & Stop Loss: 8.2753 (0.19 %)
Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 512.46 LINK at 8.291$ per unit. Take profit: 8.3221 (0.38 %) & Stop Loss: 8.2753 (0.19 %)
Position
Entry 8.2909$
Qty 512.4618 LINK
Size 4248.7695$ (margin 100$) (leverage 42)
Risk Setup
TP 8.3221 (+0.38%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 8.2753 (-0.19%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7202
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.17×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.06×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.74×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 07:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.516505 15m : 0.636821 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 02/08 07:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5167 | r1h: -0.317% · r4h: -0.650% · r1d: 2.74% · r3d: -0.72% · ema21_slope: 0.1458% · dist_ema21: 0.973% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5304 | rs_1h: -0.200% · rs_4h: -0.193% · rs_1d: 2.49% · rs_3d: 1.40% · beta_24h: 1.841 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1997 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.571 · trend: -21.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8031 | ADX: 36.4 (trend) · Chop: 23.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.656% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.056% | 0.3R | -0.315% | 1.7R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.170% | 0.9R | -0.315% | 1.7R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.214% | 1.1R | -0.327% | 1.7R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.885% | 4.7R | -0.517% | 2.8R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.931% | 10.3R | -0.517% | 2.8R | 3.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.85 | bear_high | -5.71% | +0.38 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.88 | bear_high | -1.37% | +0.13 | 02/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.79 | range_low | -0.63% | +0.23 | 02/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_low |
47%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | near 0.5ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.05% | -0.03 | 02/08 07:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.662×ATR | p0 | +0.095×ATR | p12 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 3.379×ATR | p61 | +0.731×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.989×ATR | p16 | +0.068×ATR | p6 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.948×ATR | p68 | -0.973×ATR | p65 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63315.9
-0.00320571
63113
0.516505
63131
-0.000286535
63113
0.636821
63541.2
-0.00647187
63130
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8.4099
193
0.6696
0.6823
0.3596
0.2399
0.4575
1
0.212
0.5792
0.5491
0.724
0.7339
0.6547
0.2071
0.0918
1
1.1894
1.633
0.3
0.7
1
6
1
0.5202
0.6439
9.3572
0.55
1.4727
11.2368
1.633
0
0.2766
0.54
0.8289
0.6333
0.5489
0.8084
0.6547
-4.2246
8.011
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:32 | 8.29090000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:37 | 8.29010000 | -0.01% |
| 3 | 07:43 | 8.27520000 | -0.189% |
| 4 | 07:49 | 8.27720000 | -0.165% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 8.4099 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 05:35:00 | 8.3511 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:50:00 | 8.3924 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 06:15:00 | 8.3537 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 8.3562 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:20:00 | 8.3953 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:05:00 | 8.3112 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:30:00 | 8.3872 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:20:00 | 8.3047 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 11:30:00 | 8.2903 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 11:30:00 | 8.0809 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 8.112 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 16:30:00 | 8.1088 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 7.8859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 23:00:00 | 8.0808 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:30:00 | 8.0497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 8.4099 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:15:00 | 8.3953 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:30:00 | 8.3872 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:30:00 | 8.2903 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 8.1604 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 8.3944 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 06:00:00 | 8.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 8.528 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:00:00 | 8.5202 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 8.0182 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 02:00:00 | 8.2417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 7.8859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 8.4099 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:00:00 | 8.2928 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2909 | 8.2753 | 8.3221 | 2 | 12.548 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.2753 - 8.2909 = -0.015600000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.2909 - 8.3221 = -0.0312
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0312 / -0.015600000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4248.7695 | 100 | 512.4618 | 42.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.015600000000001 = -512.82
Taille de position USD = -512.82 x 8.2909 = -4251.74
Donc, tu peux acheter -512.82 avec un stoploss a 8.2753
Avec un position size USD de -4251.74$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -512.82 x -0.015600000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -512.82 x -0.0312 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3148 % | 167.27 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2909 | 8.2753 | 8.3221 | 2 | 12.548 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.2753 - 8.2909 = -0.015600000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.2909 - 8.3221 = -0.0312
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0312 / -0.015600000000001 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.056% | 0.3R | -0.315% | 1.7R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.170% | 0.9R | -0.315% | 1.7R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.214% | 1.1R | -0.327% | 1.7R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.885% | 4.7R | -0.517% | 2.8R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.931% | 10.3R | -0.517% | 2.8R | 3.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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