Long Trade on WLD (CatchTheWave)
With 6327.11 WLD at 0.314$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3168 (0.8 %) & Stop Loss: 0.313 (0.41 %)
Long Trade on WLD (CatchTheWave)
With 6327.11 WLD at 0.314$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3168 (0.8 %) & Stop Loss: 0.313 (0.41 %)
Position
Entry 0.3143$
Qty 6327.1117 WLD
Size 1988.6112$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3168 (+0.8%)
TP $ 15.82$
SL 0.313 (-0.41%)
SL $ 8.23$
RR 1.92
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8292
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.79×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.13×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 19.24×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 07:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.290135 15m : 0.471749 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 02/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/08 07:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5247 | r1h: -0.491% · r4h: -1.331% · r1d: 2.97% · r3d: 3.36% · ema21_slope: 0.2184% · dist_ema21: 1.470% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5459 | rs_1h: -0.374% · rs_4h: -0.874% · rs_1d: 2.72% · rs_3d: 5.48% · beta_24h: 2.166 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4072 | rvol_20: 1.11× · zscore_50: 0.421 · trend: 11.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7380 | ADX: 28.6 (trend) · Chop: 27.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.189% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.531% | 1.3R | -0.305% | 0.7R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.531% | 1.3R | -0.305% | 0.7R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.531% | 1.3R | -0.493% | 1.2R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.165% | 2.8R | -1.053% | 2.6R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.254% | 3.0R | -1.053% | 2.6R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -5.71% | -0.97 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -1.37% | +0.43 | 02/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.50 | range_low | -0.63% | +0.32 | 02/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.38 | range_low | -0.05% | -0.12 | 02/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 46b | — | 14.483×ATR | p94 | -0.054×ATR | p4 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.596×ATR | p26 | +0.892×ATR | p74 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.203×ATR | p20 | +0.032×ATR | p5 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 15b | — | 3.926×ATR | p79 | -0.759×ATR | p64 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63308.6
-0.00296334
63121
0.290135
63131.2
-0.00017785
63120
0.471749
63540.7
-0.00684215
63106
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1
5
1
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7.2447
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1.9159
8.1282
1.7082
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0.2482
0.54
0.2676
0.5676
0.4973
0.7697
0.6751
-2.6998
5.6092
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:44 | 0.31430000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:50 | 0.31455000 | +0.08% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 06:05:00 | 0.32413 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:15:00 | 0.31826 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:25:00 | 0.32249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:55:00 | 0.32252 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:35:00 | 0.31747 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:05:00 | 0.31749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:40:00 | 0.32004 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:15:00 | 0.31587 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 10:50:00 | 0.31736 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:40:00 | 0.3143 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 16:30:00 | 0.3075 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:30:00 | 0.29589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 20:30:00 | 0.29943 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 21:45:00 | 0.30403 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:45:00 | 0.29983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:00:00 | 0.32413 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:45:00 | 0.32252 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:30:00 | 0.31747 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:30:00 | 0.32004 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:30:00 | 0.315 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 05:00:00 | 0.30274 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 11:00:00 | 0.30833 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:00:00 | 0.30212 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:00:00 | 0.31393 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 07:00:00 | 0.31131 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 0.29723 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 09:00:00 | 0.31063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.29589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:00:00 | 0.32413 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:00:00 | 0.315 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3143 | 0.313 | 0.3168 | 1.92 | 0.5056 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.313 - 0.3143 = -0.0013
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3143 - 0.3168 = -0.0025
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0025 / -0.0013 = 1.9231
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1988.6112 | 100 | 6327.1117 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0013 = -6153.85
Taille de position USD = -6153.85 x 0.3143 = -1934.16
Donc, tu peux acheter -6153.85 avec un stoploss a 0.313
Avec un position size USD de -1934.16$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6153.85 x -0.0013 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6153.85 x -0.0025 = 15.38
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.38$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.8 % | 15.82 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 8.23 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.23 $ | -0.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4263 % | 103.07 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3143 | 0.313 | 0.3168 | 1.92 | 0.5056 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.313 - 0.3143 = -0.0013
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3143 - 0.3168 = -0.0025
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0025 / -0.0013 = 1.9231
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.531% | 1.3R | -0.305% | 0.7R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.531% | 1.3R | -0.305% | 0.7R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.531% | 1.3R | -0.493% | 1.2R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.165% | 2.8R | -1.053% | 2.6R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.254% | 3.0R | -1.053% | 2.6R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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