02 Aug 2026 at 08:10:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 95.28 KAITO at 1.205$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1211 (6.97 %)

KAITO LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Aug 2026 08:10 → 09:45 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 1.2051$

Qty 95.2778 KAITO

Size 114.8193$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 114.82$

SL 1.1211 (-6.97%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -6.97% / -8$ MAE -11.91% MFE +0.27% 0.0R expires 02 Aug 11:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 56432)
#2 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/08/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5378

Quality Score
0.768
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
11.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/08 08:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#2 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 0.54×ATR
1d clear 0.80×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

02/08 08:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

01/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

02/08 07:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1236
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear expansion — -1
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.57
Transition risk : 0.43
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.49
Snapshot évalué : 02/08 08:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 02/08/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.7678
Score SMA
0.6190
Rank
#2 / 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5378
Rank Norm SMA
0.7529
Calculé le
02/08/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8240 r1h: 0.869% · r4h: 3.585% · r1d: 9.87% · r3d: 16.51% · ema21_slope: 0.1653% · dist_ema21: 2.666%
Force Relative 25% 0.8761 rs_1h: 0.998% · rs_4h: 4.178% · rs_1d: 9.80% · rs_3d: 19.06% · beta_24h: -1.686
Volume 20% 0.6483 rvol_20: 1.71× · zscore_50: 0.973 · trend: 92.19%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4796 ADX: 21.8 (weak) · Chop: 63.2 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.351% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.970% (0.0840)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.274% 0.0R -4.937% 0.7R 0.1× 12
2h +0.274% 0.0R -11.285% 1.6R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.274% 0.0R -11.908% 1.7R 0.0× 36
4h +0.274% 0.0R -12.422% 1.8R 0.0× 48
8h +0.274% 0.0R -14.082% 2.0R 0.0× 96
12h +0.274% 0.0R -18.491% 2.7R 0.0× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.04
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.43 bear_high -5.71% +1.00 01/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — 0.03 bear_high -1.37% +0.35 02/08 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high_confirmed
67%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — -0.12 range_low -0.69% +0.57 02/08 07:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 40% mid — near 0.2ATR 0.01 range_low -0.08% +0.39 02/08 07:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 1.523×ATR p0 +0.21×ATR p21
4h ↑ up mid 17b — 3.455×ATR p23 +0.765×ATR p72
1h ↑ up mid 2b — 2.508×ATR p33 +1.064×ATR p82
15m ↑ up mid 10b — 4.327×ATR p77 +0.31×ATR p32

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.12113504
  2. atr: 0.02798832
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-02T15:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 38
  3. score: 0.824
  4. confidence: 0.973

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.2051 1.1211 0.2858
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.2051
  • Stop Loss: 1.1211
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.1211 - 1.2051 = -0.084

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.2051 - = 1.2051

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.2051 / -0.084 = -14.3464

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
114.8193 100 95.2778 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.084

Taille de position = 8 / -0.084 = -95.24

Taille de position USD = -95.24 x 1.2051 = -114.77

Donc, tu peux acheter -95.24 avec un stoploss a 1.1211

Avec un position size USD de -114.77$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -95.24 x -0.084 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -95.24 x 1.2051 = -114.77

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -114.77$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -95.24
  • Taille de position USD -114.77
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -114.77
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -14.3464

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 114.82 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.97 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -6.97
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-7.5346 % 108.09 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.2051 1.1211 0.2858
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.2051
  • Stop Loss: 1.1211
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.1211 - 1.2051 = -0.084

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.2051 - = 1.2051

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.2051 / -0.084 = -14.3464

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 1.2051
            [stop_loss] => 1.1127
            [rr_ratio] => 13.04
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-02 12:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 1.2051
            [stop_loss] => 1.1043
            [rr_ratio] => 11.96
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-02 12:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 1.2051
            [stop_loss] => 1.0959
            [rr_ratio] => 11.04
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-02 12:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 1.2051
            [stop_loss] => 1.0791
            [rr_ratio] => 9.56
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-02 12:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.970% (0.0840)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.274% 0.0R -4.937% 0.7R 0.1× 12
2h +0.274% 0.0R -11.285% 1.6R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.274% 0.0R -11.908% 1.7R 0.0× 36
4h +0.274% 0.0R -12.422% 1.8R 0.0× 48
8h +0.274% 0.0R -14.082% 2.0R 0.0× 96
12h +0.274% 0.0R -18.491% 2.7R 0.0× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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