Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 872.37 LDO at 0.323$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3325 (2.85 %)
Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 872.37 LDO at 0.323$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3325 (2.85 %)
Position
Entry 0.3233$
Qty 872.372 LDO
Size 282.0553$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 282.04$
SL 0.3325 (-2.85%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0320
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.83×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 6.43×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.56×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 08:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/08 07:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3428 | r1h: -0.244% · r4h: -0.934% · r1d: -3.25% · r3d: -10.54% · ema21_slope: -0.0516% · dist_ema21: -1.465% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3802 | rs_1h: -0.114% · rs_4h: -0.342% · rs_1d: -3.32% · rs_3d: -7.98% · beta_24h: 1.188 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1550 | rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.675 · trend: -70.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6329 | ADX: 35.0 (trend) · Chop: 57.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.012% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.687% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.402% | 0.1R | -0.687% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.402% | 0.1R | -0.687% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.956% | 0.3R | -0.687% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.135% | 0.4R | -1.741% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.135% | 0.4R | -2.159% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -5.71% | +0.32 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.45 | bear_high | -1.37% | -0.79 | 02/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.42 | range_low | -0.69% | -0.14 | 02/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.08% | -0.11 | 02/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 3.478×ATR | p33 | -0.889×ATR | p76 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 6.718×ATR | p97 | -1.025×ATR | p81 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.022×ATR | p45 | -0.871×ATR | p64 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.659×ATR | p48 | -1.034×ATR | p63 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3233 | 0.3325 | 0.3868 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3325 - 0.3233 = 0.0092
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3233 - = 0.3233
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3233 / 0.0092 = 35.1413
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 282.0553 | 100 | 872.372 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0092 = 869.57
Taille de position USD = 869.57 x 0.3233 = 281.13
Donc, tu peux acheter 869.57 avec un stoploss a 0.3325
Avec un position size USD de 281.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 869.57 x 0.0092 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 869.57 x 0.3233 = 281.13
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 281.13$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 282.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.85 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.01 $ | 0.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6867 % | 24.13 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3233 | 0.3325 | 0.3868 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3325 - 0.3233 = 0.0092
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3233 - = 0.3233
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3233 / 0.0092 = 35.1413
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.687% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.402% | 0.1R | -0.687% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.402% | 0.1R | -0.687% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.956% | 0.3R | -0.687% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.135% | 0.4R | -1.741% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.135% | 0.4R | -2.159% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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