Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1856.24 NEAR at 1.695$ per unit. Take profit: 1.7034 (0.51 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6905 (0.25 %)
Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1856.24 NEAR at 1.695$ per unit. Take profit: 1.7034 (0.51 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6905 (0.25 %)
Position
Entry 1.6948$
Qty 1856.2389 NEAR
Size 3145.9537$ (margin 100$) (leverage 31)
Risk Setup
TP 1.7034 (+0.51%)
TP $ 15.96$
SL 1.6905 (-0.25%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6025
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 9.51×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 14.29×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.65×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 10:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.432083 15m : 0.308056 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 02/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/08 09:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5562 | r1h: 0.200% · r4h: -1.075% · r1d: 1.98% · r3d: 2.83% · ema21_slope: 0.1251% · dist_ema21: 0.287% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5655 | rs_1h: 0.235% · rs_4h: -0.789% · rs_1d: 1.93% · rs_3d: 5.77% · beta_24h: 0.865 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1507 | rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.740 · trend: -51.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6072 | ADX: 21.5 (weak) · Chop: 47.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.798% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.401% | 1.6R | -0.142% | 0.6R | 2.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.407% | 1.6R | -0.230% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.696% | 2.7R | -0.230% | 0.9R | 3.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.452% | 5.7R | -0.230% | 0.9R | 6.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.806% | 7.1R | -0.230% | 0.9R | 7.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -6.16% | -0.87 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.64 | bear_high | -1.47% | +0.52 | 02/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.56 | range_low | -0.68% | +0.19 | 02/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | range_low |
36%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.10% | -0.08 | 02/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 4.067×ATR | p40 | -0.147×ATR | p15 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 25b | — | 4.121×ATR | p57 | +0.329×ATR | p36 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.148×ATR | p46 | -0.209×ATR | p19 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 3.918×ATR | p81 | -0.177×ATR | p13 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63213.2
-0.0018548
63096
0.432083
63128.5
-0.000515514
63096
0.308056
63526.6
-0.00710917
63075
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 02:00:00
[1] => 1.635
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 10:00:00
[1] => 1.6337
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 17:00:00
[1] => 1.7095
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 23:00:00
[1] => 1.6568
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 02:00:00
[1] => 1.6851
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 10:00:00
[1] => 1.6439
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 16:00:00
[1] => 1.6859
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 18:00:00
[1] => 1.6463
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 05:00:00
[1] => 1.7318
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 11:00:00
[1] => 1.6938
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6861069407553
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.51954185854292
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2434762073444
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 02:00:00
[1] => 1.7108
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 03:00:00
[1] => 1.699
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 05:15:00
[1] => 1.7054
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 05:30:00
[1] => 1.7318
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 07:15:00
[1] => 1.7283
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 09:00:00
[1] => 1.707
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 09:45:00
[1] => 1.7229
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 11:45:00
[1] => 1.6938
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 13:45:00
[1] => 1.7036
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 14:00:00
[1] => 1.6947
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.516553181498
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0059007493951725
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.52516669617041
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 08:45:00
[1] => 1.7209
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 09:00:00
[1] => 1.707
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 09:50:00
[1] => 1.7229
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 10:35:00
[1] => 1.708
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 11:55:00
[1] => 1.6938
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 12:40:00
[1] => 1.7028
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 12:50:00
[1] => 1.7028
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 13:05:00
[1] => 1.6976
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 13:45:00
[1] => 1.7036
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 14:00:00
[1] => 1.6947
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.516553181498
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0059007493951725
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.52516669617041
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
1.7318
191
0.7538
0.6224
0.3233
0.2427
0.3892
1
0.207
0.6144
0.7207
0.0361
0.6046
0.8203
0.0738
0.0803
1
0.3397
1.5408
0.6
0.4
1
8
1
0.5146
0.4719
5.4518
0.6
9.5
5.1602
1.5408
0
0.2886
0
-0.2458
0.4374
0.5292
0.8326
0.8203
-2.3686
10.8126
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 08:45:00 | 1.7209 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 1.707 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:50:00 | 1.7229 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:35:00 | 1.708 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 11:55:00 | 1.6938 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 12:40:00 | 1.7028 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:50:00 | 1.7028 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 13:05:00 | 1.6976 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 13:45:00 | 1.7036 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 14:00:00 | 1.6947 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 1.7108 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 03:00:00 | 1.699 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:15:00 | 1.7054 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:30:00 | 1.7318 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:15:00 | 1.7283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 1.707 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:45:00 | 1.7229 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:45:00 | 1.6938 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 13:45:00 | 1.7036 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 14:00:00 | 1.6947 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 02:00:00 | 1.635 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 10:00:00 | 1.6337 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:00:00 | 1.7095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 23:00:00 | 1.6568 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 02:00:00 | 1.6851 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 1.6439 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 1.6859 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1.6463 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 1.7318 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:00:00 | 1.6938 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6948 | 1.6905 | 1.7034 | 2 | 4.7986 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6905 - 1.6948 = -0.0043000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6948 - 1.7034 = -0.0085999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0085999999999999 / -0.0043000000000002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3145.9537 | 100 | 1856.2389 | 31.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0043000000000002 = -1860.47
Taille de position USD = -1860.47 x 1.6948 = -3153.12
Donc, tu peux acheter -1860.47 avec un stoploss a 1.6905
Avec un position size USD de -3153.12$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1860.47 x -0.0043000000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1860.47 x -0.0085999999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.51 % | 15.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.96 $ | 0.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2301 % | 90.7 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6948 | 1.6905 | 1.7034 | 2 | 4.7986 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6905 - 1.6948 = -0.0043000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6948 - 1.7034 = -0.0085999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0085999999999999 / -0.0043000000000002 = 2
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7034
[stop_loss] => 1.6905
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-02 18:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.70555
[stop_loss] => 1.6905
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-02 18:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7077
[stop_loss] => 1.6905
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-02 18:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.70985
[stop_loss] => 1.6905
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-02 18:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.712
[stop_loss] => 1.6905
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-02 18:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.71415
[stop_loss] => 1.6905
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-02 18:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7163
[stop_loss] => 1.6905
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-02 18:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.71845
[stop_loss] => 1.6905
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-02 18:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.401% | 1.6R | -0.142% | 0.6R | 2.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.407% | 1.6R | -0.230% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.696% | 2.7R | -0.230% | 0.9R | 3.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.452% | 5.7R | -0.230% | 0.9R | 6.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.806% | 7.1R | -0.230% | 0.9R | 7.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.