Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 536.7 LINK at 8.271$ per unit. Take profit: 8.3007 (0.36 %) & Stop Loss: 8.256 (0.18 %)
Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 536.7 LINK at 8.271$ per unit. Take profit: 8.3007 (0.36 %) & Stop Loss: 8.256 (0.18 %)
Position
Entry 8.2709$
Qty 536.7049 LINK
Size 4439.0327$ (margin 100$) (leverage 44)
Risk Setup
TP 8.3007 (+0.36%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 8.256 (-0.18%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6469
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.50×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.10×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.96×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 10:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.639223 15m : 0.626787 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 02/08 09:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5413 | r1h: 0.045% · r4h: -0.552% · r1d: 2.48% · r3d: -2.61% · ema21_slope: 0.1579% · dist_ema21: 0.583% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5309 | rs_1h: 0.080% · rs_4h: -0.265% · rs_1d: 2.43% · rs_3d: 0.33% · beta_24h: 1.835 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1555 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.667 · trend: -51.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7636 | ADX: 31.6 (trend) · Chop: 27.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.598% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.456% | 2.5R | -0.086% | 0.5R | 5.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.456% | 2.5R | -0.253% | 1.4R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.878% | 4.9R | -0.277% | 1.5R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.611% | 8.9R | -0.277% | 1.5R | 5.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.178% | 12.1R | -0.277% | 1.5R | 7.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.85 | bear_high | -6.16% | +0.35 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.88 | bear_high | -1.47% | +0.15 | 02/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | range_medium |
45%
|
noisy_chop 50% | early | — | — | 0.80 | range_low | -0.68% | +0.24 | 02/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.10% | -0.04 | 02/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.882×ATR | p0 | -0.084×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 3.367×ATR | p58 | +0.533×ATR | p54 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.31×ATR | p32 | +0.003×ATR | p1 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.326×ATR | p0 | -0.108×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63211
-0.00256406
63049
0.639223
63127.6
-0.0012453
63049
0.626787
63524.2
-0.00696171
63082
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8.4099
190
0.6537
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0.7028
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0.1013
0.0612
1
0.6584
1.2491
0.3
0.7
1
9
1
0.5151
0.6439
9.3572
0.65
1.4727
11.2368
1.2491
0
0.291
0.34
-0.1539
0.5251
0.5592
0.7924
0.6141
-5.78
9.1972
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:07 | 8.27090000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:13 | 8.26710000 | -0.046% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 8.3562 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:20:00 | 8.3953 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:05:00 | 8.3112 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:30:00 | 8.3872 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:20:00 | 8.3047 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 11:40:00 | 8.2648 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 12:35:00 | 8.2737 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 13:10:00 | 8.305 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 13:45:00 | 8.3054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 14:05:00 | 8.2709 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 16:30:00 | 8.1088 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 7.8859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 23:00:00 | 8.0808 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:30:00 | 8.0497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 8.4099 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:15:00 | 8.3953 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:30:00 | 8.3872 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:30:00 | 8.2648 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 13:45:00 | 8.3054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 14:00:00 | 8.2709 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 8.1604 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 8.3944 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 06:00:00 | 8.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 8.528 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:00:00 | 8.5202 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 8.0182 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 02:00:00 | 8.2417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 7.8859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 8.4099 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:00:00 | 8.2648 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2709 | 8.256 | 8.3007 | 2 | 12.396 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.256 - 8.2709 = -0.014899999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.2709 - 8.3007 = -0.029800000000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.029800000000002 / -0.014899999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4439.0327 | 100 | 536.7049 | 44.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.014899999999999 = -536.91
Taille de position USD = -536.91 x 8.2709 = -4440.73
Donc, tu peux acheter -536.91 avec un stoploss a 8.256
Avec un position size USD de -4440.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -536.91 x -0.014899999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -536.91 x -0.029800000000002 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.99 $ | 0.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0858 % | 47.64 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2709 | 8.256 | 8.3007 | 2 | 12.396 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.256 - 8.2709 = -0.014899999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.2709 - 8.3007 = -0.029800000000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.029800000000002 / -0.014899999999999 = 2
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)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.456% | 2.5R | -0.086% | 0.5R | 5.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.456% | 2.5R | -0.253% | 1.4R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.878% | 4.9R | -0.277% | 1.5R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.611% | 8.9R | -0.277% | 1.5R | 5.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.178% | 12.1R | -0.277% | 1.5R | 7.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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