Short Trade on ZRO (CatchTheWave)
With 1618.31 ZRO at 0.744$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7339 (1.33 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7488 (0.67 %)
Short Trade on ZRO (CatchTheWave)
With 1618.31 ZRO at 0.744$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7339 (1.33 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7488 (0.67 %)
Position
Entry 0.7438$
Qty 1618.3096 ZRO
Size 1203.731$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7339 (+1.33%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 0.7488 (-0.67%)
SL $ 8.09$
RR 1.98
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.74×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.65×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 11:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.231478 15m : 0.430561 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4114 | r1h: 0.449% · r4h: -0.008% · r1d: -2.15% · r3d: -6.88% · ema21_slope: -0.0821% · dist_ema21: -0.428% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4511 | rs_1h: 0.383% · rs_4h: 0.042% · rs_1d: -2.22% · rs_3d: -4.55% · beta_24h: 1.098 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1531 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.704 · trend: -59.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3676 | ADX: 14.4 (weak) · Chop: 69.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.012% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.334% | 2.0R | -0.255% | 0.4R | 5.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.093% | 3.1R | -0.255% | 0.4R | 8.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.245% | 3.3R | -0.255% | 0.4R | 8.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.544% | 6.8R | -0.255% | 0.4R | 17.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.544% | 6.8R | -0.255% | 0.4R | 17.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -6.16% | -0.96 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -1.46% | -0.28 | 02/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.36 | range_low | -0.61% | +0.12 | 02/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.37 | range_low | +0.00% | +0.21 | 02/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 4.124×ATR | p27 | -0.897×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.558×ATR | p0 | +0.247×ATR | p22 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 2.927×ATR | p51 | +1.705×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 6.013×ATR | p95 | +2.352×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63180.5
-0.000769081
63132
0.231478
63132.3
0.000406237
63158
0.430561
63484.4
-0.00539435
63142
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0.201
-14.5676
3.6655
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:44 | 0.74382000 | +0.003% |
| 2 | 11:50 | 0.74009000 | -0.499% |
| 3 | 11:55 | 0.74211000 | -0.227% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 08:25:00 | 0.72321 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:35:00 | 0.71304 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 10:05:00 | 0.72443 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:20:00 | 0.71697 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 11:55:00 | 0.71813 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 12:00:00 | 0.72196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:55:00 | 0.71447 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 13:10:00 | 0.71965 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 14:10:00 | 0.71414 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 15:40:00 | 0.74396 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.71915 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:15:00 | 0.72784 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 0.71785 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:45:00 | 0.73068 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 05:30:00 | 0.71931 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:45:00 | 0.72644 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:30:00 | 0.71304 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 0.72443 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 14:00:00 | 0.71414 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 15:15:00 | 0.74231 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 01:00:00 | 0.77186 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 10:00:00 | 0.78603 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 09:00:00 | 0.70688 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 16:00:00 | 0.71439 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 0.76382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.71513 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 0.73068 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:00:00 | 0.71304 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 14:00:00 | 0.71414 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 15:00:00 | 0.74231 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7438 | 0.7488 | 0.7339 | 1.98 | 2.0459 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7488 - 0.7438 = 0.005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7438 - 0.7339 = 0.0099
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0099 / 0.005 = 1.98
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1203.731 | 100 | 1618.3096 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.005 = 1600
Taille de position USD = 1600 x 0.7438 = 1190.08
Donc, tu peux acheter 1600 avec un stoploss a 0.7488
Avec un position size USD de 1190.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1600 x 0.005 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1600 x 0.0099 = 15.84
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.84$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.33 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.67 % | 8.09 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 1.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2554 % | 37.99 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7438 | 0.7488 | 0.7339 | 1.98 | 2.0459 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7488 - 0.7438 = 0.005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7438 - 0.7339 = 0.0099
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0099 / 0.005 = 1.98
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.334% | 2.0R | -0.255% | 0.4R | 5.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.093% | 3.1R | -0.255% | 0.4R | 8.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.245% | 3.3R | -0.255% | 0.4R | 8.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.544% | 6.8R | -0.255% | 0.4R | 17.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.544% | 6.8R | -0.255% | 0.4R | 17.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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