Long Trade on XRP (CatchTheWave)
With 5843.3 XRP at 1.079$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0816 (0.25 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0775 (0.13 %)
Long Trade on XRP (CatchTheWave)
With 5843.3 XRP at 1.079$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0816 (0.25 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0775 (0.13 %)
Position
Entry 1.0789$
Qty 5843.2974 XRP
Size 6304.3335$ (margin 100$) (leverage 63)
Risk Setup
TP 1.0816 (+0.25%)
TP $ 15.78$
SL 1.0775 (-0.13%)
SL $ 8.18$
RR 1.93
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5921
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.12×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.28×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 34.35×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 12:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.759459 15m : 0.698304 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 02/08 11:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5370 | r1h: -0.046% · r4h: 0.139% · r1d: 1.68% · r3d: -1.03% · ema21_slope: 0.0887% · dist_ema21: 0.491% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5206 | rs_1h: -0.184% · rs_4h: -0.056% · rs_1d: 1.43% · rs_3d: 1.38% · beta_24h: 1.041 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1725 | rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.745 · trend: -33.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6621 | ADX: 26.3 (trend) · Chop: 45.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.402% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.204% | 1.6R | -0.130% | 1.0R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.334% | 2.6R | -0.130% | 1.0R | 2.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.677% | 5.2R | -0.130% | 1.0R | 5.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.261% | 9.7R | -0.130% | 1.0R | 9.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.261% | 9.7R | -1.020% | 7.9R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -6.16% | +0.00 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -1.46% | +0.19 | 02/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.76 | range_low | -0.57% | +0.17 | 02/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.1ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.64 | range_low | +0.03% | +0.01 | 02/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 2.469×ATR | p0 | +0.073×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 3.277×ATR | p52 | +0.905×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.083×ATR | p0 | +0.239×ATR | p26 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.97×ATR | p30 | -0.198×ATR | p17 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63176.1
-0.00115758
63103
0.759459
63122.1
-0.000302718
63103
0.698304
63484.2
-0.00551789
63134
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1.0852
190
0.73
0.6777
0.3092
0.2531
0.355
1
0.2542
0.5907
0.6749
0.4692
0.6901
0.7059
0.1287
0.0832
1
1.1854
2.0922
0.55
0.45
1
9
1
0.4937
0.5559
8.3231
0.65
2.0481
9.2289
2.0922
0
0.2844
0.44
0.0078
0.5492
0.5708
0.827
0.7059
-3.3255
7.9812
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 09:55:00 | 1.0831 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:25:00 | 1.0789 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 11:15:00 | 1.0821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:55:00 | 1.0778 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 12:15:00 | 1.0809 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 13:00:00 | 1.0767 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 13:45:00 | 1.0808 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 14:45:00 | 1.0827 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 15:00:00 | 1.0803 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 1.0788 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 15:15:00 | 1.0647 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 1.0469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 23:15:00 | 1.0588 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:00:00 | 1.0852 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:30:00 | 1.0846 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 1.0762 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:45:00 | 1.0831 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 13:00:00 | 1.0767 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 14:45:00 | 1.0827 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 1.0788 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 01:00:00 | 1.0805 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 15:00:00 | 1.0945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 1.0571 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 1.0589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 1.0669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 1.0593 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 1.0656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1.0469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:00:00 | 1.0852 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 1.0762 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0789 | 1.0775 | 1.0816 | 1.93 | 1.3634 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0775 - 1.0789 = -0.0014000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0789 - 1.0816 = -0.0026999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0026999999999999 / -0.0014000000000001 = 1.9286
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6304.3335 | 100 | 5843.2974 | 63.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0014000000000001 = -5714.29
Taille de position USD = -5714.29 x 1.0789 = -6165.15
Donc, tu peux acheter -5714.29 avec un stoploss a 1.0775
Avec un position size USD de -6165.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5714.29 x -0.0014000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5714.29 x -0.0026999999999999 = 15.43
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.43$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 15.78 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 8.18 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.18 $ | -0.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1298 % | 100 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0789 | 1.0775 | 1.0816 | 1.93 | 1.3634 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0775 - 1.0789 = -0.0014000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0789 - 1.0816 = -0.0026999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0026999999999999 / -0.0014000000000001 = 1.9286
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.204% | 1.6R | -0.130% | 1.0R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.334% | 2.6R | -0.130% | 1.0R | 2.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.677% | 5.2R | -0.130% | 1.0R | 5.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.261% | 9.7R | -0.130% | 1.0R | 9.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.261% | 9.7R | -1.020% | 7.9R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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