Long Trade on AVAX

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02 Aug 2026 at 18:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on AVAX (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 60.12 AVAX at 6.653$ per unit. Take profit: 6.8196 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 6.5202 (2 %)

AVAX LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Aug 2026 18:10 → 18:15 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 6.6533$

Qty 60.1192 AVAX

Size 399.9909$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 6.8196 (+2.5%)

TP $ 10$

SL 6.5202 (-2%)

SL $ 8$

RR 1.25

Status loss PnL -0.06% / -0.25$ MAE -2.83% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 02 Aug 18:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=11 > threshold=10/37

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 56775)

#11 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 02/08/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7464

Quality Score

0.577

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

3.8M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/08 18:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#11 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.00 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#11 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.00 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.24×ATR
4h	clear	0.59×ATR
1d	clear	9.75×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 18:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

02/08 18:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/08 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

01/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

02/08 17:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1246

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	bear	expansion	—	-1
Tactical	range	range	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.57

Transition risk : 0.43

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.49

Snapshot évalué : 02/08 18:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 02/08/2026 18:00

Score brut

0.5772

Score SMA

0.5771

Rank

#11 / 37

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7464

Rank Norm SMA

0.6471

Calculé le

02/08/2026 18:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6562	r1h: 1.057% · r4h: 0.454% · r1d: 7.63% · r3d: 3.15% · ema21_slope: 0.1723% · dist_ema21: 1.742%
Force Relative	25%	0.6437	rs_1h: 0.731% · rs_4h: -0.168% · rs_1d: 6.20% · rs_3d: 4.71% · beta_24h: 1.515
Volume	20%	0.2176	rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.079 · trend: -46.71%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5058	ADX: 37.4 (trend) · Chop: 76.1 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 0.850% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.001% (0.1331)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.282%	0.6R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.046%	1.0R	0.0×	24
4h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.835%	1.4R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.908%	2.0R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.258%	2.1R	0.0×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	continuation_ready	bear_trend	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early	—	—	0.76	bear_high	-5.92%	+0.13	01/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 32%	late	—	—	0.69	range_high	-0.72%	+0.38	02/08 16:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	strong	fading	expansion	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	near -0.2ATR	0.56	range_low	+0.32%	+0.51	02/08 17:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_low_confirmed	50%	noisy_chop 51%	late	—	—	—	range_low	+0.74%	+0.04	02/08 17:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	29b	—	1.552×ATR	p0	+0.559×ATR	p60
4h	↑ up	late	7b	—	4.792×ATR	p81	+0.792×ATR	p74
1h	↑ up	mid	1b	—	1.481×ATR	p2	+1.066×ATR	p80
15m	↑ up	late	4b	—	4.317×ATR	p77	+2.718×ATR	p95

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 6.52023097
tp_price: 6.8196325
atr: 0.05322761
expires_at: 2026-08-03T04:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 5
total: 37
score: 0.6562
delta_2h: 0.0501
extension_atr: 1.86
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7464
confidence: 0.939

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
6.6533	6.5202	6.8196	1.25	10.874

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 6.6533
Stop Loss: 6.5202
Take Profit: 6.8196

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 6.5202 - 6.6533 = -0.1331
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 6.6533 - 6.8196 = -0.1663
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1663 / -0.1331 = 1.2494

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
399.9909	100	60.1192	4.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.1331

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1331 = -60.11

Taille de position USD = -60.11 x 6.6533 = -399.93

Donc, tu peux acheter -60.11 avec un stoploss a 6.5202

Avec un position size USD de -399.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -60.11 x -0.1331 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -60.11 x -0.1663 = 10

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 10$

Résumé

Taille de position -60.11
Taille de position USD -399.93
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 10
Risk-Reward Ratio 1.2494

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	10 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-0.25 $	-0.06

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.2781 %	13.9 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
6.6533	6.5202	6.8196	1.25	10.874

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 6.6533
Stop Loss: 6.5202
Take Profit: 6.8196

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 6.5202 - 6.6533 = -0.1331
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 6.6533 - 6.8196 = -0.1663
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1663 / -0.1331 = 1.2494

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 6.8196
            [entry_price] => 6.6533
            [stop_loss] => 6.50689
            [rr_ratio] => 1.14
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-03 01:55:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 6.8196
            [entry_price] => 6.6533
            [stop_loss] => 6.49358
            [rr_ratio] => 1.04
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-03 02:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 6.8196
            [entry_price] => 6.6533
            [stop_loss] => 6.48027
            [rr_ratio] => 0.96
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-03 02:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 6.8196
            [entry_price] => 6.6533
            [stop_loss] => 6.45365
            [rr_ratio] => 0.83
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-03 03:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.001% (0.1331)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.282%	0.6R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.046%	1.0R	0.0×	24
4h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.835%	1.4R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.908%	2.0R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.258%	2.1R	0.0×	144

computed 2 months ago

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