Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 94.32 KAITO at 1.019$ per unit. Take profit: 0.9935 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1038 (8.32 %)
02 Aug 2026 at 18:10:04
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Aug 2026 18:10
→ 20:05
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 1.019$
Qty 94.317 KAITO
Size 96.1091$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.9935 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.41$
SL 1.1038 (-8.32%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.3
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +2.41$
MAE -4.52%
MFE +4.98%
0.6R
expires
03 Aug 00:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 56801)
#37 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/08/2026 18:00
score du 02/08/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1982
Quality Score
0.331
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
20.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/08 18:02
02/08 18:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#37 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#37 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.23×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.53×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.52×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/08 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1246
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué :
02/08 18:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
02/08/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.3311
Score SMA
0.5540
Rank
#37
/ 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1982
Rank Norm SMA
0.4934
Calculé le
02/08/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1571 | r1h: -1.324% · r4h: -3.952% · r1d: -14.60% · r3d: -7.35% · ema21_slope: -0.4301% · dist_ema21: -8.066% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1627 | rs_1h: -1.650% · rs_4h: -4.574% · rs_1d: -16.03% · rs_3d: -5.79% · beta_24h: -1.464 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2994 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.383 · trend: 43.70% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6834 | ADX: 22.0 (weak) · Chop: 31.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8086 | ATR%: 3.574% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.322%
(0.0848)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.069% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.606% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +4.976% | 0.6R | -1.982% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.976% | 0.6R | -4.524% | 0.5R | 1.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +8.000% | 1.0R | -4.524% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.000% | 1.0R | -4.524% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.95
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -5.92% | +1.00 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.02 | range_high | -0.72% | -0.64 | 02/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 52% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | -0.14 | range_low | +0.32% | -0.95 | 02/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.74% | -0.74 | 02/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.142×ATR | p0 | -0.284×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 3.114×ATR | p25 | -1.421×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.686×ATR | p48 | -1.171×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 3.892×ATR | p78 | -0.711×ATR | p58 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.019 | 1.1038 | 0.9935 | 0.3 | 0.3201 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.019
- Stop Loss: 1.1038
- Take Profit: 0.9935
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1038 - 1.019 = 0.0848
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.019 - 0.9935 = 0.0255
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0255 / 0.0848 = 0.3007
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96.1091 | 96.1091 | 94.317 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0848
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0848 = 94.34
Taille de position USD = 94.34 x 1.019 = 96.13
Donc, tu peux acheter 94.34 avec un stoploss a 1.1038
Avec un position size USD de 96.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 94.34 x 0.0848 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 94.34 x 0.0255 = 2.41
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.41$
Résumé
- Taille de position 94.34
- Taille de position USD 96.13
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.41
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3007
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.41 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.32 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.41 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.019 | 1.1038 | 0.9935 | 0.3 | 0.3201 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.019
- Stop Loss: 1.1038
- Take Profit: 0.9935
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1038 - 1.019 = 0.0848
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.019 - 0.9935 = 0.0255
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0255 / 0.0848 = 0.3007
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.322%
(0.0848)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.069% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.606% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +4.976% | 0.6R | -1.982% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.976% | 0.6R | -4.524% | 0.5R | 1.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +8.000% | 1.0R | -4.524% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.000% | 1.0R | -4.524% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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