Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 10.79 BNB at 587.94$ per unit. Take profit: 589.4226 (0.25 %) & Stop Loss: 587.1987 (0.13 %)
Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 10.79 BNB at 587.94$ per unit. Take profit: 589.4226 (0.25 %) & Stop Loss: 587.1987 (0.13 %)
Position
Entry 587.94$
Qty 10.7921 BNB
Size 6345.0893$ (margin 100$) (leverage 63)
Risk Setup
TP 589.4226 (+0.25%)
TP $ 16$
SL 587.1987 (-0.13%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5335
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.46×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.18×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.12×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 18:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.574874 15m : 0.574225 |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 02/08 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5450 | r1h: 0.206% · r4h: 0.437% · r1d: 2.48% · r3d: -0.24% · ema21_slope: 0.0522% · dist_ema21: 0.831% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5153 | rs_1h: -0.121% · rs_4h: -0.185% · rs_1d: 1.05% · rs_3d: 1.33% · beta_24h: 0.776 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1384 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.924 · trend: -55.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6711 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 43.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.359% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.104% | 0.8R | -0.080% | 0.6R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.104% | 0.8R | -0.655% | 5.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.104% | 0.8R | -0.726% | 5.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.104% | 0.8R | -1.039% | 8.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.104% | 0.8R | -1.203% | 9.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.81 | bear_high | -5.92% | +0.21 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.83 | range_high | -0.53% | +0.14 | 02/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_low |
51%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.70 | range_low | +0.28% | +0.12 | 02/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.48 | range_low | +0.52% | -0.02 | 02/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.293×ATR | p0 | +0.734×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 3.12×ATR | p39 | +0.975×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.385×ATR | p83 | +1.089×ATR | p79 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.016×ATR | p12 | -0.479×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63366.9
0.000537991
63401
0.574874
63224
0.00300384
63414
0.574225
63380.8
0.00115474
63454
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.46867333299494
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2182112254379
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
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[detected_trend] => downtrend
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
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581.18
189
0.7193
0.6377
0.3521
0.1997
0.4767
0.3984
0.4077
0.7654
0.6557
0.1777
0.5795
0.7489
0.2153
0.1056
1
1.2989
2.0154
0.6
0.4
1
15
1
0.6005
0.4672
5.3652
0.65
0.3984
2.1375
2.0154
0.4127
0.2651
0.14
-0.1595
0.4214
0.5105
0.7521
0.7489
-3.776
11.26
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:36 | 587.94000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:42 | 587.88000000 | -0.01% |
| 3 | 19:12 | 587.74000000 | -0.034% |
| 4 | 19:18 | 587.55000000 | -0.066% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 17:20:00 | 587.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 18:40:00 | 591.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 19:00:00 | 588.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 19:30:00 | 588.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 19:50:00 | 589.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 20:25:00 | 588.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:05:00 | 589.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:40:00 | 588.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:45:00 | 590.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 22:35:00 | 587.94 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 06:15:00 | 583.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:15:00 | 586.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 582.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:30:00 | 584.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:30:00 | 581.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:45:00 | 588.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:30:00 | 591.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 20:15:00 | 588.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:45:00 | 590.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 22:30:00 | 588.02 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 17:00:00 | 596.02 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 586 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 13:00:00 | 595.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 15:00:00 | 583.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 592.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 573.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:00:00 | 573.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 586.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:00:00 | 581.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 18:00:00 | 591.03 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 587.94 | 587.1987 | 589.4226 | 2 | 753.51 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 587.1987 - 587.94 = -0.74130000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 587.94 - 589.4226 = -1.4825999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.4825999999999 / -0.74130000000002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6345.0893 | 100 | 10.7921 | 63.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.74130000000002 = -10.79
Taille de position USD = -10.79 x 587.94 = -6343.87
Donc, tu peux acheter -10.79 avec un stoploss a 587.1987
Avec un position size USD de -6343.87$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10.79 x -0.74130000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10.79 x -1.4825999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1701 % | 134.89 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 587.94 | 587.1987 | 589.4226 | 2 | 753.51 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 587.1987 - 587.94 = -0.74130000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 587.94 - 589.4226 = -1.4825999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.4825999999999 / -0.74130000000002 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.104% | 0.8R | -0.080% | 0.6R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.104% | 0.8R | -0.655% | 5.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.104% | 0.8R | -0.726% | 5.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.104% | 0.8R | -1.039% | 8.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.104% | 0.8R | -1.203% | 9.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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